Login Register
🇺🇸 USA › MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
23.08.2026 02:30
PayPal Park
Referee: Jair Antonio Maruffo, USA
San Jose Earthquakes
Match Timeline
Minnesota United FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
4'
T. Werner
San Jose Earthquakes
⚽
10'
J. Pereyra · Assist: A. Markanich
Minnesota United FC
⚽
40'
K. Yeboah · Assist: K. Duncan
Minnesota United FC
⚽
44'
K. Yeboah · Assist: O. Gene
Minnesota United FC
🔄
46'
J. A. Gonzalez Mendoza ↔ I. Harkes
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
57'
T. Werner ↔ D. Johnson
San Jose Earthquakes
⚽
65'
M. Caldeira · Assist: K. Duncan
Minnesota United FC
🔄
66'
O. Bouda ↔ P. Marie
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
66'
N. Tsakiris ↔ N. Fernandez
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
77'
O. Gene ↔ N. Triantis
Minnesota United FC
🔄
77'
M. Caldeira ↔ T. Chancalay
Minnesota United FC
🔄
78'
Vitor Costa ↔ J. Ricketts
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
83'
W. Trapp ↔ C. Harvey
Minnesota United FC
🔄
83'
K. Yeboah ↔ M. Gonzalez
Minnesota United FC
🟨
85'
Benjamin Kikanović
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
86'
A. Markanich ↔ D. Padelford
Minnesota United FC
⚽
86'
M. Gonzalez · Assist: J. Pereyra
Minnesota United FC

San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 53%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
53%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.9%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
San Jose Earthquakes Win 40.1%
Draw 6.9%
Minnesota United FC Win 53%
Expected Goals (xG)
San Jose Earthquakes1.6
Minnesota United FC1.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes
WWDLW
45 GF / 34 GA
Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC
WLDWL
26 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.8
Average Goals Scored
1.13
1.36
Average Goals Conceded
1.3
14
BTTS Yes
13
14
Over 2.5
12
5.1
Shots on Goal
4.65

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 25 matches
Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 23 matches
San Jose Earthquakes Statistic Minnesota United FC
13 Wins 7
3 Draws 8
9 Losses 8
45 Goals For 26
34 Goals Against 30
1.8 Avg Goals Scored 1.13
1.36 Avg Goals Conceded 1.3
14 BTTS Yes 13
20 Over 1.5 16
14 Over 2.5 12
11 Over 3.5 5
7 Clean Sheets 7
4 Failed To Score 6
5.1 Shots On Goal 4.65
13.4 Total Shots 13.35
6.4 Corners 5.7
46.3% Ball Possession 46.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between San Jose Earthquakes's more proactive style and Minnesota United FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Minnesota United FC. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with San Jose Earthquakes expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Minnesota United FC in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Minnesota United FC having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. San Jose Earthquakes have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

San Jose Earthquakes Analysis

With 33 points from 18 games and a place of 3, San Jose Earthquakes still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 10 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 37:24, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Preston Judd (9 goals), Timo Werner (4 goals), Ousseni Bouda (3 goals), with creative support from Niko Tsakiris (4 assists), Paul Marie (4 assists), Preston Judd (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Minnesota United FC Analysis

Minnesota United FC sit 10 with 24 points after 18 league matches. The record of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 20:25 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Kelvin Yeboah (6 goals), Anthony Markanich (4 goals), Joaquín Pereyra (1 goals), with creative support from Joaquín Pereyra (4 assists), Tomás Chancalay (3 assists), James Rodríguez (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, San Jose Earthquakes won 3 times, Minnesota United FC won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:32 from San Jose Earthquakes's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.53 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.1%)
Predicted formations: San Jose Earthquakes 4-2-3-1 / Minnesota United FC 5-4-1
Missing players: San Jose Earthquakes 3, Minnesota United FC 3
H2H summary: San Jose Earthquakes wins 3, draws 4, Minnesota United FC wins 8

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 5 6 59:26 33 50
D W L W L
2 27 13 8 6 48:36 12 47
W W W D W
3 27 13 8 6 50:42 8 47
W D W W W
4 27 13 6 8 49:39 10 45
W D W W D
5 27 13 5 9 34:32 2 44
L D L W D
6 28 11 8 9 43:30 13 41
L D L W D
7 27 10 8 9 35:35 0 38
W W W D D
8 27 11 3 13 38:38 0 36
L D W D L
9 28 9 9 10 37:44 -7 36
W W D L W
10 27 9 5 13 48:51 -3 32
L L L D W
11 27 9 5 13 40:44 -4 32
W L L L L
12 27 8 8 11 47:47 0 32
D D L L L
13 27 7 10 10 35:47 -12 31
D D W D D
14 27 7 8 12 40:49 -9 29
L L L L L
15 27 6 3 18 32:65 -33 21
L W L W L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)