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ARGENTINA › PRIMERA NACIONAL
20.06.2026 18:00
Estadio de Colegiales
Colegiales
Match Timeline
Quilmes
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
4'
N. Toloza
Colegiales
⚽
54'
M. Albertengo · Assist: N. Toloza
Colegiales
🔄
61'
E. Trinidad ↔ F. Montiel
Colegiales
🔄
62'
T. Ortega ↔ L. Romeo
Quilmes
🔄
62'
I. Rasso ↔ S. Luna
Quilmes
🔄
62'
J. Yangali ↔ A. Dominguez
Quilmes
🔄
65'
L. Gonzalez ↔ F. Zicarelli
Colegiales
🔄
78'
N. Toloza ↔ E. Insua
Colegiales
🔄
78'
M. Albertengo ↔ L. Juarez
Colegiales
🔄
78'
L. Castillo ↔ R. E. Monserrat
Colegiales
🔄
85'
U. Vera ↔ T. Mejias
Quilmes
⚽
85'
A. Bolivar
Quilmes
🔄
90'
M. Vallejos ↔ M. Fernandez
Quilmes
⚽
90'
R. E. Monserrat · Assist: L. Juarez
Colegiales

Colegiales vs Quilmes Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66%
Odds -
0 agree / 1 disagree
BTTS
No
Probability 76.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66%
- ▥
BTTS No
76.3%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Colegiales Win 66%
Draw 5.5%
Quilmes Win 28.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Colegiales0.75
Quilmes0.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
Colegiales Colegiales
WWDLW
14 GF / 16 GA
Quilmes Quilmes
WLDWL
15 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
0.82
Average Goals Scored
0.88
0.94
Average Goals Conceded
0.65
5
BTTS Yes
3
4
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Colegiales Colegiales 17 matches
Quilmes Quilmes 17 matches
Colegiales Statistic Quilmes
5 Wins 5
5 Draws 6
7 Losses 6
14 Goals For 15
16 Goals Against 11
0.82 Avg Goals Scored 0.88
0.94 Avg Goals Conceded 0.65
5 BTTS Yes 3
10 Over 1.5 6
4 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 1
8 Clean Sheets 9
8 Failed To Score 10
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Quilmes's more proactive style and Colegiales's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Quilmes. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Quilmes having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Colegiales Analysis

Colegiales sit 17 with 17 points after 16 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats with a 12:16 goal balance points toward poor form . Going forward they depend heavily on N. Toloza (3 goals), L. Gonzalez (2 goals), E. Ocampo (1 goals), with creative support from L. Castillo (2 assists), M. Albertengo (2 assists), F. Hanashiro (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, a return that supports a very strong split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Quilmes Analysis

From their first 16 matches, Quilmes have collected 18 points and now occupy 13 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, while the 14:11 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on A. Lavezzi (4 goals), U. Vera (3 goals), A. Dominguez (2 goals), with creative support from A. Lavezzi (3 assists), A. Batista (2 assists), M. Vallejos (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Colegiales won 3 times, Quilmes won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:2 from Colegiales's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.75 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.5%)
H2H summary: Colegiales wins 3, draws 0, Quilmes wins 1

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 15 14 4 32:15 17 59
D D W D D
2 32 15 11 6 38:26 12 56
W L W D W
3 32 17 4 11 38:30 8 55
W W D W W
4 32 15 9 8 48:40 8 54
L D D W W
5 33 14 9 10 38:26 12 51
W D L W W
6 32 13 9 10 32:28 4 48
L W L D W
7 32 13 8 11 39:31 8 47
W W D D D
8 33 13 8 12 32:31 1 47
D W W L W
9 32 12 9 11 34:32 2 45
L L W D L
10 32 10 13 9 35:32 3 43
W D L W L
11 33 11 9 13 27:34 -7 42
L L L W L
12 33 11 8 14 30:39 -9 41
W W L L D
13 33 10 10 13 27:35 -8 40
W D L W L
14 33 10 9 14 30:28 2 39
L D W L W
15 32 9 9 14 23:30 -7 36
L W D L W
16 32 6 16 10 27:32 -5 34
L W D D D
17 33 9 6 18 25:35 -10 33
L W L W L
18 32 5 8 19 23:54 -31 23
L L L L L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation