FRANCE LIGUE 2
--.--.---- --:--
Stade Gabriel Montpied
Referee: M. Lesage
Clermont Foot
Match Timeline
Bastia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
28'
S. Sow · Assist: I. Fakili
Clermont Foot
🟨
32'
Saïdou Sow
Clermont Foot
🟥
47'
Allan Ackra
Clermont Foot
🟨
52'
Abdellah Baallal
Clermont Foot
🔄
58'
G. Akueson ↔ J. Sebas
Bastia
🔄
59'
A. Boutrah ↔ R. Beliandjou
Bastia
🟨
65'
Juan Guevara
Bastia
🔄
69'
T. Ducrocq ↔ M. Merghem
Bastia
🟥
75'
Mehdi Merghem
Bastia
🔄
83'
I. Fakili ↔ M. Douane
Clermont Foot
🔄
83'
A. Camblan ↔ O. Diop
Clermont Foot
🔄
85'
Z. Ariss ↔ N. Zilliox
Bastia
🔄
85'
A. Roncaglia ↔ J. Janneh
Bastia
90'
A. Zaouai · Assist: J. Janneh
Bastia

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 36.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 65.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 64.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
36.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
65.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
64.4%
-
Probability Distribution
Clermont Foot Win 36.5%
Draw 28.9%
Bastia Win 34.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Clermont Foot1.1
Bastia1.03
Recent Form (Last 5)
Clermont Foot Clermont Foot
WWDLW
35 GF / 43 GA
Bastia Bastia
WLDWL
28 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.09
Average Goals Scored
0.82
1.34
Average Goals Conceded
1.12
19
BTTS Yes
10
15
Over 2.5
7
3.32
Shots on Goal
3.69

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Clermont Foot Clermont Foot 32 matches
Bastia Bastia 34 matches
Clermont Foot Statistic Bastia
7 Wins 6
10 Draws 13
15 Losses 15
35 Goals For 28
43 Goals Against 38
1.09 Avg Goals Scored 0.82
1.34 Avg Goals Conceded 1.12
19 BTTS Yes 10
20 Over 1.5 19
15 Over 2.5 7
8 Over 3.5 7
5 Clean Sheets 13
10 Failed To Score 18
3.32 Shots On Goal 3.69
10.42 Total Shots 11.44
3.71 Corners 4.13
51.6% Ball Possession 50.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Bastia. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Clermont Foot expected to line up in 5-4-1 and Bastia in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Bastia having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Clermont Foot have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Clermont Foot Analysis

Clermont Foot sit 14 with 30 points after 31 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 7 wins, 9 draws, and 15 defeats with a 34:41 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on F. Diedhiou (10 goals), K. Bamba (8 goals), I. Fakili (4 goals), with creative support from K. Bamba (3 assists), Johan Gastien (3 assists), F. Diedhiou (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Bastia Analysis

Bastia sit 17 with 24 points after 31 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 4 wins, 12 draws, and 15 defeats with a 19:36 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Felix Tomi (4 goals), J. Sebas (4 goals), Joachim Eickmayer (3 goals), with creative support from Felix Tomi (2 assists), A. Boutrah (2 assists), Alexandre Bi Zaouai (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Clermont Foot won 1 times, Bastia won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:7 from Clermont Foot's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.71 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (71.2%)
Predicted formations: Clermont Foot 5-4-1 / Bastia 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Clermont Foot wins 1, draws 4, Bastia wins 2
Stats
Clermont Foot Clermont Foot
Bastia Bastia
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
8
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
4
5 Corner Kicks 12
12 Fouls 16
0 Offsides 1
34% Ball Possession 66%
9 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Goal 3
4 Shots off Goal 8
3 Blocked Shots 4
5 Shots insidebox 11
4 Shots outsidebox 4
2 Goalkeeper Saves 1
209 Total passes 394
151 Passes accurate 327
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Clermont Foot
Formation
Bastia
T. Guivarch
T. Guivarch
I. Coulibaly
I. Coulibaly
I. M'Bahia
I. M'Bahia
S. Sow
S. Sow
E. H. Kone
E. H. Kone
H. Saivet
H. Saivet
A. Camblan
A. Camblan
A. Ackra
A. Ackra
A. Baallal
A. Baallal
I. Fakili
🎯
I. Fakili
F. Diedhiou
F. Diedhiou
L. Olmeta
L. Olmeta
T. Meynadier
T. Meynadier
A. Roncaglia
A. Roncaglia
G. Akueson
G. Akueson
J. Guevara
J. Guevara
Z. Ariss
Z. Ariss
J. Eickmayer
J. Eickmayer
T. Ducrocq
T. Ducrocq
A. Zaouai
A. Zaouai
A. Boutrah
A. Boutrah
F. Tomi
F. Tomi
Clermont Foot 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
30
T. Guivarch
G
93
I. Coulibaly
D
28
I. M'Bahia
D
4
S. Sow
⚽ 28' 🟨 32'
D
38
E. H. Kone
D
10
H. Saivet
M
7
A. Camblan
↓ 83'
M
44
A. Ackra
🟥 47'
M
2
A. Baallal
🟨 52'
M
29
I. Fakili
🎯 28' ↓ 83'
M
18
F. Diedhiou
F
Substitutes
16
M. N'Diaye
G
11
M. Douane
↑ 83'
F
17
O. Diop
↑ 83'
F
77
E. Cantero
F
25
J. Gastien
M
23
A. Hunou
F
21
Y. Salmier
D
Bastia 5-3-2
Starting XI
1
L. Olmeta
G
24
T. Meynadier
D
4
A. Roncaglia
↓ 85'
D
28
G. Akueson
↓ 58'
D
3
J. Guevara
🟨 65'
D
5
Z. Ariss
↓ 85'
D
17
J. Eickmayer
M
13
T. Ducrocq
↓ 69'
M
18
A. Zaouai
⚽ 90'
M
10
A. Boutrah
↓ 59'
F
9
F. Tomi
F
Substitutes
16
S. Contena
G
12
N. Zilliox
↑ 85'
D
66
J. Janneh
🎯 90' ↑ 85'
M
29
M. Merghem
↑ 69' 🟥 75'
F
6
D. Guidi
D
33
R. Beliandjou
↑ 59'
F
14
J. Sebas
↑ 58'
F
Last matches: Clermont Foot
09.05.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
Guingamp
1
0
W
02.05.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
Montpellier
2
1
W
17.04.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
Le Mans
0
1
L
10.04.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
Nancy
2
2
D
03.04.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
Grenoble
2
2
D
27.03.26
Fri
Clermont Foot
Le Puy Foot
0
0
D
20.03.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
RED Star FC 93
0
1
L
13.03.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
PAU
0
1
L
07.03.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
Estac Troyes
1
2
L
27.02.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
Dunkerque
2
1
W
20.02.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
Boulogne
2
0
W
13.02.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
Rodez
1
2
L
09.02.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
Amiens
3
4
L
30.01.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
Reims
0
1
L
23.01.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
Annecy
1
2
L
17.01.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
Saint Etienne
0
1
L
03.01.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
Laval
4
1
W
12.12.25
Lig
Clermont Foot
Nancy
0
1
L
05.12.25
Lig
Clermont Foot
Boulogne
1
1
D
22.11.25
Lig
Clermont Foot
RED Star FC 93
2
2
D
Last matches: Bastia
09.05.26
Lig
Bastia
Le Mans
0
2
L
02.05.26
Lig
Bastia
Guingamp
1
0
W
18.04.26
Lig
Bastia
Saint Etienne
2
0
W
11.04.26
Lig
Bastia
RED Star FC 93
3
4
L
03.04.26
Lig
Bastia
Amiens
1
1
D
20.03.26
Lig
Bastia
Rodez
1
1
D
13.03.26
Lig
Bastia
Boulogne
0
1
L
06.03.26
Lig
Bastia
PAU
2
2
D
27.02.26
Lig
Bastia
Annecy
0
2
L
20.02.26
Lig
Bastia
Dunkerque
1
1
D
16.02.26
Lig
Bastia
Estac Troyes
0
0
D
06.02.26
Lig
Bastia
Reims
0
0
D
30.01.26
Lig
Bastia
Nancy
0
0
D
23.01.26
Lig
Bastia
Montpellier
0
2
L
16.01.26
Lig
Bastia
Laval
2
0
W
10.01.26
Cou
Bastia
Estac Troyes
0
2
L
03.01.26
Lig
Bastia
Grenoble
1
0
W
20.12.25
Cou
Bastia
Pontivy GSI
1
0
W
13.12.25
Lig
Bastia
Saint Etienne
2
2
D
29.11.25
Cou
Bastia
Saint-Malo
0
0
D
H2H: Clermont Foot vs Bastia
24.04.26
H2H
Clermont Foot
Bastia
1
1
D
31.10.25
H2H
Bastia
Clermont Foot
1
0
L
14.02.25
H2H
Clermont Foot
Bastia
1
1
D
18.10.24
H2H
Bastia
Clermont Foot
0
0
D
02.01.22
H2H
Bastia
Clermont Foot
2
0
L
28.01.12
H2H
Clermont Foot
Bastia
2
1
W
26.08.11
H2H
Bastia
Clermont Foot
1
1
D
Last matches: Clermont Foot
09.05.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
Guingamp
1
0
W
10.04.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
Nancy
2
2
D
27.03.26
Fri
Clermont Foot
Le Puy Foot
0
0
D
20.03.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
RED Star FC 93
0
1
L
13.03.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
PAU
0
1
L
27.02.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
Dunkerque
2
1
W
13.02.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
Rodez
1
2
L
30.01.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
Reims
0
1
L
03.01.26
Lig
Clermont Foot
Laval
4
1
W
05.12.25
Lig
Clermont Foot
Boulogne
1
1
D
07.11.25
Lig
Clermont Foot
Amiens
2
1
W
28.10.25
Lig
Clermont Foot
Montpellier
1
1
D
17.10.25
Lig
Clermont Foot
Annecy
0
1
L
26.09.25
Lig
Clermont Foot
Le Mans
1
1
D
13.09.25
Lig
Clermont Foot
Saint Etienne
1
2
L
22.08.25
Lig
Clermont Foot
Grenoble
2
1
W
15.08.25
Lig
Clermont Foot
Estac Troyes
0
0
D
13.08.19
Cou
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
1
1
D
H2H at home: Clermont Foot
24.04.26
H2H
Clermont Foot
Bastia
1
1
D
14.02.25
H2H
Clermont Foot
Bastia
1
1
D
28.01.12
H2H
Clermont Foot
Bastia
2
1
W
Last matches: Bastia
02.05.26
Lig
Bastia
Guingamp
1
0
W
11.04.26
Lig
Bastia
RED Star FC 93
3
4
L
20.03.26
Lig
Bastia
Rodez
1
1
D
06.03.26
Lig
Bastia
PAU
2
2
D
20.02.26
Lig
Bastia
Dunkerque
1
1
D
06.02.26
Lig
Bastia
Reims
0
0
D
16.01.26
Lig
Bastia
Laval
2
0
W
20.12.25
Cou
Bastia
Pontivy GSI
1
0
W
13.12.25
Lig
Bastia
Saint Etienne
2
2
D
29.11.25
Cou
Bastia
Saint-Malo
0
0
D
21.11.25
Lig
Bastia
Annecy
0
1
L
15.11.25
Cou
Bastia
US Chateau-Malo
6
0
W
28.10.25
Lig
Bastia
Nancy
0
2
L
17.10.25
Lig
Bastia
Estac Troyes
0
1
L
26.09.25
Lig
Bastia
Grenoble
0
0
D
20.09.25
Lig
Bastia
Montpellier
0
2
L
16.09.25
Lig
Bastia
Boulogne
0
1
L
12.09.25
Lig
Bastia
Amiens
0
0
D
22.08.25
Lig
Bastia
Le Mans
0
1
L
H2H away: Bastia
24.04.26
H2H
Clermont Foot
Bastia
1
1
D
14.02.25
H2H
Clermont Foot
Bastia
1
1
D
28.01.12
H2H
Clermont Foot
Bastia
2
1
L

Standings

Ligue 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 20 7 7 60:33 27 67
L W W W L
2 34 16 14 4 50:31 19 62
W D D W D
3 34 18 6 10 59:38 21 60
W L L L W
4 34 16 10 8 45:37 8 58
D W W L W
5 34 15 13 6 45:39 6 58
W W D W W
6 34 14 14 6 53:35 18 56
W D D W D
7 34 15 7 12 49:39 10 52
L W W W D
8 34 14 9 11 41:31 10 51
D L W W D
9 34 12 9 13 48:62 -14 45
L L L W W
10 34 11 10 13 53:45 8 43
L L W L L
11 34 10 10 14 42:49 -7 40
L L L L D
12 34 8 15 11 33:39 -6 39
W W D L D
13 34 9 10 15 38:44 -6 37
W W D L D
14 34 9 10 15 35:52 -17 37
W W D L D
15 34 9 9 16 34:49 -15 36
L L L L D
16 34 6 14 14 30:48 -18 32
W D W L D
17 34 5 13 16 23:39 -16 28
L W D W L
18 34 6 6 22 37:65 -28 24
L L L L L
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation