Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
71%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
75.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
59.2%
|
- |
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Atletico
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Comerciantes Unidos
12 matches
Alianza Atletico
11 matches
| Comerciantes Unidos | Statistic | Alianza Atletico |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 2 |
| 5 | Draws | 5 |
| 4 | Losses | 4 |
| 16 | Goals For | 9 |
| 17 | Goals Against | 12 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.82 |
| 1.42 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.09 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 4 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 6 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 3.9 | Shots On Goal | 4.5 |
| 11.3 | Total Shots | 12.2 |
| 3.8 | Corners | 3.4 |
| 42.3% | Ball Possession | 46.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between Alianza Atletico's more proactive style and Comerciantes Unidos's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Comerciantes Unidos expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Alianza Atletico in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Alianza Atletico having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Alianza Atletico.
Comerciantes Unidos sit 9 with 13 points after 10 league matches. The record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 13:13 goal balance, points toward poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their attacking threat comes through Matias Sen (4 goals), Maximiliano Perez (2 goals), R. Vilca (2 goals), with creative support from R. Vilca (3 assists), A. Cossio (2 assists), Matias Sen (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Alianza Atletico are currently 13 in the standings with 11 points from 10 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, while the 9:8 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Franco Coronel (3 goals), F. Flores (1 goals), Hernan Lupú (1 goals), with creative support from Franco Coronel (1 assists), F. Flores (1 assists), Ariel Muñoz (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Comerciantes Unidos won 6 times, Alianza Atletico won 7 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:21 from Comerciantes Unidos's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Comerciantes Unidos
3
2
5
8
2
3
Lineups
Comerciantes Unidos
Sport Boys
Comerciantes Unidos
Deportivo Garcilaso
Comerciantes Unidos
ADT
Comerciantes Unidos
FBC Melgar
Comerciantes Unidos
Cienciano
Comerciantes Unidos
Sporting Cristal
Comerciantes Unidos
Juan Pablo II College
Comerciantes Unidos
Sport Huancayo
Comerciantes Unidos
Universitario
Comerciantes Unidos
FC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
Atletico Grau
Comerciantes Unidos
Cusco
Comerciantes Unidos
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Lima
Comerciantes Unidos
UCV Moquegua
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
Alianza Atletico
FBC Melgar
Alianza Atletico
FC Cajamarca
Alianza Atletico
Juan Pablo II College
Alianza Atletico
Deportivo Garcilaso
Alianza Atletico
Sport Huancayo
Alianza Atletico
Universitario
Alianza Atletico
Sport Boys
Alianza Atletico
Atletico Grau
Alianza Atletico
UTC Cajamarca
Alianza Atletico
UCV Moquegua
Alianza Atletico
Sporting Cristal
Alianza Atletico
ADT
Alianza Atletico
Cienciano
Alianza Atletico
Alianza Lima
Alianza Atletico
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Alianza Atletico
Cusco
Alianza Atletico
Juan Pablo II College
Comerciantes Unidos
Deportivo Garcilaso
Comerciantes Unidos
FBC Melgar
Comerciantes Unidos
Sporting Cristal
Comerciantes Unidos
Universitario
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
Atletico Grau
Comerciantes Unidos
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Comerciantes Unidos
UCV Moquegua
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
Alianza Atletico
FBC Melgar
Alianza Atletico
Juan Pablo II College
Alianza Atletico
Deportivo Garcilaso
Alianza Atletico
Universitario
Alianza Atletico
UTC Cajamarca
Alianza Atletico
Sporting Cristal
Alianza Atletico
Cienciano
Alianza Atletico
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Alianza Atletico
Juan Pablo II College
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | 22 | 40 |
?
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | 4 | 34 |
?
|
|
| 3 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | 12 | 33 |
?
|
|
| 4 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | 9 | 29 |
?
|
|
| 5 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | 9 | 28 |
?
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 |
?
|
|
| 7 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 8 |
Alianza Atletico
Away
|
17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 21 |
?
|
| 9 |
Comerciantes Unidos
Home
|
17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 |
?
|
| 10 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 20 |
?
|
|
| 11 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 |
?
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 |
?
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 |
?
|
|
| 14 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 |
?
|
|
| 15 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 |
?
|
|
| 16 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 |
?
|
|
| 17 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 |
?
|
|
| 18 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 |
?
|