Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
85.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
90.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
87.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Chicago Fire
Toronto FC
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Chicago Fire
19 matches
Toronto FC
18 matches
| Chicago Fire | Statistic | Toronto FC |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 6 |
| 5 | Draws | 6 |
| 5 | Losses | 6 |
| 34 | Goals For | 31 |
| 23 | Goals Against | 32 |
| 1.79 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.72 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.78 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 5.15 | Shots On Goal | 4.69 |
| 14.85 | Total Shots | 11.92 |
| 4.69 | Corners | 5.77 |
| 53.1% | Ball Possession | 47.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Chicago Fire's more proactive style and Toronto FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Toronto FC. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Chicago Fire arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 23 points compared to Toronto FC in 11 on 14, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Toronto FC arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.
Chicago Fire come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 23 points after 13 matches. They have recorded 7 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a 25:15 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on H. Cuypers (13 goals), Philip Zinckernagel (5 goals), M. Haile-Selassie (3 goals), with creative support from Philip Zinckernagel (3 assists), J. Bamba (2 assists), A. Gutman (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Toronto FC sit 11 with 14 points after 13 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 5 defeats with a 21:27 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on D. Salloi (4 goals), Emilio Aristizábal (3 goals), D. Etienne (2 goals), with creative support from D. Salloi (3 assists), J. Osorio (3 assists), K. Franklin (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Chicago Fire won 6 times, Toronto FC won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:21 from Chicago Fire's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Chicago Fire
6
4
4
6
5
1
Lineups
Chicago Fire
CF Montreal
Chicago Fire
DC United
Chicago Fire
New York Red Bulls
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
Chicago Fire
Sporting Kansas City
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
Chicago Fire
Atlanta United FC
Chicago Fire
Nashville SC
Chicago Fire
Philadelphia Union
Chicago Fire
DC United
Chicago Fire
Columbus Crew
Chicago Fire
CF Montreal
Chicago Fire
Houston Dynamo
Chicago Fire
Portland Timbers
Chicago Fire
Indy Eleven
Chicago Fire
Austin
Chicago Fire
Los Angeles Galaxy
Chicago Fire
Indy Eleven
Chicago Fire
Sporting Kansas City
Toronto FC
Charlotte
Toronto FC
Inter Miami
Toronto FC
San Jose Earthquakes
Toronto FC
Atlanta United FC
Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union
Toronto FC
Austin
Toronto FC
FC Cincinnati
Toronto FC
Colorado Rapids
Toronto FC
Columbus Crew
Toronto FC
New York Red Bulls
Toronto FC
FC Cincinnati
Toronto FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
Toronto FC
FC Dallas
Toronto FC
Polessya
Toronto FC
Fredrikstad
Toronto FC
AIK Stockholm
Toronto FC
Jeonbuk Motors
Toronto FC
Incheon United
Chicago Fire
New York Red Bulls
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
Chicago Fire
Sporting Kansas City
Chicago Fire
Atlanta United FC
Chicago Fire
Nashville SC
Chicago Fire
DC United
Chicago Fire
CF Montreal
Chicago Fire
Portland Timbers
Toronto FC
Charlotte
Toronto FC
FC Cincinnati
Toronto FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
Toronto FC
FC Dallas
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 31:11 | 20 | 33 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 39:28 | 11 | 31 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 |
Chicago Fire
Home
|
14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 27:16 | 11 | 26 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
| 4 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 25 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 25:32 | -7 | 22 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 24:23 | 1 | 21 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 36:37 | -1 | 20 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 25:21 | 4 | 19 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 21:25 | -4 | 18 |
D
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 21:23 | -2 | 16 |
W
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 22:31 | -9 | 14 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 23:44 | -21 | 14 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 13 |
Toronto FC
Away
|
14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 22:29 | -7 | 14 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
| 14 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 18:30 | -12 | 7 |
L
D
L
L
D
|
