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16.08.2026 19:00
El Cobre
Referee: Mario Salvo Sepulveda, Chile
Cobresal
Match Timeline
Concepción
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
22'
Victor Manuel Campos Mella
Cobresal
🟨
37'
Fausto Grillo
Concepción
🔄
38'
D. Varas ↔ C. Riquelme
Concepción
🟨
39'
Julián Brea
Cobresal
🟨
42'
Cristian Riquelme
Concepción
⚽
45'
N. Rodriguez · Assist: J. Henriquez
Concepción
🔄
46'
D. Acosta ↔ C. Escobar
Concepción
🔄
57'
J. Montecinos ↔ M. Davila Carvajal
Concepción
🔄
57'
J. Henriquez ↔ F. Romero
Concepción
🔄
62'
Villagran ↔ B. A. Carvallo U.
Cobresal
🔄
62'
V. Campos ↔ B. Valenzuela
Cobresal
🔄
62'
J. Morales ↔ F. Frias
Cobresal
🟨
70'
Juan Fuentes
Cobresal
🔄
74'
J. Fuentes ↔ E. Valencia
Cobresal
🔄
78'
E. Espinoza ↔ A. Jara
Concepción
⚽
90'
A. Jara · Assist: M. Davila Carvajal
Concepción

Cobresal vs Concepción Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 55.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
55.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
76.6%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Cobresal Win 33.5%
Draw 11.3%
Concepción Win 55.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cobresal1.19
Concepción1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cobresal Cobresal
WWDLW
29 GF / 46 GA
Concepción Concepción
WLDWL
31 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.16
Average Goals Scored
1.24
1.84
Average Goals Conceded
1.24
12
BTTS Yes
10
13
Over 2.5
10
4.44
Shots on Goal
3.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cobresal Cobresal 25 matches
Concepción Concepción 25 matches
Cobresal Statistic Concepción
5 Wins 11
4 Draws 3
16 Losses 11
29 Goals For 31
46 Goals Against 31
1.16 Avg Goals Scored 1.24
1.84 Avg Goals Conceded 1.24
12 BTTS Yes 10
16 Over 1.5 20
13 Over 2.5 10
11 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 8
10 Failed To Score 7
4.44 Shots On Goal 3.67
13.72 Total Shots 12.5
4.89 Corners 4.44
44.7% Ball Possession 46.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Concepción. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Concepción look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cobresal expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Concepción in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Concepción having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Cobresal Analysis

With 17 points from 18 games and a place of 15, Cobresal still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 11 defeats with a 26:34 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Steffan Pino (5 goals), Julián Brea (4 goals), Agustin Nadruz (2 goals), with creative support from Bryan Carvallo (3 assists), César Yanis (2 assists), Guillermo Pacheco (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Concepción Analysis

So far, Concepción have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 20 points from 17 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 19:23 reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking weight is carried by Joaquín Larrivey (6 goals), Cecilio Waterman (3 goals), Mario Sandoval (2 goals), with creative support from Yerco Oyanedel (2 assists), Agustín Urzi (2 assists), Joaquín Larrivey (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Cobresal won 0 times, Concepción won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:3 from Cobresal's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.7%)
Predicted formations: Cobresal 4-4-2 / Concepción 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Cobresal wins 0, draws 1, Concepción wins 1

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 17 3 3 48:22 26 54
D D W W D
2 23 13 3 7 50:33 17 42
W W W W L
3 23 12 6 5 35:19 16 42
W W L L W
4 23 10 6 7 37:25 12 36
W L W W D
5 23 11 3 9 36:33 3 36
L W L W W
6 23 10 3 10 43:35 8 33
L W W L W
7 23 8 8 7 28:31 -3 32
L L L L W
8 23 9 4 10 25:26 -1 31
D L W D W
9 23 7 9 7 34:38 -4 30
L W W D W
10 22 8 5 9 31:31 0 29
L L L W L
11 23 7 7 9 26:31 -5 28
W W L D D
12 22 8 4 10 31:39 -8 28
W W D L L
13 23 8 3 12 28:36 -8 27
L W L L D
14 23 7 3 13 34:44 -10 24
W L W D L
15 23 6 4 13 17:39 -22 22
L L L W L
16 23 4 5 14 19:40 -21 17
W L L D L