CHILE PRIMERA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
El Cobre
Referee: Claudio Diaz Mera, Chile
Cobresal
Match Timeline
Nublense
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
12'
Gabriel Graciani
Nublense
14'
I. Jeraldino
Nublense
🟨
45+5'
Steffan Pino
Cobresal
🟨
45+5'
Christian Mansilla
Nublense
🔄
46'
A. Astudillo ↔ J. Fuentes
Cobresal
🔄
46'
C. Moreno ↔ R. Huerta
Cobresal
🔄
53'
C. Mansilla ↔ D. Cespedes
Nublense
🔄
64'
I. Tapia ↔ F. Ovelar
Nublense
🔄
64'
M. Plaza ↔ A. Valdes
Nublense
🔄
71'
A. Nadruz ↔ F. Frias
Cobresal
🟨
77'
Nicola Pérez
Nublense
🔄
79'
G. Graciani ↔ P. Calderon
Nublense
🔄
79'
I. Jeraldino ↔ F. Rami
Nublense
🟨
84'
Jovany Campusano
Nublense
🟨
87'
Franco Bechtholdt
Cobresal

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 85.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 36.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
85.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
36.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
81%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Cobresal Win 34%
Draw 14.6%
Nublense Win 51.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cobresal1.38
Nublense1.55
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cobresal Cobresal
WWDLW
20 GF / 30 GA
Nublense Nublense
WLDWL
15 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.43
Average Goals Scored
1.15
2.14
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
10
BTTS Yes
7
9
Over 2.5
4
4.31
Shots on Goal
3.62

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cobresal Cobresal 14 matches
Nublense Nublense 13 matches
Cobresal Statistic Nublense
4 Wins 4
1 Draws 6
9 Losses 3
20 Goals For 15
30 Goals Against 17
1.43 Avg Goals Scored 1.15
2.14 Avg Goals Conceded 1.31
10 BTTS Yes 7
10 Over 1.5 9
9 Over 2.5 4
8 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 5
2 Failed To Score 2
4.31 Shots On Goal 3.62
13.15 Total Shots 12
5.31 Corners 4.31
44.5% Ball Possession 44.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Nublense. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Cobresal have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cobresal expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Nublense in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Nublense having the stronger overall control.

Cobresal Analysis

Cobresal approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 13 points from 12 matches. The overall return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 7 defeats with a 18:23 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on Steffan Pino (6 goals), A. Nadruz (2 goals), Franco Frías (2 goals), with creative support from B. A. Carvallo U. (5 assists), G. Pacheco (2 assists), Julián Brea (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Nublense Analysis

So far, Nublense have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 17 points from 12 matches. The record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 13:15 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through I. Jeraldino (3 goals), D. Sanhueza (2 goals), Franco Rami (2 goals), with creative support from Gabriel Graciani (1 assists), Matías Plaza (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Cobresal won 3 times, Nublense won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:23 from Cobresal's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.86 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.4%)
Predicted formations: Cobresal 4-4-2 / Nublense 3-5-2
H2H summary: Cobresal wins 3, draws 5, Nublense wins 6
Stats
Cobresal Cobresal
Nublense Nublense
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
9
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
1
9 Corner Kicks 4
7 Fouls 15
2 Offsides 2
69% Ball Possession 31%
16 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Goal 4
9 Shots off Goal 4
4 Blocked Shots 1
7 Shots insidebox 5
9 Shots outsidebox 3
2 Goalkeeper Saves 3
517 Total passes 228
437 Passes accurate 149
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Cobresal
Formation
Nublense
A. Santander
A. Santander
F. Bechtholdt
F. Bechtholdt
C. Moreno
C. Moreno
J. Tiznado
J. Tiznado
G. Pacheco
G. Pacheco
A. Astudillo
A. Astudillo
A. Nadruz
A. Nadruz
A. Castillo
A. Castillo
B. A. Carvallo U.
B. A. Carvallo U.
S. Pino
S. Pino
J. Brea
J. Brea
N. Perez
N. Perez
F. Campos Mosqueira
F. Campos Mosqueira
O. Bosso Torres
O. Bosso Torres
S. Valencia
S. Valencia
G. Graciani
G. Graciani
C. Mansilla
C. Mansilla
M. Rivera
M. Rivera
J. Campusano
J. Campusano
I. Tapia
I. Tapia
I. Jeraldino
I. Jeraldino
M. Plaza
M. Plaza
Cobresal 3-4-1-2
Starting XI
12
A. Santander
16
F. Bechtholdt
🟨 87'
D
18
C. Moreno
↓ 46'
D
20
J. Tiznado
D
23
G. Pacheco
M
22
A. Astudillo
↓ 46'
M
5
A. Nadruz
↓ 71'
M
15
A. Castillo
M
10
B. A. Carvallo U.
F
8
S. Pino
🟨 45+5'
F
11
J. Brea
F
Substitutes
1
Gonzalez Renato
G
4
R. Sandoval
21
M. Sepulveda
17
J. Fuentes
↑ 46'
M
6
E. Valencia
M
32
F. Frias
↑ 71'
F
14
R. Huerta
↑ 46'
F
24
B. Ramirez
F
13
B. Valenzuela
M
Nublense 3-4-3
Starting XI
1
N. Perez
🟨 77'
G
5
F. Campos Mosqueira
D
4
O. Bosso Torres
D
15
S. Valencia
8
G. Graciani
↓ 79'
M
35
C. Mansilla
↓ 53'
28
M. Rivera
M
14
J. Campusano
🟨 84'
M
19
I. Tapia
↓ 64'
F
20
I. Jeraldino
⚽ 14' ↓ 79'
F
10
M. Plaza
↓ 64'
F
Substitutes
25
H. Munoz
G
7
F. Ovelar
↑ 64'
F
18
D. Cespedes
↑ 53'
M
6
P. Calderon
↑ 79'
D
13
D. Saavedra
11
L. Molina Canto
F
16
D. Sanhueza
D
22
A. Valdes
↑ 64'
M
9
F. Rami
↑ 79'
F
Last matches: Cobresal
05.07.26
Cop
Cobresal
Cobreloa
2
2
D
01.07.26
Cop
Cobresal
D. La Serena
0
1
L
28.06.26
Cop
Cobresal
Antofagasta
0
1
L
24.06.26
Cop
Cobresal
D. La Serena
0
0
D
20.06.26
Cop
Cobresal
Cobreloa
0
2
L
13.06.26
Pri
Cobresal
Colo Colo
0
3
L
23.05.26
Pri
Cobresal
A. Italiano
1
2
L
17.05.26
Pri
Cobresal
Universidad de Chile
1
0
W
26.04.26
Pri
Cobresal
Everton de Vina
1
3
L
19.04.26
Pri
Cobresal
O'Higgins
2
3
L
13.04.26
Pri
Cobresal
Universidad de Concepcion
0
1
L
03.04.26
Pri
Cobresal
Coquimbo Unido
2
3
L
15.03.26
Pri
Cobresal
Deportes Limache
2
5
L
08.03.26
Pri
Cobresal
Palestino
2
4
L
27.02.26
Pri
Cobresal
D. La Serena
0
1
L
20.02.26
Pri
Cobresal
Concepción
1
1
D
14.02.26
Pri
Cobresal
U. Catolica
3
2
W
09.02.26
Pri
Cobresal
Union La Calera
1
3
L
31.01.26
Pri
Cobresal
Huachipato
1
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
Cobresal
D. La Serena
3
2
W
Last matches: Nublense
05.07.26
Cop
Nublense
Curico Unido
2
2
D
01.07.26
Cop
Nublense
Universidad de Concepcion
1
0
W
28.06.26
Cop
Nublense
Rangers de Talca
1
0
W
25.06.26
Cop
Nublense
Universidad de Concepcion
4
2
W
21.06.26
Cop
Nublense
Curico Unido
0
1
L
14.06.26
Pri
Nublense
Huachipato
2
2
D
23.05.26
Pri
Nublense
Universidad de Concepcion
2
2
D
17.05.26
Pri
Nublense
Colo Colo
2
6
L
25.04.26
Pri
Nublense
O'Higgins
0
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Nublense
Coquimbo Unido
1
1
D
12.04.26
Pri
Nublense
Universidad de Chile
1
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
Nublense
Everton de Vina
0
0
D
15.03.26
Pri
Nublense
D. La Serena
2
2
D
06.03.26
Pri
Nublense
Concepción
2
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Nublense
U. Catolica
1
2
L
20.02.26
Pri
Nublense
Union La Calera
1
0
W
15.02.26
Pri
Nublense
A. Italiano
1
0
W
08.02.26
Pri
Nublense
Deportes Limache
1
1
D
01.02.26
Pri
Nublense
Palestino
1
1
D
H2H: Cobresal vs Nublense
29.05.26
H2H
Cobresal
Nublense
0
1
L
03.05.26
H2H
Nublense
Cobresal
2
0
L
21.03.26
H2H
Cobresal
Nublense
1
1
D
07.12.25
H2H
Nublense
Cobresal
5
0
L
22.06.25
H2H
Cobresal
Nublense
1
1
D
14.09.24
H2H
Nublense
Cobresal
1
0
L
20.04.24
H2H
Cobresal
Nublense
2
2
D
06.08.23
H2H
Nublense
Cobresal
1
2
W
18.02.23
H2H
Cobresal
Nublense
1
1
D
22.07.22
H2H
Nublense
Cobresal
3
2
L
26.02.22
H2H
Cobresal
Nublense
1
1
D
06.09.21
H2H
Cobresal
Nublense
4
1
W
12.04.21
H2H
Nublense
Cobresal
3
1
L
11.08.18
H2H
Nublense
Cobresal
0
0
D
04.03.18
H2H
Cobresal
Nublense
2
0
W
Last matches: Cobresal
05.07.26
Cop
Cobresal
Cobreloa
2
2
D
01.07.26
Cop
Cobresal
D. La Serena
0
1
L
28.06.26
Cop
Cobresal
Antofagasta
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pri
Cobresal
Universidad de Chile
1
0
W
19.04.26
Pri
Cobresal
O'Higgins
2
3
L
15.03.26
Pri
Cobresal
Deportes Limache
2
5
L
27.02.26
Pri
Cobresal
D. La Serena
0
1
L
14.02.26
Pri
Cobresal
U. Catolica
3
2
W
31.01.26
Pri
Cobresal
Huachipato
1
0
W
H2H at home: Cobresal
29.05.26
H2H
Cobresal
Nublense
0
1
L
21.03.26
H2H
Cobresal
Nublense
1
1
D
22.06.25
H2H
Cobresal
Nublense
1
1
D
20.04.24
H2H
Cobresal
Nublense
2
2
D
18.02.23
H2H
Cobresal
Nublense
1
1
D
26.02.22
H2H
Cobresal
Nublense
1
1
D
06.09.21
H2H
Cobresal
Nublense
4
1
W
04.03.18
H2H
Cobresal
Nublense
2
0
W
Last matches: Nublense
01.07.26
Cop
Nublense
Universidad de Concepcion
1
0
W
28.06.26
Cop
Nublense
Rangers de Talca
1
0
W
21.06.26
Cop
Nublense
Curico Unido
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pri
Nublense
Colo Colo
2
6
L
19.04.26
Pri
Nublense
Coquimbo Unido
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pri
Nublense
Everton de Vina
0
0
D
06.03.26
Pri
Nublense
Concepción
2
0
W
20.02.26
Pri
Nublense
Union La Calera
1
0
W
01.02.26
Pri
Nublense
Palestino
1
1
D
H2H away: Nublense
29.05.26
H2H
Cobresal
Nublense
0
1
W
21.03.26
H2H
Cobresal
Nublense
1
1
D
22.06.25
H2H
Cobresal
Nublense
1
1
D
20.04.24
H2H
Cobresal
Nublense
2
2
D
18.02.23
H2H
Cobresal
Nublense
1
1
D
26.02.22
H2H
Cobresal
Nublense
1
1
D
06.09.21
H2H
Cobresal
Nublense
4
1
L
04.03.18
H2H
Cobresal
Nublense
2
0
L

Standings

Primera
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 12 0 3 29:12 17 36
W W W W W
2 15 8 2 5 35:20 15 26
W W L W L
3 15 6 6 3 17:10 7 24
W D W L W
4 15 7 3 5 22:18 4 24
D W D W L
5 15 7 3 5 23:21 2 24
W D W W L
6 15 7 2 6 23:22 1 23
D L L W D
7 15 6 4 5 19:15 4 22
L W D W W
8 15 5 7 3 18:19 -1 22
D W D L L
9 15 6 3 6 30:23 7 21
L L L L D
10 15 6 2 7 19:22 -3 20
L D L L W
11 15 5 4 6 13:26 -13 19
L D D W L
12 15 4 6 5 21:25 -4 18
D L W L D
13 15 4 4 7 18:21 -3 16
D D W L D
14 15 4 2 9 14:23 -9 14
W L W L W
15 15 4 1 10 19:29 -10 13
L L L W L
16 15 3 3 9 14:28 -14 12
D D L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga de Ascenso