Chesterfield
Match Timeline
Gillingham
Chesterfield vs Gillingham Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
No
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
45%
|
1.51 | |
| BTTS | No |
50.8%
|
1.73 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.5%
|
1.85 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
74%
|
1.22 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.30 | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
7.00 |
Probability Distribution
Chesterfield Win 45%
Draw 16.8%
Gillingham Win 38.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Chesterfield0.84
Gillingham1.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
Chesterfield
WWDLW
5 GF / 7 GA
Gillingham
WLDWL
7 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
0.83
Average Goals Scored
1
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
0.86
3
BTTS Yes
2
2
Over 2.5
3
2.67
Shots on Goal
4.33
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Chesterfield
6 matches
Gillingham
7 matches
| Chesterfield | Statistic | Gillingham |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 3 |
| 2 | Draws | 2 |
| 3 | Losses | 2 |
| 5 | Goals For | 7 |
| 7 | Goals Against | 6 |
| 0.83 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.17 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.86 |
| 3 | BTTS Yes | 2 |
| 3 | Over 1.5 | 4 |
| 2 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 0 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 2.67 | Shots On Goal | 4.33 |
| 12 | Total Shots | 12.33 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 56.7% | Ball Possession | 45% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Chesterfield won 4 times, Gillingham won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:18 from Chesterfield's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.92 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.2%)
Predicted formations: Chesterfield 4-2-3-1 / Gillingham 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Chesterfield wins 4, draws 4, Gillingham wins 4
Standings
League Two
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 16 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17:10 | 7 | 15 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 11:7 | 4 | 15 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 4 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:14 | 2 | 15 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 15 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 14 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 14 |
D
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 8 |
Chesterfield
Home
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 14 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
| 9 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 13 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 10 |
Gillingham
Away
|
9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 13 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
| 11 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 13 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 11 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 11 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 10 |
D
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13:14 | -1 | 10 |
W
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 17 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 10 |
L
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 10 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 19 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5:6 | -1 | 9 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 21 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 22 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 6 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 23 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 5 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 24 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | -7 | 4 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
Promotion - League One
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation - National League