ENGLAND › LEAGUE TWO

05.09.2026 14:00

Cheltenham

2 - 2

Grimsby

Whaddon Road

Cheltenham

Match Timeline

Grimsby

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Cheltenham vs Grimsby Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Away or Draw

Probability 70.3%

Odds 1.28

BTTS

Yes

Probability 58.2%

Odds 1.62

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 55.6%

Odds 1.75

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Away or Draw	70.3%	1.28	▥
BTTS	Yes	58.2%	1.62	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	55.6%	1.75	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	92%	1.15	▥
HT / FT	Draw / Away	-	5.00	▥
Correct Score	1-2	-	8.50	▥

Probability Distribution

Cheltenham Win 29.7%

Draw 21.5%

Grimsby Win 48.8%

Expected Goals (xG)

Cheltenham1.39

Grimsby1.64

Recent Form (Last 5)

Cheltenham

WWDLW

11 GF / 9 GA

Grimsby

WLDWL

19 GF / 8 GA

Key Stats

1.83

Average Goals Scored

1.73

1.5

Average Goals Conceded

0.73

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

Shots on Goal

4.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cheltenham 6 matches

Grimsby 11 matches

Cheltenham	Statistic	Grimsby
3	Wins	5
1	Draws	6
2	Losses	0
11	Goals For	19
9	Goals Against	8
1.83	Avg Goals Scored	1.73
1.5	Avg Goals Conceded	0.73
4	BTTS Yes	5
6	Over 1.5	7
5	Over 2.5	5
2	Over 3.5	4
1	Clean Sheets	6
1	Failed To Score	3
5	Shots On Goal	4.25
10.5	Total Shots	17
4.5	Corners	7
44.5%	Ball Possession	53.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Cheltenham won 4 times, Grimsby won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:25 from Cheltenham's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (78.5%)

Predicted formations: Cheltenham 4-1-4-1 / Grimsby 4-1-4-1

H2H summary: Cheltenham wins 4, draws 4, Grimsby wins 6

Standings

League Two

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Crewe	10	4	6	0	12:7	5	18	W W D D D
2	Salford City	9	5	1	3	13:10	3	16	W W W D W
3	Barnet	7	4	3	0	17:10	7	15	W W D D D
4	Cheltenham Home	9	4	3	2	16:14	2	15	L W D W D
5	Bristol Rovers	9	5	0	4	14:14	0	15	L W L L W
6	York	8	4	2	2	16:10	6	14	W L W D L
7	Walsall	8	3	5	0	11:5	6	14	D W D D D
8	Chesterfield	9	4	2	3	15:12	3	14	W L W W D
9	Grimsby Away	9	3	4	2	13:10	3	13	L L W W D
10	Gillingham	9	3	4	2	11:9	2	13	D L W W W
11	Rochdale	9	4	1	4	10:11	-1	13	W W W D L
12	Tranmere	9	2	5	2	12:12	0	11	L D D L W
13	Accrington ST	10	2	5	3	13:14	-1	11	D W D D L
14	Swindon Town	10	3	2	5	9:14	-5	11	L L D L L
15	Shrewsbury	9	3	2	4	9:14	-5	11	W D D W L
16	Newport County	9	2	4	3	12:12	0	10	D W D D L
17	Rotherham	9	2	4	3	11:12	-1	10	L D W D L
18	Fleetwood Town	9	2	4	3	9:10	-1	10	L L L D W
19	Colchester	8	2	4	2	10:12	-2	10	D D D L L
20	Exeter City	9	2	3	4	5:6	-1	9	W L D L D
21	Oldham	9	2	2	5	9:13	-4	8	D L L L L
22	Northampton	7	1	3	3	3:6	-3	6	L L W D D
23	Port Vale	7	1	2	4	3:9	-6	5	L W L L D
24	Crawley Town	7	1	1	5	6:13	-7	4	L L L D L

Promotion - League One

Promotion - League Two (Play Offs: Semi-finals)

Relegation - National League