Chico vs Deportivo Pasto Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
95.7%
|
1.36 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.8%
|
2.00 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
2.54 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
85.7%
|
1.49 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
4.33 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
11.00 |
Chico
Deportivo Pasto
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Chico
28 matches
Deportivo Pasto
32 matches
| Chico | Statistic | Deportivo Pasto |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 13 |
| 4 | Draws | 6 |
| 17 | Losses | 13 |
| 22 | Goals For | 40 |
| 50 | Goals Against | 43 |
| 0.79 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.25 |
| 1.79 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.34 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 20 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 16 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 2.96 | Shots On Goal | 3.71 |
| 9.54 | Total Shots | 11.74 |
| 4.14 | Corners | 4.16 |
| 44.8% | Ball Possession | 52.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Deportivo Pasto's more proactive style and Chico's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Deportivo Pasto. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Deportivo Pasto carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 34 points while Chico sit 18 on 17, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Chico expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Deportivo Pasto in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Deportivo Pasto having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Chico approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 17 points from 19 matches. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 2 draws, and 12 defeats, and the 15:32 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Jairo Molina (4 goals), S. Mera (3 goals), Arlen Banguero (2 goals), with creative support from D. Ramírez (2 assists), Y. Cabrera (2 assists), E. Sarria (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Placed 3 with 34 points from 19 outings, Deportivo Pasto continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, while the 29:25 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Santiago Córdoba (5 goals), D. Chávez (3 goals), Jonathan Perlaza (2 goals), with creative support from D. Chávez (3 assists), E. Serje (2 assists), M. Gil (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Chico won 1 times, Deportivo Pasto won 8 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:23 from Chico's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | 20 | 40 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | 7 | 35 |
L
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 |
Deportivo Pasto
Away
|
19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 34 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
| 4 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | 10 | 33 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | 9 | 33 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | 10 | 31 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 29 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 |
D
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | 4 | 27 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 26 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 26 |
L
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | 6 | 23 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 14 | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 |
D
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 17 | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 18 |
Chico
Home
|
19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
| 19 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 |
W
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 20 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 |
L
L
D
D
L
|