ECUADOR › LIGA PRO

04.07.2026 00:00

Independiente del Valle

4 - 0

Manta FC

Estadio Banco Guayaquil

Referee: Anthony Diaz, Ecuador

Independiente del Valle

Match Timeline

Manta FC

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Independiente del Valle vs Manta FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home Win

Probability 88%

Odds -

BTTS

Yes

Probability 71.2%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 72%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home Win	88%	-	▥
BTTS	Yes	71.2%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	72%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	92%	-	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	-	▥
Correct Score	2-1	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Independiente del Valle Win 88%

Draw 6%

Manta FC Win 6%

Expected Goals (xG)

Independiente del Valle1.62

Manta FC0.72

Recent Form (Last 5)

Independiente del Valle

WWDLW

44 GF / 26 GA

Manta FC

WLDWL

7 GF / 19 GA

Key Stats

1.91

Average Goals Scored

0.44

1.13

Average Goals Conceded

1.19

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

6.27

Shots on Goal

2.88

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Independiente del Valle 23 matches

Manta FC 16 matches

Independiente del Valle	Statistic	Manta FC
16	Wins	3
2	Draws	3
5	Losses	10
44	Goals For	7
26	Goals Against	19
1.91	Avg Goals Scored	0.44
1.13	Avg Goals Conceded	1.19
12	BTTS Yes	4
19	Over 1.5	7
13	Over 2.5	3
9	Over 3.5	1
8	Clean Sheets	3
4	Failed To Score	10
6.27	Shots On Goal	2.88
19.14	Total Shots	9.81
6.86	Corners	4.94
58.8%	Ball Possession	46.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Independiente del Valle won 7 times, Manta FC won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:11 from Independiente del Valle's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.15 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 1X (94%)

Predicted formations: Independiente del Valle 4-1-4-1 / Manta FC 4-5-1

H2H summary: Independiente del Valle wins 7, draws 2, Manta FC wins 4

Standings

Liga Pro: Regular season

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Independiente del Valle Home	30	24	2	4	73:33	40	74	W W L D W
2	Universidad Catolica	30	14	9	7	51:27	24	51	W W D D W
3	Macara	30	15	6	9	41:33	8	51	W L W W L
4	Aucas	30	14	8	8	33:28	5	50	D D D W W
5	LDU de Quito	30	13	7	10	31:24	7	46	D W D L W
6	Barcelona SC	30	11	11	8	32:25	7	44	D D W L W
7	Libertad	30	11	8	11	33:34	-1	41	L W D L W
8	Leones del Norte	30	10	9	11	31:32	-1	39	L D W L L
9	Guayaquil City FC	30	10	9	11	33:36	-3	39	W L L W W
10	Emelec	30	10	9	11	25:34	-9	39	L W D W L
11	Mushuc Runa SC	30	9	11	10	35:38	-3	38	L D D W D
12	Deportivo Cuenca	30	10	6	14	25:37	-12	36	D L W L D
13	Orense SC	30	9	6	15	36:47	-11	33	L W L L L
14	Tecnico Universitario	30	10	2	18	28:42	-14	32	W L L W L
15	Delfin SC	30	7	7	16	19:31	-12	28	D L W L L
16	Manta FC Away	30	5	6	19	17:42	-25	21	D L L W L

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