CHILE PRIMERA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio El Cobre de El Salvador
Referee: J. Sepulveda
Cobresal
Match Timeline
Union La Calera
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
13'
J. Morales
Cobresal
🟥
22'
Rodrigo Pérez
Union La Calera
VAR
23'
Rodrigo Pérez
Union La Calera
VAR
31'
Bayron Oyarzo
Union La Calera
48'
J. Brea · Assist: J. Morales
Cobresal
🔄
56'
Y. W. Andia Leon ↔ M. Hiriart
Union La Calera
🔄
56'
B. Oyarzo Munoz ↔ J. Soto
Union La Calera
🔄
56'
C. Villanueva ↔ M. Campos
Union La Calera
🟨
57'
Julián Brea
Cobresal
🔄
57'
V. Campos ↔ G. Pacheco
Cobresal
🔄
57'
Villagran ↔ B. Valenzuela
Cobresal
🔄
68'
J. Brea ↔ F. Frias
Cobresal
🔄
68'
S. Pino ↔ M. Espinoza
Cobresal
69'
C. Yanis
Cobresal
🔄
73'
C. Moya ↔ Y. Leiva
Union La Calera
🔄
73'
F. Pozzo ↔ J. Cruz
Union La Calera
🔄
77'
J. Morales ↔ B. A. Carvallo U.
Cobresal
90'
F. Frias · Assist: M. Olguin
Cobresal

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 53.7%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
53.7%
-
BTTS Yes
58.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Cobresal Win 31.9%
Draw 14.4%
Union La Calera Win 53.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cobresal1.23
Union La Calera1.56
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cobresal Cobresal
WWDLW
25 GF / 44 GA
Union La Calera Union La Calera
WLDWL
28 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.09
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1.91
Average Goals Conceded
1.43
12
BTTS Yes
10
12
Over 2.5
12
4.19
Shots on Goal
3.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cobresal Cobresal 23 matches
Union La Calera Union La Calera 21 matches
Cobresal Statistic Union La Calera
4 Wins 7
4 Draws 6
15 Losses 8
25 Goals For 28
44 Goals Against 30
1.09 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.91 Avg Goals Conceded 1.43
12 BTTS Yes 10
14 Over 1.5 15
12 Over 2.5 12
10 Over 3.5 7
3 Clean Sheets 6
9 Failed To Score 6
4.19 Shots On Goal 3.5
13.25 Total Shots 10.56
5.06 Corners 5.75
44.3% Ball Possession 52.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Union La Calera. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Union La Calera having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Cobresal Analysis

Cobresal approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 13 points from 15 matches. The overall return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 10 defeats with a 19:29 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Steffan Pino (4 goals), Julián Brea (2 goals), Agustin Nadruz (2 goals), with creative support from Bryan Carvallo (3 assists), Guillermo Pacheco (2 assists), César Yanis (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Union La Calera Analysis

Union La Calera approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 12 points from 15 matches. The overall return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 9 defeats with a 14:28 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Kevin Méndez (3 goals), Sebastián Sáez (3 goals), Bayron Oyarzo (1 goals), with creative support from Kevin Méndez (3 assists), Nicolás Avellaneda (1 assists), Daniel Gutiérrez (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cobresal won 8 times, Union La Calera won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:17 from Cobresal's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.6%)
Predicted formations: Cobresal 4-2-3-1 / Union La Calera 4-3-1-2
H2H summary: Cobresal wins 8, draws 3, Union La Calera wins 4
Stats
Cobresal Cobresal
Union La Calera Union La Calera
Shots on Goal
10
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
11
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
5
5 Corner Kicks 5
16 Fouls 7
0 Offsides 0
54% Ball Possession 46%
26 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Goal 5
11 Shots off Goal 2
5 Blocked Shots 5
12 Shots insidebox 7
14 Shots outsidebox 5
4 Goalkeeper Saves 6
486 Total passes 394
426 Passes accurate 337
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Cobresal
Formation
Union La Calera
M. Olguin
🎯
M. Olguin
V. Campos
V. Campos
J. Tiznado
J. Tiznado
C. Moreno
C. Moreno
A. Castillo
A. Castillo
J. Fuentes
J. Fuentes
Villagran
Villagran
J. Brea
J. Brea
C. Yanis
C. Yanis
J. Morales
🎯
J. Morales
S. Pino
S. Pino
N. Avellaneda
N. Avellaneda
C. Diaz
C. Diaz
J. Salomoni
J. Salomoni
D. Gutierrez
D. Gutierrez
Y. W. Andia Leon
Y. W. Andia Leon
C. Moya
C. Moya
R. Perez
R. Perez
C. Gutierrez
C. Gutierrez
B. Oyarzo Munoz
B. Oyarzo Munoz
C. Villanueva
C. Villanueva
F. Pozzo
F. Pozzo
Cobresal 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
36
M. Olguin
🎯 90'
G
43
V. Campos
↓ 57'
D
20
J. Tiznado
D
18
C. Moreno
D
15
A. Castillo
D
17
J. Fuentes
M
38
Villagran
↓ 57'
M
11
J. Brea
⚽ 48' ↓ 68' 🟨 57'
M
7
C. Yanis
⚽ 69'
M
39
J. Morales
⚽ 13' 🎯 48' ↓ 77'
M
8
S. Pino
↓ 68'
F
Substitutes
44
C. Sepulveda
16
F. Bechtholdt
D
10
B. A. Carvallo U.
↑ 77'
M
23
G. Pacheco
↑ 57'
D
22
A. Astudillo
D
6
E. Valencia
M
32
F. Frias
⚽ 90' ↑ 68'
F
13
B. Valenzuela
↑ 57'
M
37
M. Espinoza
↑ 68'
F
Union La Calera 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
N. Avellaneda
G
25
C. Diaz
15
J. Salomoni
D
27
D. Gutierrez
D
2
Y. W. Andia Leon
↓ 56'
M
5
C. Moya
↓ 73'
M
23
R. Perez
🟥 22'
M
4
C. Gutierrez
M
7
B. Oyarzo Munoz
↓ 56'
F
14
C. Villanueva
↓ 56'
F
9
F. Pozzo
↓ 73'
F
Substitutes
12
N. Espinoza
G
8
Y. Leiva
↑ 73'
M
20
J. Cruz
↑ 73'
M
17
M. Hiriart
↑ 56'
F
29
J. Soto
↑ 56'
19
M. Campos
↑ 56'
F
3
N. Palma
D
6
V. Lavin
D
30
M. Fernandez
F
Last matches: Cobresal
16.08.26
Pri
Cobresal
Concepción
0
2
L
08.08.26
Pri
Cobresal
U. Catolica
0
2
L
25.07.26
Pri
Cobresal
Huachipato
3
3
D
12.07.26
Cop
Cobresal
Antofagasta
0
1
L
05.07.26
Cop
Cobresal
Cobreloa
2
2
D
01.07.26
Cop
Cobresal
D. La Serena
0
1
L
28.06.26
Cop
Cobresal
Antofagasta
0
1
L
24.06.26
Cop
Cobresal
D. La Serena
0
0
D
20.06.26
Cop
Cobresal
Cobreloa
0
2
L
13.06.26
Pri
Cobresal
Colo Colo
0
3
L
29.05.26
Pri
Cobresal
Nublense
0
1
L
23.05.26
Pri
Cobresal
A. Italiano
1
2
L
17.05.26
Pri
Cobresal
Universidad de Chile
1
0
W
26.04.26
Pri
Cobresal
Everton de Vina
1
3
L
19.04.26
Pri
Cobresal
O'Higgins
2
3
L
13.04.26
Pri
Cobresal
Universidad de Concepcion
0
1
L
03.04.26
Pri
Cobresal
Coquimbo Unido
2
3
L
15.03.26
Pri
Cobresal
Deportes Limache
2
5
L
08.03.26
Pri
Cobresal
Palestino
2
4
L
27.02.26
Pri
Cobresal
D. La Serena
0
1
L
Last matches: Union La Calera
22.08.26
Pri
Union La Calera
A. Italiano
0
0
D
16.08.26
Pri
Union La Calera
Nublense
1
2
L
09.08.26
Pri
Union La Calera
Colo Colo
1
2
L
05.08.26
Cop
Union La Calera
Santiago Wanderers
4
0
W
27.07.26
Pri
Union La Calera
Everton de Vina
1
1
D
04.07.26
Cop
Union La Calera
Union San Felipe
1
1
D
02.07.26
Cop
Union La Calera
Universidad de Chile
1
0
W
28.06.26
Cop
Union La Calera
Santiago Wanderers
4
0
W
24.06.26
Cop
Union La Calera
Universidad de Chile
3
3
D
21.06.26
Cop
Union La Calera
Union San Felipe
0
2
L
14.06.26
Pri
Union La Calera
Universidad de Chile
2
2
D
30.05.26
Pri
Union La Calera
Universidad de Concepcion
0
0
D
24.05.26
Pri
Union La Calera
Palestino
1
2
L
17.05.26
Pri
Union La Calera
Huachipato
1
3
L
24.04.26
Pri
Union La Calera
Coquimbo Unido
1
2
L
21.04.26
Pri
Union La Calera
U. Catolica
2
1
W
14.04.26
Pri
Union La Calera
Concepción
1
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
Union La Calera
Deportes Limache
0
4
L
16.03.26
Pri
Union La Calera
O'Higgins
3
3
D
06.03.26
Pri
Union La Calera
D. La Serena
0
3
L
H2H: Cobresal vs Union La Calera
01.08.26
H2H
Cobresal
Union La Calera
4
0
W
09.02.26
H2H
Union La Calera
Cobresal
3
1
L
23.08.25
H2H
Cobresal
Union La Calera
1
0
W
30.03.25
H2H
Union La Calera
Cobresal
2
1
L
10.11.24
H2H
Union La Calera
Cobresal
3
0
L
02.06.24
H2H
Cobresal
Union La Calera
2
1
W
09.07.23
H2H
Union La Calera
Cobresal
1
1
D
21.01.23
H2H
Cobresal
Union La Calera
3
1
W
16.07.22
H2H
Cobresal
Union La Calera
3
1
W
20.02.22
H2H
Union La Calera
Cobresal
0
2
W
22.10.21
H2H
Union La Calera
Cobresal
1
2
W
05.06.21
H2H
Cobresal
Union La Calera
0
1
L
23.01.21
H2H
Cobresal
Union La Calera
1
1
D
04.09.20
H2H
Union La Calera
Cobresal
2
2
D
24.08.19
H2H
Cobresal
Union La Calera
1
0
W
Last matches: Cobresal
16.08.26
Pri
Cobresal
Concepción
0
2
L
05.07.26
Cop
Cobresal
Cobreloa
2
2
D
01.07.26
Cop
Cobresal
D. La Serena
0
1
L
28.06.26
Cop
Cobresal
Antofagasta
0
1
L
29.05.26
Pri
Cobresal
Nublense
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pri
Cobresal
Universidad de Chile
1
0
W
19.04.26
Pri
Cobresal
O'Higgins
2
3
L
15.03.26
Pri
Cobresal
Deportes Limache
2
5
L
27.02.26
Pri
Cobresal
D. La Serena
0
1
L
14.02.26
Pri
Cobresal
U. Catolica
3
2
W
31.01.26
Pri
Cobresal
Huachipato
1
0
W
06.04.25
Cop
Cobresal
San Marcos de Arica
3
0
W
08.02.25
Cop
Cobresal
Coquimbo Unido
0
2
L
27.01.25
Cop
Cobresal
D. La Serena
1
2
L
14.07.24
Cop
Cobresal
Coquimbo Unido
1
0
W
29.06.24
Cop
Cobresal
Deportes Copiapo
3
1
W
20.08.23
Cop
Cobresal
Cobreloa
1
3
L
22.06.23
Cop
Cobresal
Deportes Copiapo
3
0
W
19.08.22
Cop
Cobresal
Universidad de Chile
1
1
D
18.06.22
Cop
Cobresal
Barnechea
2
1
W
H2H at home: Cobresal
01.08.26
H2H
Cobresal
Union La Calera
4
0
W
23.08.25
H2H
Cobresal
Union La Calera
1
0
W
02.06.24
H2H
Cobresal
Union La Calera
2
1
W
21.01.23
H2H
Cobresal
Union La Calera
3
1
W
16.07.22
H2H
Cobresal
Union La Calera
3
1
W
05.06.21
H2H
Cobresal
Union La Calera
0
1
L
23.01.21
H2H
Cobresal
Union La Calera
1
1
D
24.08.19
H2H
Cobresal
Union La Calera
1
0
W
Last matches: Union La Calera
22.08.26
Pri
Union La Calera
A. Italiano
0
0
D
16.08.26
Pri
Union La Calera
Nublense
1
2
L
05.08.26
Cop
Union La Calera
Santiago Wanderers
4
0
W
04.07.26
Cop
Union La Calera
Union San Felipe
1
1
D
02.07.26
Cop
Union La Calera
Universidad de Chile
1
0
W
30.05.26
Pri
Union La Calera
Universidad de Concepcion
0
0
D
17.05.26
Pri
Union La Calera
Huachipato
1
3
L
21.04.26
Pri
Union La Calera
U. Catolica
2
1
W
04.04.26
Pri
Union La Calera
Deportes Limache
0
4
L
06.03.26
Pri
Union La Calera
D. La Serena
0
3
L
15.02.26
Pri
Union La Calera
Colo Colo
0
1
L
02.02.26
Pri
Union La Calera
Everton de Vina
1
0
W
08.06.25
Cop
Union La Calera
Coquimbo Unido
1
2
L
04.04.25
Cop
Union La Calera
Everton de Vina
0
2
L
21.03.25
Cop
Union La Calera
U. Catolica
1
0
W
27.01.25
Cop
Union La Calera
San Luis
1
0
W
18.06.24
Cop
Union La Calera
San Antonio Unido
2
2
D
04.07.23
Cop
Union La Calera
Colo Colo
1
6
L
10.04.23
Cop
Union La Calera
Trasandino
1
1
D
18.06.22
Cop
Union La Calera
Santiago Morning
2
1
W
H2H away: Union La Calera
01.08.26
H2H
Cobresal
Union La Calera
4
0
L
23.08.25
H2H
Cobresal
Union La Calera
1
0
L
02.06.24
H2H
Cobresal
Union La Calera
2
1
L
21.01.23
H2H
Cobresal
Union La Calera
3
1
L
16.07.22
H2H
Cobresal
Union La Calera
3
1
L
05.06.21
H2H
Cobresal
Union La Calera
0
1
W
23.01.21
H2H
Cobresal
Union La Calera
1
1
D
24.08.19
H2H
Cobresal
Union La Calera
1
0
L

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 15 1 3 40:19 21 46
D W W W W
2 19 10 6 3 26:13 13 36
W W W W W
3 19 8 8 3 26:23 3 32
W W D W D
4 19 9 3 7 41:28 13 30
L W L D W
5 19 9 3 7 31:27 4 30
W L W L W
6 19 8 3 8 38:31 7 27
W L W L L
7 19 7 6 6 28:22 6 27
D W L D L
8 19 8 2 9 22:23 -1 26
W W W W W
9 17 7 4 6 24:21 3 25
D L D W D
10 19 7 3 9 24:30 -6 24
D L W L L
11 20 7 3 10 29:39 -10 24
L L L L D
12 19 5 8 6 28:31 -3 23
W D L D D
13 20 5 7 8 23:26 -3 22
D D D W L
14 18 5 4 9 13:30 -17 19
L L L L D
15 19 5 2 12 26:36 -10 17
L L W D L
16 20 3 5 12 17:37 -20 14
D L L L D