Chelsea
Match Timeline
Brighton
Chelsea vs Brighton Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
65.8%
|
1.85 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71%
|
1.67 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
1.71 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.19 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.88 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
9.00 |
Probability Distribution
Chelsea Win 65.8%
Draw 5.2%
Brighton Win 29.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Chelsea1.83
Brighton2.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
Chelsea
WWDLW
19 GF / 13 GA
Brighton
WLDWL
16 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
2.71
Average Goals Scored
2.67
1.86
Average Goals Conceded
0.5
5
BTTS Yes
1
6
Over 2.5
4
6
Shots on Goal
6.67
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Chelsea
7 matches
Brighton
6 matches
| Chelsea | Statistic | Brighton |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 5 |
| 1 | Draws | 1 |
| 2 | Losses | 0 |
| 19 | Goals For | 16 |
| 13 | Goals Against | 3 |
| 2.71 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.67 |
| 1.86 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.5 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 1 |
| 6 | Over 1.5 | 4 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 6 | Shots On Goal | 6.67 |
| 18 | Total Shots | 22.33 |
| 4 | Corners | 7.67 |
| 38% | Ball Possession | 73% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Chelsea won 6 times, Brighton won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:30 from Chelsea's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.6 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.9%)
Predicted formations: Chelsea 3-4-2-1 / Brighton 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Chelsea 5, Brighton 5
H2H summary: Chelsea wins 6, draws 3, Brighton wins 6
Standings
Premier League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 15 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 15 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 |
Brighton
Away
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16:5 | 11 | 10 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
| 4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 9 |
W
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 9 |
L
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 9 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 9 |
W
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
L
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:9 | 0 | 8 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 10 |
Chelsea
Home
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 7 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 6 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 5 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 5 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 4 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 4 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 4 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 3 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1:10 | -9 | 3 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 2 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:8 | -6 | 2 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship