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20.09.2026 19:00
Estadio Defensores del Chaco
Referee: B. Romero
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Match Timeline
Olimpia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
33'
J. Vera · Assist: A. F. Rodriguez Armoa
Olimpia
🟨
39'
Richard Ortiz
Olimpia
🟨
45+4'
Ángel Benítez
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
VAR
45+4'
Richard Ortiz
Olimpia
⚽
45'
G. Avalos
Olimpia
🟨
52'
Maximiliano Antonio Garcia Soley
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
🔄
56'
A. Benitez ↔ H. Gonzalez
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
🔄
56'
R. Amarilla ↔ K. Fernandez
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
🔄
62'
F. Cardozo ↔ R. Sanchez
Olimpia
🔄
66'
M. Ferreira ↔ J. Duarte
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
🔄
67'
S. Salcedo ↔ J. Barrios
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
🔄
68'
G. Avalos ↔ H. Sandoval
Olimpia
🔄
69'
F. Alfonso ↔ B. Romero
Olimpia
🔄
69'
J. F. Alfaro ↔ R. Redes
Olimpia
🟨
70'
Juan Vera
Olimpia
🔄
83'
G. Gerzel ↔ A. Alvarez
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
🔄
84'
R. Benitez ↔ E. Matus
Olimpia
⚽
87'
R. Redes · Assist: M. Gamarra
Olimpia

Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Olimpia Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 84.4%
Odds 1.40
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 2.00
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.8%
Odds 1.77
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
84.4%
1.40 ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
2.00 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.8%
1.77 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.28 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Club Sp. San Lorenzo Win 7.8%
Draw 7.8%
Olimpia Win 84.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Club Sp. San Lorenzo0.71
Olimpia1.72
Recent Form (Last 5)
Club Sp. San Lorenzo Club Sp. San Lorenzo
WWDLW
17 GF / 59 GA
Olimpia Olimpia
WLDWL
54 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
0.53
Average Goals Scored
1.64
1.84
Average Goals Conceded
0.97
12
BTTS Yes
18
12
Over 2.5
17
1.5
Shots on Goal
5.16

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Club Sp. San Lorenzo Club Sp. San Lorenzo 32 matches
Olimpia Olimpia 33 matches
Club Sp. San Lorenzo Statistic Olimpia
3 Wins 20
7 Draws 5
22 Losses 8
17 Goals For 54
59 Goals Against 32
0.53 Avg Goals Scored 1.64
1.84 Avg Goals Conceded 0.97
12 BTTS Yes 18
20 Over 1.5 24
12 Over 2.5 17
6 Over 3.5 6
5 Clean Sheets 11
17 Failed To Score 5
1.5 Shots On Goal 5.16
6.31 Total Shots 14.94
2.63 Corners 5
24.8% Ball Possession 53.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Olimpia's more proactive style and Club Sp. San Lorenzo's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Club Sp. San Lorenzo expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Olimpia in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Olimpia having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Olimpia. Olimpia look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Olimpia carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 16 points while Club Sp. San Lorenzo sit 12 on 1, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Club Sp. San Lorenzo Analysis

Club Sp. San Lorenzo sit 12 with 1 points after 10 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 9 defeats with a 3:18 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on F. Aragón (1 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Olimpia Analysis

Olimpia approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 16 points after 9 outings. They have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, with a 14:9 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on H. Sandoval (2 goals), R. Benitez (1 goals), A. Rodríguez (1 goals), with creative support from R. Benitez (1 assists), A. Rodríguez (1 assists), E. Delmás (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Club Sp. San Lorenzo won 1 times, Olimpia won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:24 from Club Sp. San Lorenzo's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (92.2%)
Predicted formations: Club Sp. San Lorenzo 4-4-2 / Olimpia 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Club Sp. San Lorenzo wins 1, draws 3, Olimpia wins 6

Standings

Primera Division: Clausura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 8 2 3 22:10 12 26
D W W W W
2 13 8 2 3 21:14 7 26
W L D W W
3 13 7 4 2 16:13 3 25
W D L L W
4 13 6 5 2 20:8 12 23
D D W W L
5 13 7 2 4 23:13 10 23
W W L W L
6 13 5 6 2 14:10 4 21
D W W D W
7 13 4 6 3 15:15 0 18
L D D W W
8 13 5 2 6 15:14 1 17
L L W D W
9 13 4 1 8 14:24 -10 13
L L W L L
10 13 3 3 7 15:24 -9 12
W D L L L
11 13 2 2 9 14:26 -12 8
L D L L L
12 13 0 3 10 4:22 -18 3
D D L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)