CHILE PRIMERA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Ester Roa
Referee: F. Vejar
Concepción
Match Timeline
Deportes Limache
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
13'
J. Henriquez · Assist: M. Cavalleri
Concepción
🔄
31'
V. Alvarez ↔ C. Morales
Deportes Limache
53'
M. Llanten
Deportes Limache
🟨
68'
M. Flores
Deportes Limache
🔄
78'
C. Escobar ↔ J. Larrivey
Concepción
🔄
78'
M. Cavalleri ↔ A. Jara
Concepción
81'
A. Caceres · Assist: M. Davila Carvajal
Concepción
🔄
82'
A. Parot ↔ M. Arturia
Deportes Limache
🔄
90+2'
E. Espinoza ↔ B. Vejar
Concepción
🔄
90+2'
J. Henriquez ↔ J. Rojas
Concepción
90'
A. Jara · Assist: J. Larrivey
Concepción
90'
Jean David
Deportes Limache

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 53.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
53.7%
-
BTTS Yes
75%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
72.2%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Concepción Win 26.4%
Draw 19.9%
Deportes Limache Win 53.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Concepción1.05
Deportes Limache1.81
Recent Form (Last 5)
Concepción Concepción
WWDLW
12 GF / 23 GA
Deportes Limache Deportes Limache
WLDWL
28 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
0.8
Average Goals Scored
2
1.53
Average Goals Conceded
1.43
6
BTTS Yes
8
6
Over 2.5
10
2.86
Shots on Goal
4.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Concepción Concepción 15 matches
Deportes Limache Deportes Limache 14 matches
Concepción Statistic Deportes Limache
3 Wins 6
2 Draws 3
10 Losses 5
12 Goals For 28
23 Goals Against 20
0.8 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.53 Avg Goals Conceded 1.43
6 BTTS Yes 8
11 Over 1.5 12
6 Over 2.5 10
1 Over 3.5 7
3 Clean Sheets 3
6 Failed To Score 3
2.86 Shots On Goal 4.5
11.64 Total Shots 11.64
4.36 Corners 3.71
47.4% Ball Possession 45.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Deportes Limache's more proactive style and Concepción's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Deportes Limache. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Deportes Limache carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 21 points while Concepción sit 15 on 11, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Concepción Analysis

With 11 points from 14 games and a place of 15, Concepción still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 2 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 11:21 goal record continues to suggest poor form . Their attacking burden often falls on J. Larrivey (4 goals), C. Waterman (3 goals), I. S. Mesias Gonzalez (2 goals), with creative support from Agustín Urzi (2 assists), Y. A. Oyanedel Hernandez (2 assists), J. Larrivey (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Deportes Limache Analysis

From their first 14 matches, Deportes Limache have collected 21 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. The record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 28:20 goal balance, points toward poor form . Much of their attacking threat comes through D. Castro (8 goals), G. Sosa (4 goals), Jean David (4 goals), with creative support from Jean David (8 assists), D. Castro (5 assists), M. Arturia (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Concepción won 1 times, Deportes Limache won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:8 from Concepción's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.86 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.1%)
Predicted formations: Concepción 4-3-3 / Deportes Limache 4-3-3
H2H summary: Concepción wins 1, draws 3, Deportes Limache wins 3

Lineups

Concepción
Formation
Deportes Limache
N. Araya
N. Araya
A. Caceres
A. Caceres
N. Rodriguez
N. Rodriguez
F. Grillo
F. Grillo
D. Varas
D. Varas
Y. Rodriguez
Y. Rodriguez
M. Davila Carvajal
🎯
M. Davila Carvajal
M. Cavalleri
🎯
M. Cavalleri
J. Henriquez
J. Henriquez
E. Espinoza
E. Espinoza
C. Escobar
C. Escobar
C. Gonzalez
C. Gonzalez
A. Aguirre
A. Aguirre
A. Alfonzo
A. Alfonzo
A. Parot
A. Parot
M. Llanten
M. Llanten
Jean David
Jean David
C. Fuentes
C. Fuentes
M. Flores
M. Flores
V. Alvarez
V. Alvarez
G. Sosa
G. Sosa
D. Castro
D. Castro
Concepción 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
25
N. Araya
4
A. Caceres
⚽ 81'
21
N. Rodriguez
37
F. Grillo
29
D. Varas
18
Y. Rodriguez
22
M. Davila Carvajal
🎯 81'
24
M. Cavalleri
🎯 13' ↓ 78'
20
J. Henriquez
⚽ 13' ↓ 90+2'
30
E. Espinoza
↓ 90+2'
9
C. Escobar
↓ 78'
Substitutes
1
Cesar
32
J. Larrivey
🎯 90' ↑ 78'
11
B. Vejar
↑ 90+2'
17
I. S. Mesias Gonzalez
13
C. Suarez
19
A. Jara
⚽ 90' ↑ 78'
26
L. Romero
23
J. Rojas
↑ 90+2'
40
F. Caceres
Deportes Limache 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
17
C. Gonzalez
2
A. Aguirre
5
A. Alfonzo
24
A. Parot
↓ 82'
25
M. Llanten
⚽ 53'
16
Jean David
⚽ 90'
6
C. Fuentes
4
M. Flores
🟨 68'
15
V. Alvarez
↓ 31'
9
G. Sosa
19
D. Castro
Substitutes
1
M. Borquez
8
J. Montecinos
3
B. Molina
21
F. Moya
26
M. Arturia
↑ 82'
7
C. Morales
↑ 31'
11
F. Marin
Last matches: Concepción
02.07.26
Cop
Concepción
Huachipato
2
1
W
29.06.26
Cop
Concepción
D. Puerto Montt
0
2
L
24.06.26
Cop
Concepción
Huachipato
3
2
W
21.06.26
Cop
Concepción
Deportes Temuco
1
1
D
30.05.26
Pri
Concepción
Universidad de Chile
1
2
L
24.05.26
Pri
Concepción
Huachipato
2
0
W
18.05.26
Pri
Concepción
Everton de Vina
0
2
L
24.04.26
Pri
Concepción
Palestino
1
0
W
19.04.26
Pri
Concepción
D. La Serena
3
3
D
14.04.26
Pri
Concepción
Union La Calera
0
1
L
05.04.26
Pri
Concepción
Colo Colo
0
1
L
13.03.26
Pri
Concepción
A. Italiano
0
3
L
06.03.26
Pri
Concepción
Nublense
0
2
L
28.02.26
Pri
Concepción
Coquimbo Unido
1
0
W
20.02.26
Pri
Concepción
Cobresal
1
1
D
15.02.26
Pri
Concepción
Universidad de Concepcion
1
2
L
08.02.26
Pri
Concepción
U. Catolica
0
2
L
02.02.26
Pri
Concepción
O'Higgins
1
2
L
14.01.26
Fri
Concepción
Coquimbo Unido
1
2
L
Last matches: Deportes Limache
06.07.26
Cop
Deportes Limache
San Marcos de Arica
4
1
W
01.07.26
Cop
Deportes Limache
Coquimbo Unido
1
1
D
27.06.26
Cop
Deportes Limache
Deportes Iquique
1
4
L
23.06.26
Cop
Deportes Limache
Coquimbo Unido
1
1
D
20.06.26
Cop
Deportes Limache
San Marcos de Arica
3
1
W
31.05.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
Coquimbo Unido
2
3
L
24.05.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
D. La Serena
1
4
L
17.05.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
U. Catolica
0
2
L
25.04.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
A. Italiano
2
2
D
18.04.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
Universidad de Concepcion
3
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
Palestino
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
Union La Calera
4
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
Cobresal
5
2
W
07.03.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
Everton de Vina
0
1
L
28.02.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
Huachipato
3
0
W
22.02.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
Universidad de Chile
2
2
D
14.02.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
O'Higgins
2
1
W
08.02.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
Nublense
1
1
D
31.01.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
Colo Colo
3
1
W
H2H: Concepción vs Deportes Limache
14.06.26
H2H
Concepción
Deportes Limache
3
2
W
03.09.23
H2H
Concepción
Deportes Limache
1
1
D
30.04.23
H2H
Deportes Limache
Concepción
2
0
L
14.09.22
H2H
Concepción
Deportes Limache
0
1
L
06.06.22
H2H
Deportes Limache
Concepción
0
0
D
23.11.21
H2H
Concepción
Deportes Limache
1
1
D
06.08.21
H2H
Deportes Limache
Concepción
1
0
L
Last matches: Concepción
24.06.26
Cop
Concepción
Huachipato
3
2
W
24.05.26
Pri
Concepción
Huachipato
2
0
W
18.05.26
Pri
Concepción
Everton de Vina
0
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Concepción
D. La Serena
3
3
D
05.04.26
Pri
Concepción
Colo Colo
0
1
L
06.03.26
Pri
Concepción
Nublense
0
2
L
20.02.26
Pri
Concepción
Cobresal
1
1
D
14.01.26
Fri
Concepción
Coquimbo Unido
1
2
L
H2H at home: Concepción
14.06.26
H2H
Concepción
Deportes Limache
3
2
W
03.09.23
H2H
Concepción
Deportes Limache
1
1
D
14.09.22
H2H
Concepción
Deportes Limache
0
1
L
23.11.21
H2H
Concepción
Deportes Limache
1
1
D
Last matches: Deportes Limache
23.06.26
Cop
Deportes Limache
Coquimbo Unido
1
1
D
20.06.26
Cop
Deportes Limache
San Marcos de Arica
3
1
W
24.05.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
D. La Serena
1
4
L
25.04.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
A. Italiano
2
2
D
12.04.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
Palestino
0
1
L
15.03.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
Cobresal
5
2
W
07.03.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
Everton de Vina
0
1
L
22.02.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
Universidad de Chile
2
2
D
08.02.26
Pri
Deportes Limache
Nublense
1
1
D
H2H away: Deportes Limache
14.06.26
H2H
Concepción
Deportes Limache
3
2
L
03.09.23
H2H
Concepción
Deportes Limache
1
1
D
14.09.22
H2H
Concepción
Deportes Limache
0
1
W
23.11.21
H2H
Concepción
Deportes Limache
1
1
D

Standings

Primera
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 12 0 3 29:12 17 36
W W W W W
2 15 8 2 5 35:20 15 26
W W L W L
3 15 6 6 3 17:10 7 24
W D W L W
4 15 7 3 5 22:18 4 24
D W D W L
5 15 7 3 5 23:21 2 24
W D W W L
6 15 7 2 6 23:22 1 23
D L L W D
7 15 6 4 5 19:15 4 22
L W D W W
8 15 5 7 3 18:19 -1 22
D W D L L
9 15 6 3 6 30:23 7 21
L L L L D
10 15 6 2 7 19:22 -3 20
L D L L W
11 15 5 4 6 13:26 -13 19
L D D W L
12 15 4 6 5 21:25 -4 18
D L W L D
13 15 4 4 7 18:21 -3 16
D D W L D
14 15 4 2 9 14:23 -9 14
W L W L W
15 15 4 1 10 19:29 -10 13
L L L W L
16 15 3 3 9 14:28 -14 12
D D L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga de Ascenso