FRANCE LIGUE 2
--.--.---- --:--
Stade Gabriel Montpied
Referee: M. Leleu
Clermont Foot
Match Timeline
Guingamp
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
60'
F. Mbemba ↔ A. Sagna
Guingamp
🔄
67'
I. Coulibaly ↔ V. Nsimba
Clermont Foot
🔄
68'
A. Hunou ↔ K. Bamba
Clermont Foot
🔄
72'
E. Koffi ↔ I. Diakite
Guingamp
🔄
72'
Y. Demoncy ↔ Y. Njoya
Guingamp
72'
H. Saivet · Assist: A. Camblan
Clermont Foot
🟨
77'
Tanguy Ahile
Guingamp
🔄
79'
D. Louiserre ↔ T. Matondo
Guingamp
🔄
79'
A. Demouchy ↔ N. Fondja
Guingamp
🔄
82'
J. Gastien ↔ E. H. Kone
Clermont Foot
🔄
89'
I. Fakili ↔ E. Cantero
Clermont Foot
🔄
89'
H. Saivet ↔ I. M'Bahia
Clermont Foot

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 41%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 21.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 32.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
41%
-
BTTS BTTS No
21.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
32.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
83.8%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Clermont Foot Win 30.5%
Draw 28.6%
Guingamp Win 41%
Expected Goals (xG)
Clermont Foot1.23
Guingamp1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Clermont Foot Clermont Foot
WWDLW
38 GF / 45 GA
Guingamp Guingamp
WLDWL
48 GF / 50 GA
Key Stats
1.12
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1.32
Average Goals Conceded
1.39
21
BTTS Yes
18
16
Over 2.5
21
3.27
Shots on Goal
3.88

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Clermont Foot Clermont Foot 34 matches
Guingamp Guingamp 36 matches
Clermont Foot Statistic Guingamp
8 Wins 12
11 Draws 10
15 Losses 14
38 Goals For 48
45 Goals Against 50
1.12 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.32 Avg Goals Conceded 1.39
21 BTTS Yes 18
22 Over 1.5 25
16 Over 2.5 21
8 Over 3.5 12
5 Clean Sheets 10
10 Failed To Score 11
3.27 Shots On Goal 3.88
10.27 Total Shots 12.26
3.7 Corners 5.32
50.6% Ball Possession 56.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Clermont Foot expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Guingamp in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Guingamp having the stronger overall control. Guingamp arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Guingamp. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Clermont Foot Analysis

Clermont Foot approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 34 points from 33 matches. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 10 draws, and 15 defeats, and the 37:44 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on F. Diedhiou (10 goals), K. Bamba (8 goals), I. Fakili (4 goals), with creative support from K. Bamba (3 assists), I. Fakili (3 assists), Johan Gastien (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Guingamp Analysis

Guingamp sit 11 with 40 points after 33 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 10 wins, 10 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 42:48 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Louis Mafouta (15 goals), D. Gomis (4 goals), S. Kielt (4 goals), with creative support from A. Hemia (5 assists), Louis Mafouta (4 assists), G. Ott (4 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Clermont Foot won 5 times, Guingamp won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:11 from Clermont Foot's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.45 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (71.4%)
Predicted formations: Clermont Foot 4-1-4-1 / Guingamp 4-4-2
H2H summary: Clermont Foot wins 5, draws 2, Guingamp wins 4
Stats
Clermont Foot Clermont Foot
Guingamp Guingamp
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
12
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
5
4 Corner Kicks 3
7 Fouls 11
0 Offsides 1
41% Ball Possession 59%
19 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Goal 6
12 Shots off Goal 6
1 Blocked Shots 5
12 Shots insidebox 12
7 Shots outsidebox 5
6 Goalkeeper Saves 4
397 Total passes 575
326 Passes accurate 507
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Clermont Foot
Formation
Guingamp
T. Guivarch
T. Guivarch
I. Coulibaly
I. Coulibaly
Y. Salmier
Y. Salmier
S. Sow
S. Sow
M. Tourraine
M. Tourraine
A. Camblan
🎯
A. Camblan
H. Saivet
H. Saivet
J. Gastien
J. Gastien
I. Fakili
I. Fakili
A. Hunou
A. Hunou
F. Diedhiou
F. Diedhiou
A. Ortola
A. Ortola
E. Koffi
E. Koffi
A. Demouchy
A. Demouchy
S. Nair
S. Nair
J. Matumona
J. Matumona
Y. Demoncy
Y. Demoncy
D. Louiserre
D. Louiserre
T. Ahile
T. Ahile
F. Mbemba
F. Mbemba
L. Mafouta
L. Mafouta
S. Kielt
S. Kielt
Clermont Foot 4-4-2
Starting XI
30
T. Guivarch
G
93
I. Coulibaly
↓ 67'
D
21
Y. Salmier
D
4
S. Sow
D
39
M. Tourraine
D
7
A. Camblan
🎯 72'
M
10
H. Saivet
⚽ 72' ↓ 89'
M
25
J. Gastien
↓ 82'
M
29
I. Fakili
↓ 89'
M
23
A. Hunou
↓ 68'
F
18
F. Diedhiou
F
Substitutes
16
M. N'Diaye
G
32
K. Bamba
↑ 68'
F
17
O. Diop
F
77
E. Cantero
↑ 89'
F
12
V. Nsimba
↑ 67'
D
38
E. H. Kone
↑ 82'
M
28
I. M'Bahia
↑ 89'
D
Guingamp 4-4-2
Starting XI
16
A. Ortola
G
2
E. Koffi
↓ 72'
D
36
A. Demouchy
↓ 79'
D
18
S. Nair
D
3
J. Matumona
D
21
Y. Demoncy
↓ 72'
M
4
D. Louiserre
↓ 79'
M
39
T. Ahile
🟨 77'
M
17
F. Mbemba
↓ 60'
M
9
L. Mafouta
F
27
S. Kielt
F
Substitutes
1
T. Bartouche-Selbonne
G
29
A. Abdallah
D
37
T. Matondo
↑ 79'
M
32
I. Diakite
↑ 72'
M
11
A. Sagna
↑ 60'
M
34
Y. Njoya
↑ 72'
F
35
N. Fondja
↑ 79'
D
Last matches: Clermont Foot
02.05.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
Montpellier
2
1
W
24.04.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
Bastia
1
1
D
17.04.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
Le Mans
0
1
L
10.04.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
Nancy
2
2
D
03.04.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
Grenoble
2
2
D
27.03.26
Fri
Clermont Foot
Le Puy Foot
0
0
D
20.03.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
RED Star FC 93
0
1
L
13.03.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
PAU
0
1
L
07.03.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
Estac Troyes
1
2
L
27.02.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
Dunkerque
2
1
W
20.02.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
Boulogne
2
0
W
13.02.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
Rodez
1
2
L
09.02.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
Amiens
3
4
L
30.01.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
Reims
0
1
L
23.01.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
Annecy
1
2
L
17.01.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
Saint Etienne
0
1
L
03.01.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
Laval
4
1
W
12.12.25
Lig
Clermont Foot
Nancy
0
1
L
05.12.25
Lig
Clermont Foot
Boulogne
1
1
D
22.11.25
Lig
Clermont Foot
RED Star FC 93
2
2
D
Last matches: Guingamp
02.05.26
Lig
Guingamp
Bastia
0
1
L
24.04.26
Lig
Guingamp
RED Star FC 93
2
3
L
17.04.26
Lig
Guingamp
PAU
1
2
L
10.04.26
Lig
Guingamp
Grenoble
1
1
D
03.04.26
Lig
Guingamp
Annecy
0
1
L
21.03.26
Lig
Guingamp
Reims
0
2
L
13.03.26
Lig
Guingamp
Amiens
1
0
W
06.03.26
Lig
Guingamp
Laval
2
2
D
28.02.26
Lig
Guingamp
Rodez
0
0
D
23.02.26
Lig
Guingamp
Le Mans
1
1
D
14.02.26
Lig
Guingamp
Saint Etienne
1
2
L
06.02.26
Lig
Guingamp
Dunkerque
0
0
D
30.01.26
Lig
Guingamp
Montpellier
1
3
L
24.01.26
Lig
Guingamp
Estac Troyes
1
0
W
19.01.26
Lig
Guingamp
Nancy
3
0
W
03.01.26
Lig
Guingamp
Boulogne
3
0
W
19.12.25
Cou
Guingamp
Laval
0
1
L
12.12.25
Lig
Guingamp
Rodez
1
2
L
05.12.25
Lig
Guingamp
Annecy
0
3
L
29.11.25
Cou
Guingamp
Ancienne Château-Gontier
4
0
W
H2H: Clermont Foot vs Guingamp
09.05.26
H2H
Clermont Foot
Guingamp
1
0
W
24.10.25
H2H
Guingamp
Clermont Foot
0
1
W
07.03.25
H2H
Guingamp
Clermont Foot
3
1
L
05.10.24
H2H
Clermont Foot
Guingamp
4
1
W
02.03.21
H2H
Guingamp
Clermont Foot
0
5
W
07.11.20
H2H
Clermont Foot
Guingamp
0
0
D
20.03.20
H2H
Clermont Foot
Guingamp
0
0
D
25.10.19
H2H
Guingamp
Clermont Foot
1
2
W
06.04.13
H2H
Guingamp
Clermont Foot
0
0
D
02.11.12
H2H
Clermont Foot
Guingamp
1
2
L
11.05.12
H2H
Guingamp
Clermont Foot
3
1
L
05.08.11
H2H
Clermont Foot
Guingamp
0
1
L
Last matches: Clermont Foot
24.04.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
Bastia
1
1
D
10.04.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
Nancy
2
2
D
27.03.26
Fri
Clermont Foot
Le Puy Foot
0
0
D
20.03.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
RED Star FC 93
0
1
L
13.03.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
PAU
0
1
L
27.02.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
Dunkerque
2
1
W
13.02.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
Rodez
1
2
L
30.01.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
Reims
0
1
L
03.01.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
Laval
4
1
W
05.12.25
Lig
Clermont Foot
Boulogne
1
1
D
07.11.25
Lig
Clermont Foot
Amiens
2
1
W
28.10.25
Lig
Clermont Foot
Montpellier
1
1
D
17.10.25
Lig
Clermont Foot
Annecy
0
1
L
26.09.25
Lig
Clermont Foot
Le Mans
1
1
D
13.09.25
Lig
Clermont Foot
Saint Etienne
1
2
L
22.08.25
Lig
Clermont Foot
Grenoble
2
1
W
15.08.25
Lig
Clermont Foot
Estac Troyes
0
0
D
13.08.19
Cou
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
1
1
D
H2H at home: Clermont Foot
09.05.26
H2H
Clermont Foot
Guingamp
1
0
W
05.10.24
H2H
Clermont Foot
Guingamp
4
1
W
07.11.20
H2H
Clermont Foot
Guingamp
0
0
D
20.03.20
H2H
Clermont Foot
Guingamp
0
0
D
02.11.12
H2H
Clermont Foot
Guingamp
1
2
L
05.08.11
H2H
Clermont Foot
Guingamp
0
1
L
Last matches: Guingamp
24.04.26
Lig
Guingamp
RED Star FC 93
2
3
L
17.04.26
Lig
Guingamp
PAU
1
2
L
03.04.26
Lig
Guingamp
Annecy
0
1
L
06.03.26
Lig
Guingamp
Laval
2
2
D
23.02.26
Lig
Guingamp
Le Mans
1
1
D
06.02.26
Lig
Guingamp
Dunkerque
0
0
D
30.01.26
Lig
Guingamp
Montpellier
1
3
L
19.01.26
Lig
Guingamp
Nancy
3
0
W
12.12.25
Lig
Guingamp
Rodez
1
2
L
29.11.25
Cou
Guingamp
Ancienne Château-Gontier
4
0
W
22.11.25
Lig
Guingamp
Amiens
2
1
W
15.11.25
Cou
Guingamp
Saint-Colomban Locminé
2
1
W
28.10.25
Lig
Guingamp
Grenoble
0
0
D
17.10.25
Lig
Guingamp
Boulogne
2
2
D
27.09.25
Lig
Guingamp
Saint Etienne
3
2
W
20.09.25
Lig
Guingamp
Estac Troyes
2
5
L
30.08.25
Lig
Guingamp
Bastia
3
1
W
16.08.25
Lig
Guingamp
Reims
0
1
L
13.08.19
Cou
Guingamp
Orleans
1
4
L
H2H away: Guingamp
09.05.26
H2H
Clermont Foot
Guingamp
1
0
L
05.10.24
H2H
Clermont Foot
Guingamp
4
1
L
07.11.20
H2H
Clermont Foot
Guingamp
0
0
D
20.03.20
H2H
Clermont Foot
Guingamp
0
0
D
02.11.12
H2H
Clermont Foot
Guingamp
1
2
W
05.08.11
H2H
Clermont Foot
Guingamp
0
1
W

Standings

Ligue 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 20 7 7 60:33 27 67
L W W W L
2 34 16 14 4 50:31 19 62
W D D W D
3 34 18 6 10 59:38 21 60
W L L L W
4 34 16 10 8 45:37 8 58
D W W L W
5 34 15 13 6 45:39 6 58
W W D W W
6 34 14 14 6 53:35 18 56
W D D W D
7 34 15 7 12 49:39 10 52
L W W W D
8 34 14 9 11 41:31 10 51
D L W W D
9 34 12 9 13 48:62 -14 45
L L L W W
10 34 11 10 13 53:45 8 43
L L W L L
11 34 10 10 14 42:49 -7 40
L L L L D
12 34 8 15 11 33:39 -6 39
W W D L D
13 34 9 10 15 38:44 -6 37
W W D L D
14 34 9 10 15 35:52 -17 37
W W D L D
15 34 9 9 16 34:49 -15 36
L L L L D
16 34 6 14 14 30:48 -18 32
W D W L D
17 34 5 13 16 23:39 -16 28
L W D W L
18 34 6 6 22 37:65 -28 24
L L L L L
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation