🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
--.--.---- --:--
Soldier Field
Referee: A. Chapman
Chicago Fire
Match Timeline
New York Red Bulls
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
18'
Robert Voloder
New York Red Bulls
45'
J. Ruvalcaba · Assist: E. Forsberg
New York Red Bulls
🔄
46'
J. Hall ↔ E. M. Choupo-Moting
New York Red Bulls
49'
C. Cowell · Assist: R. Donkor
New York Red Bulls
🔄
60'
E. Forsberg ↔ G. Berggren
New York Red Bulls
🔄
61'
J. Bamba ↔ P. Dithejane
Chicago Fire
🔄
73'
C. Cowell ↔ R. Mosquera
New York Red Bulls
🔄
73'
M. Dos Santos ↔ O. Valencia
New York Red Bulls
VAR
77'
Adri Mehmeti
New York Red Bulls
🔄
80'
D. D'Avilla ↔ M. Pineda
Chicago Fire
🔄
80'
J. Dean ↔ J. Shokalook
Chicago Fire
🔄
80'
A. Saletros ↔ S. Oregel
Chicago Fire
🔄
80'
R. Voloder ↔ J. Che
New York Red Bulls
🟨
81'
Maren Haile-Selassie
Chicago Fire
🟨
81'
Jorge Ruvalcaba
New York Red Bulls
81'
E. M. Choupo-Moting
New York Red Bulls
🔄
85'
M. Haile-Selassie ↔ D. Borso
Chicago Fire
87'
H. Cuypers
Chicago Fire
🟨
90+6'
Omar Valencia
New York Red Bulls

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 94.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 78.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
94.1%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
78.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Chicago Fire Win 94.1%
Draw 0%
New York Red Bulls Win 5.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Chicago Fire1.99
New York Red Bulls1.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire
WWDLW
28 GF / 19 GA
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls
WLDWL
29 GF / 40 GA
Key Stats
1.75
Average Goals Scored
1.71
1.19
Average Goals Conceded
2.35
8
BTTS Yes
11
10
Over 2.5
13
5.1
Shots on Goal
5.18

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 16 matches
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 17 matches
Chicago Fire Statistic New York Red Bulls
7 Wins 5
5 Draws 3
4 Losses 9
28 Goals For 29
19 Goals Against 40
1.75 Avg Goals Scored 1.71
1.19 Avg Goals Conceded 2.35
8 BTTS Yes 11
10 Over 1.5 16
10 Over 2.5 13
6 Over 3.5 10
8 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 4
5.1 Shots On Goal 5.18
15.2 Total Shots 14.36
4.4 Corners 6.82
52.7% Ball Possession 57.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Chicago Fire's more proactive style and New York Red Bulls's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. New York Red Bulls arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward New York Red Bulls having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring New York Red Bulls. Chicago Fire arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 17 points compared to New York Red Bulls in 11 on 12, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Chicago Fire Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 17 points from 10 games, Chicago Fire bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a 19:11 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on H. Cuypers (10 goals), Philip Zinckernagel (4 goals), J. Bamba (2 goals), with creative support from J. Bamba (2 assists), Philip Zinckernagel (1 assists), A. Gutman (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

New York Red Bulls Analysis

New York Red Bulls approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 12 points from 11 matches. The overall return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats with a 16:27 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on J. Hall (6 goals), J. Ruvalcaba (3 goals), K. Smith (2 goals), with creative support from Ronald Donkor (3 assists), J. Hall (2 assists), A. Mehmeti (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Chicago Fire won 5 times, New York Red Bulls won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:22 from Chicago Fire's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Chicago Fire 4-2-3-1 / New York Red Bulls -
Missing players: Chicago Fire 4, New York Red Bulls 3
H2H summary: Chicago Fire wins 5, draws 5, New York Red Bulls wins 5
Stats
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
7
Blocked Shots
1
6 Corner Kicks 3
7 Fouls 10
4 Offsides 1
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Goal 4
4 Shots off Goal 4
7 Blocked Shots 1
10 Shots insidebox 7
5 Shots outsidebox 2
1 Goalkeeper Saves 2
577 Total passes 329
486 Passes accurate 249
0.78 expected_goals 1.49
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Chicago Fire
Formation
New York Red Bulls
C. Brady
C. Brady
J. Dean
J. Dean
J. Waterman
J. Waterman
J. Elliott
J. Elliott
A. Gutman
A. Gutman
A. Saletros
A. Saletros
D. D'Avilla
D. D'Avilla
P. Zinckernagel
P. Zinckernagel
M. Haile-Selassie
M. Haile-Selassie
J. Bamba
J. Bamba
H. Cuypers
H. Cuypers
E. Horvath
E. Horvath
D. Nealis
D. Nealis
T. Parker
T. Parker
R. Voloder
R. Voloder
M. Dos Santos
M. Dos Santos
A. Mehmeti
A. Mehmeti
C. Cowell
C. Cowell
R. Donkor
🎯
R. Donkor
E. Forsberg
🎯
E. Forsberg
J. Ruvalcaba
J. Ruvalcaba
J. Hall
J. Hall
Chicago Fire 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
C. Brady
G
24
J. Dean
↓ 80'
D
16
J. Waterman
D
3
J. Elliott
D
15
A. Gutman
D
6
A. Saletros
↓ 80'
M
42
D. D'Avilla
↓ 80'
M
11
P. Zinckernagel
M
7
M. Haile-Selassie
↓ 85' 🟨 81'
M
19
J. Bamba
↓ 61'
M
9
H. Cuypers
⚽ 87'
F
Substitutes
44
J. Cohen
G
8
C. Mueller
F
22
M. Pineda
↑ 80'
D
20
J. Shokalook
↑ 80'
F
27
D. Borso
↑ 85'
F
14
V. Radojevic
D
12
P. Dithejane
↑ 61'
F
35
S. Oregel
↑ 80'
M
4
M. Mbokazi
D
New York Red Bulls 4-5-1 (estimated)
Starting XI
34
E. Horvath
G
12
D. Nealis
D
26
T. Parker
D
6
R. Voloder
↓ 80' 🟨 18'
D
56
M. Dos Santos
↓ 73'
D
15
A. Mehmeti
M
7
C. Cowell
⚽ 49' ↓ 73'
M
48
R. Donkor
🎯 49'
M
10
E. Forsberg
🎯 45' ↓ 60'
M
11
J. Ruvalcaba
⚽ 45' 🟨 81'
M
16
J. Hall
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
77
J. McCarthy
G
13
E. M. Choupo-Moting
⚽ 81' ↑ 46'
F
4
G. Berggren
↑ 60'
M
2
J. Che
↑ 80'
D
79
R. Mosquera
↑ 73'
F
5
O. Valencia
↑ 73' 🟨 90+6'
D
37
M. Sofo
F
39
N. Benedetti
M
3
J. Marshall-Rutty
D
Last matches: Chicago Fire
24.05.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Toronto FC
2
1
W
16.05.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
CF Montreal
2
0
W
13.05.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
DC United
3
1
W
03.05.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
2
3
L
26.04.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Sporting Kansas City
5
0
W
18.04.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
3
3
D
12.04.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Atlanta United FC
1
0
W
05.04.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Nashville SC
1
0
W
21.03.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Philadelphia Union
2
1
W
15.03.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
DC United
1
2
L
08.03.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Columbus Crew
0
0
D
28.02.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
CF Montreal
3
0
W
22.02.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Houston Dynamo
1
2
L
14.02.26
Fri
Chicago Fire
Portland Timbers
3
4
L
13.02.26
Fri
Chicago Fire
Indy Eleven
0
0
D
11.02.26
Fri
Chicago Fire
Austin
2
2
D
08.02.26
Fri
Chicago Fire
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
2
W
01.02.26
Fri
Chicago Fire
Indy Eleven
0
0
D
24.01.26
Fri
Chicago Fire
Sporting Kansas City
1
0
W
Last matches: New York Red Bulls
24.05.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
Sporting Kansas City
2
1
W
16.05.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
New York City FC
1
1
D
13.05.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
Columbus Crew
3
2
W
02.05.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
FC Dallas
0
2
L
25.04.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
FC Cincinnati
0
2
L
22.04.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
DC United
4
4
D
18.04.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
CF Montreal
1
4
L
11.04.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
Inter Miami
2
2
D
04.04.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
FC Cincinnati
4
2
W
21.03.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
Charlotte
1
6
L
14.03.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
Toronto FC
1
1
D
08.03.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
CF Montreal
0
3
L
28.02.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
New England Revolution
1
0
W
22.02.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
Orlando City SC
2
1
W
14.02.26
Fri
New York Red Bulls
Houston Dynamo
2
3
L
11.02.26
Fri
New York Red Bulls
Atlanta United FC
2
3
L
07.02.26
Fri
New York Red Bulls
FC Dallas
0
3
L
31.01.26
Fri
New York Red Bulls
Hartford Athletic
5
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
New York Red Bulls
St. Louis City
3
1
W
21.01.26
Fri
New York Red Bulls
Sarasota Paradise
1
3
L
H2H: Chicago Fire vs New York Red Bulls
09.05.26
H2H
Chicago Fire
New York Red Bulls
1
3
L
27.07.25
H2H
Chicago Fire
New York Red Bulls
1
0
W
05.04.25
H2H
New York Red Bulls
Chicago Fire
2
1
L
15.09.24
H2H
Chicago Fire
New York Red Bulls
2
1
W
13.04.24
H2H
New York Red Bulls
Chicago Fire
0
0
D
27.01.24
H2H
Chicago Fire
New York Red Bulls
2
2
D
30.09.23
H2H
New York Red Bulls
Chicago Fire
0
1
W
30.04.23
H2H
Chicago Fire
New York Red Bulls
1
1
D
18.05.22
H2H
New York Red Bulls
Chicago Fire
3
3
D
01.05.22
H2H
Chicago Fire
New York Red Bulls
1
2
L
28.08.21
H2H
New York Red Bulls
Chicago Fire
0
1
W
08.08.21
H2H
Chicago Fire
New York Red Bulls
2
1
W
01.05.21
H2H
New York Red Bulls
Chicago Fire
2
0
L
25.10.20
H2H
Chicago Fire
New York Red Bulls
2
2
D
29.06.19
H2H
New York Red Bulls
Chicago Fire
3
1
L
Last matches: Chicago Fire
24.05.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Toronto FC
2
1
W
03.05.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
2
3
L
26.04.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Sporting Kansas City
5
0
W
12.04.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Atlanta United FC
1
0
W
05.04.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Nashville SC
1
0
W
15.03.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
DC United
1
2
L
28.02.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
CF Montreal
3
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
Chicago Fire
Portland Timbers
3
4
L
H2H at home: Chicago Fire
09.05.26
H2H
Chicago Fire
New York Red Bulls
1
3
L
27.07.25
H2H
Chicago Fire
New York Red Bulls
1
0
W
15.09.24
H2H
Chicago Fire
New York Red Bulls
2
1
W
27.01.24
H2H
Chicago Fire
New York Red Bulls
2
2
D
30.04.23
H2H
Chicago Fire
New York Red Bulls
1
1
D
01.05.22
H2H
Chicago Fire
New York Red Bulls
1
2
L
08.08.21
H2H
Chicago Fire
New York Red Bulls
2
1
W
25.10.20
H2H
Chicago Fire
New York Red Bulls
2
2
D
Last matches: New York Red Bulls
24.05.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
Sporting Kansas City
2
1
W
25.04.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
FC Cincinnati
0
2
L
18.04.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
CF Montreal
1
4
L
11.04.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
Inter Miami
2
2
D
21.03.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
Charlotte
1
6
L
14.03.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
Toronto FC
1
1
D
22.02.26
Maj
New York Red Bulls
Orlando City SC
2
1
W
14.02.26
Fri
New York Red Bulls
Houston Dynamo
2
3
L
11.02.26
Fri
New York Red Bulls
Atlanta United FC
2
3
L
H2H away: New York Red Bulls
09.05.26
H2H
Chicago Fire
New York Red Bulls
1
3
W
27.07.25
H2H
Chicago Fire
New York Red Bulls
1
0
L
15.09.24
H2H
Chicago Fire
New York Red Bulls
2
1
L
27.01.24
H2H
Chicago Fire
New York Red Bulls
2
2
D
30.04.23
H2H
Chicago Fire
New York Red Bulls
1
1
D
01.05.22
H2H
Chicago Fire
New York Red Bulls
1
2
W
08.08.21
H2H
Chicago Fire
New York Red Bulls
2
1
L
25.10.20
H2H
Chicago Fire
New York Red Bulls
2
2
D

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 10 3 1 31:11 20 33
W W W D D
2 15 9 4 2 39:28 11 31
W W W W L
3 14 8 2 4 27:16 11 26
W W W L L
4 14 8 1 5 22:18 4 25
L W L W W
5 15 6 4 5 25:32 -7 22
W D W W L
6 15 6 3 6 24:23 1 21
W W L D L
7 15 5 5 5 36:37 -1 20
W D L D W
8 15 5 4 6 25:21 4 19
L D W W L
9 15 4 6 5 21:25 -4 18
D D L D W
10 15 4 4 7 21:23 -2 16
W D L L L
11 14 4 2 8 22:31 -9 14
D L D W L
12 15 4 2 9 23:44 -21 14
L D W L W
13 14 3 5 6 22:29 -7 14
L L L D L
14 14 3 2 9 14:23 -9 11
L D L W W
15 15 1 4 10 18:30 -12 7
L D L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)

Missing Players

Chicago Fire 4 missing
-
A. Franco
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
S. Rogers
Questionable Lower-Body Injury
OUT
-
L. Barroso
Missing Fixture Lower-Body Injury
OUT
-
R. Lod
Missing Fixture Face Injury
OUT
New York Red Bulls 3 missing
-
J. Che
Questionable Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
A. Marcucci
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
C. Harper
Questionable Muscle Injury
OUT