Cheltenham vs Colchester Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
89.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
43.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
30.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Cheltenham
Colchester
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Cheltenham
48 matches
Colchester
46 matches
| Cheltenham | Statistic | Colchester |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wins | 17 |
| 10 | Draws | 12 |
| 22 | Losses | 17 |
| 59 | Goals For | 60 |
| 79 | Goals Against | 51 |
| 1.23 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.3 |
| 1.65 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.11 |
| 24 | BTTS Yes | 23 |
| 38 | Over 1.5 | 31 |
| 22 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 15 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 12 | Clean Sheets | 11 |
| 13 | Failed To Score | 15 |
| 2.91 | Shots On Goal | 4.04 |
| 9.89 | Total Shots | 12.38 |
| 3.94 | Corners | 4.69 |
| 47.7% | Ball Possession | 54.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Colchester's more proactive style and Cheltenham's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cheltenham expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Colchester in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Colchester having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Colchester.
With 52 points from 45 games and a place of 17, Cheltenham still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 14 wins, 10 draws, and 21 defeats, and the 52:75 goal record continues to suggest good form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on G. Miller (6 goals), J. Thomas (6 goals), J. Martin (4 goals), with creative support from J. Thomas (5 assists), Luke Young (4 assists), Jake Bickerstaff (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Colchester are currently 13 in the standings with 63 points from 45 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 17 wins, 12 draws, and 16 losses, while the 58:48 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on J. Payne (13 goals), K. Lisbie (11 goals), Harry Anderson (10 goals), with creative support from J. Payne (6 assists), S. Tovide (5 assists), K. Lisbie (4 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with Ben Perry unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cheltenham won 6 times, Colchester won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:22 from Cheltenham's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 25 | 87 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 86 |
D
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 82 |
D
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 10 | 81 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 22 | 80 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 15 | 79 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 24 | 78 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 17 | 76 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 11 | 75 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 16 | 68 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 6 | 67 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 |
Colchester
Away
|
46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 13 | 66 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
| 13 | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 0 | 65 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | -9 | 62 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | -1 | 61 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | -11 | 53 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | -19 | 53 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 |
Cheltenham
Home
|
46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | -26 | 52 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
| 19 | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | -27 | 49 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | -29 | 43 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | -25 | 41 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 22 | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | -24 | 40 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 23 | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | -29 | 39 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | -33 | 36 |
L
L
L
W
L
|