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19.09.2026 21:30
Estadio General Pablo Rojas
Referee: Derlis Benitez, Paraguay
Cerro Porteno
Match Timeline
Rubio NU
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
25'
Pablo Vegetti · Assist: Guillermo Benitez
Cerro Porteno
🟨
35'
Jorge González
Rubio NU
🔄
46'
Rodi Ferreira ↔ Estiven Pérez
Rubio NU
🟨
53'
Javier Vallejos
Rubio NU
🔄
61'
Octavio Alfonso ↔ Sergio Fretes
Rubio NU
🔄
61'
Jorge González ↔ Pedro Alvarez
Rubio NU
🟨
63'
Rodrigo Rojas
Rubio NU
🔄
63'
Mateo Klimowicz ↔ Fabricio Domínguez
Cerro Porteno
🔄
70'
Piris da Motta ↔ Alexis Canete
Cerro Porteno
🟨
71'
Carlos Chena
Cerro Porteno
🔄
71'
Rodrigo Rojas ↔ Kevin Paredes
Rubio NU
🔄
75'
William Mendieta ↔ Elías Alfonso
Rubio NU
🔄
81'
Ignacio Aliseda ↔ Cesar Bobadilla
Cerro Porteno
🔄
81'
Pablo Vegetti ↔ Jonatan Torres
Cerro Porteno
🔄
81'
Carlos Chena ↔ Gastón Giménez
Cerro Porteno
🟨
90+2'
Cristian Núñez
Rubio NU

Cerro Porteno vs Rubio NU Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 71.6%
Odds 1.66
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.95
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 2.08
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
71.6%
1.66 ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.95 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
2.08 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
86.9%
1.46 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.38 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Cerro Porteno Win 71.6%
Draw 10.5%
Rubio NU Win 18%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cerro Porteno1.34
Rubio NU0.83
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno
WWDLW
50 GF / 33 GA
Rubio NU Rubio NU
WLDWL
26 GF / 46 GA
Key Stats
1.28
Average Goals Scored
0.81
0.85
Average Goals Conceded
1.44
16
BTTS Yes
10
12
Over 2.5
11
4.31
Shots on Goal
3.31

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 39 matches
Rubio NU Rubio NU 32 matches
Cerro Porteno Statistic Rubio NU
19 Wins 8
9 Draws 7
11 Losses 17
50 Goals For 26
33 Goals Against 46
1.28 Avg Goals Scored 0.81
0.85 Avg Goals Conceded 1.44
16 BTTS Yes 10
26 Over 1.5 20
12 Over 2.5 11
5 Over 3.5 8
17 Clean Sheets 9
9 Failed To Score 16
4.31 Shots On Goal 3.31
12.23 Total Shots 11
4.41 Corners 3.84
52.7% Ball Possession 42%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Cerro Porteno's more proactive style and Rubio NU's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Rubio NU. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Cerro Porteno arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 7 with 13 points compared to Rubio NU in 10 on 8, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cerro Porteno expected to line up in 5-4-1 and Rubio NU in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Rubio NU having the stronger overall control.

Cerro Porteno Analysis

Cerro Porteno are currently 7 in the standings with 13 points from 9 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, while the 12:9 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on P. Vegetti (4 goals), I. Ramírez (2 goals), J. Morel (2 goals), with creative support from I. Aliseda (1 assists), A. Gamarra (1 assists), Cecilio Domínguez (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Rubio NU Analysis

Rubio NU are currently 10 in the standings with 8 points from 9 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 11:19 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by J. Vallejos (1 goals), W. Mendieta (1 goals), R. Ruiz Díaz (1 goals), with creative support from J. Vallejos (1 assists), W. Mendieta (1 assists), R. Rojas (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Cerro Porteno won 7 times, Rubio NU won 4 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:6 from Cerro Porteno's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.5%)
Predicted formations: Cerro Porteno 5-4-1 / Rubio NU 4-4-2
H2H summary: Cerro Porteno wins 7, draws 0, Rubio NU wins 4

Standings

Primera Division: Clausura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 8 2 3 22:10 12 26
D W W W W
2 13 8 2 3 21:14 7 26
W L D W W
3 13 7 4 2 16:13 3 25
W D L L W
4 13 6 5 2 20:8 12 23
D D W W L
5 13 7 2 4 23:13 10 23
W W L W L
6 13 5 6 2 14:10 4 21
D W W D W
7 13 4 6 3 15:15 0 18
L D D W W
8 13 5 2 6 15:14 1 17
L L W D W
9 13 4 1 8 14:24 -10 13
L L W L L
10 13 3 3 7 15:24 -9 12
W D L L L
11 13 2 2 9 14:26 -12 8
L D L L L
12 13 0 3 10 4:22 -18 3
D D L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)