Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
82.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
51.9%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
56.8%
|
- |
Concepción
D. La Serena
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Concepción
10 matches
D. La Serena
10 matches
| Concepción | Statistic | D. La Serena |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 3 |
| 1 | Draws | 3 |
| 8 | Losses | 4 |
| 5 | Goals For | 12 |
| 16 | Goals Against | 14 |
| 0.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.2 |
| 1.6 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.4 |
| 4 | BTTS Yes | 4 |
| 7 | Over 1.5 | 6 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 0 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 2.78 | Shots On Goal | 3.89 |
| 11.89 | Total Shots | 9.89 |
| 5.56 | Corners | 4.11 |
| 50.2% | Ball Possession | 48.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Concepción have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. D. La Serena carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 10 with 12 points while Concepción sit 16 on 4, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Concepción expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and D. La Serena in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward D. La Serena having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring D. La Serena. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Concepción sit 16 with 4 points after 9 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 1 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 4:13 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Diaz (1 goals), Agustín Urzi (1 goals), C. Waterman (1 goals), with creative support from A. Diaz (1 assists), C. Waterman (1 assists), L. Valencia Rossel (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
From their first 9 matches, D. La Serena have collected 12 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. The record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 10:11 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through F. Chamorro (3 goals), J. Vargas (3 goals), Diego Rubio (1 goals), with creative support from Diego Rubio (3 assists), J. Vargas (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Concepción won 0 times, D. La Serena won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:3 from Concepción's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 6 goals per game.
Concepción
3
3
5
4
1
3
Lineups
Concepción
Huachipato
Concepción
D. Puerto Montt
Concepción
Huachipato
Concepción
Deportes Temuco
Concepción
Deportes Limache
Concepción
Universidad de Chile
Concepción
Huachipato
Concepción
Everton de Vina
Concepción
Palestino
Concepción
Union La Calera
Concepción
Colo Colo
Concepción
A. Italiano
Concepción
Nublense
Concepción
Coquimbo Unido
Concepción
Cobresal
Concepción
Universidad de Concepcion
Concepción
U. Catolica
Concepción
O'Higgins
Concepción
Coquimbo Unido
D. La Serena
Antofagasta
D. La Serena
Cobresal
D. La Serena
Cobreloa
D. La Serena
Cobresal
D. La Serena
Antofagasta
D. La Serena
A. Italiano
D. La Serena
Colo Colo
D. La Serena
Deportes Limache
D. La Serena
Palestino
D. La Serena
Huachipato
D. La Serena
Everton de Vina
D. La Serena
Universidad de Chile
D. La Serena
Nublense
D. La Serena
Union La Calera
D. La Serena
Cobresal
D. La Serena
Universidad de Concepcion
D. La Serena
Coquimbo Unido
D. La Serena
O'Higgins
D. La Serena
U. Catolica
D. La Serena
Cobresal
Concepción
Huachipato
Concepción
Deportes Limache
Concepción
Huachipato
Concepción
Everton de Vina
Concepción
Colo Colo
Concepción
Nublense
Concepción
Cobresal
Concepción
Coquimbo Unido
D. La Serena
Cobresal
D. La Serena
Antofagasta
D. La Serena
A. Italiano
D. La Serena
Palestino
D. La Serena
Universidad de Chile
D. La Serena
Nublense
D. La Serena
Cobresal
D. La Serena
O'Higgins
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 29:12 | 17 | 36 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 35:20 | 15 | 26 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 17:10 | 7 | 24 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 24 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23:21 | 2 | 24 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23:22 | 1 | 23 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19:15 | 4 | 22 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 18:19 | -1 | 22 |
D
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 30:23 | 7 | 21 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19:22 | -3 | 20 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 13:26 | -13 | 19 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 12 |
D. La Serena
Away
|
15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 21:25 | -4 | 18 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
| 13 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18:21 | -3 | 16 |
D
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 14 |
Concepción
Home
|
15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 14:23 | -9 | 14 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
| 15 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 19:29 | -10 | 13 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 14:28 | -14 | 12 |
D
D
L
L
L
|