Login Register
COLOMBIA › PRIMERA A
13.10.2026 01:10
Estadio La Independencia

Chico vs Cucuta Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
76%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Chico Win 64.7%
Draw 12.4%
Cucuta Win 22.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Chico1.19
Cucuta1.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
Chico Chico
WWDLW
25 GF / 50 GA
Cucuta Cucuta
WLDWL
38 GF / 55 GA
Key Stats
0.83
Average Goals Scored
1.19
1.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.72
7
BTTS Yes
20
15
Over 2.5
17
2.97
Shots on Goal
3.61

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Chico Chico 30 matches
Cucuta Cucuta 32 matches
Chico Statistic Cucuta
8 Wins 7
5 Draws 11
17 Losses 14
25 Goals For 38
50 Goals Against 55
0.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.19
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.72
7 BTTS Yes 20
21 Over 1.5 28
15 Over 2.5 17
6 Over 3.5 11
8 Clean Sheets 6
17 Failed To Score 7
2.97 Shots On Goal 3.61
9.17 Total Shots 9.19
3.87 Corners 3.61
44.1% Ball Possession 44%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Chico expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Cucuta in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cucuta having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Cucuta. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Chico Analysis

Chico approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 17 points from 19 matches. The overall return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 12 defeats with a 15:32 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Jairo Molina (4 goals), S. Mera (3 goals), Arlen Banguero (2 goals), with creative support from S. Mera (2 assists), D. Ramírez (2 assists), Y. Cabrera (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Cucuta Analysis

Cucuta approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 19 with 16 points from 19 matches. Their record of 3 wins, 7 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 22:35, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through J. Peralta (9 goals), L. Berdugo (6 goals), Luifer Hernández (5 goals), with creative support from L. Berdugo (7 assists), K. Tamayo (3 assists), Luifer Hernández (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Chico won 2 times, Cucuta won 5 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:14 from Chico's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.29 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.6%)
Predicted formations: Chico 4-1-4-1 / Cucuta 4-3-3
H2H summary: Chico wins 2, draws 0, Cucuta wins 5

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
D W D L W
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
L L W W L
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
D L W W D
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
W W D L W
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
D L L W L
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
D D D D L
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
W W L W W
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
D D L L W
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
W W W W W
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
D D D W W
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
L D L W D
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
D W L L D
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
W W W D W
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
L L W L L
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
D D D L D
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
L L L D D
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
D L W L W
18
Chico Home
19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
D W L L W
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
W W L L D
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
L L D D L
Post season qualification