San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United FC Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
53%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.9%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
San Jose Earthquakes
Minnesota United FC
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
San Jose Earthquakes
25 matches
Minnesota United FC
23 matches
| San Jose Earthquakes | Statistic | Minnesota United FC |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wins | 7 |
| 3 | Draws | 8 |
| 9 | Losses | 8 |
| 45 | Goals For | 26 |
| 34 | Goals Against | 30 |
| 1.8 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.13 |
| 1.36 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.3 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 20 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 5.1 | Shots On Goal | 4.65 |
| 13.4 | Total Shots | 13.35 |
| 6.4 | Corners | 5.7 |
| 46.3% | Ball Possession | 46.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between San Jose Earthquakes's more proactive style and Minnesota United FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Minnesota United FC. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with San Jose Earthquakes expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Minnesota United FC in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Minnesota United FC having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. San Jose Earthquakes have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
With 33 points from 18 games and a place of 3, San Jose Earthquakes still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 10 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 37:24, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Preston Judd (9 goals), Timo Werner (4 goals), Ousseni Bouda (3 goals), with creative support from Niko Tsakiris (4 assists), Paul Marie (4 assists), Preston Judd (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.
Minnesota United FC sit 10 with 24 points after 18 league matches. The record of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 20:25 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Kelvin Yeboah (6 goals), Anthony Markanich (4 goals), Joaquín Pereyra (1 goals), with creative support from Joaquín Pereyra (4 assists), Tomás Chancalay (3 assists), James Rodríguez (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, San Jose Earthquakes won 3 times, Minnesota United FC won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:32 from San Jose Earthquakes's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.53 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 59:26 | 33 | 50 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 48:36 | 12 | 47 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 50:42 | 8 | 47 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
San Jose Earthquakes
Home
|
27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 49:39 | 10 | 45 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
| 5 | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 34:32 | 2 | 44 |
L
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 43:30 | 13 | 41 |
L
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 35:35 | 0 | 38 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 27 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 38:38 | 0 | 36 |
L
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 37:44 | -7 | 36 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 48:51 | -3 | 32 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40:44 | -4 | 32 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 47:47 | 0 | 32 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 35:47 | -12 | 31 |
D
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 14 |
Minnesota United FC
Away
|
27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 40:49 | -9 | 29 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
| 15 | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 32:65 | -33 | 21 |
L
W
L
W
L
|