Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
100%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
40.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
32.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Cerro Largo
Cerro
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Cerro Largo
17 matches
Cerro
17 matches
| Cerro Largo | Statistic | Cerro |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 3 |
| 2 | Draws | 4 |
| 9 | Losses | 10 |
| 19 | Goals For | 10 |
| 20 | Goals Against | 28 |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.59 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.65 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 10 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Cerro. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cerro Largo expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Cerro in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cerro having the stronger overall control.
Cerro Largo sit 12 with 17 points after 15 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 8 defeats with a 16:19 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on T. Correa (5 goals), A. Pandiani (4 goals), D. Daguerre (3 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Cerro sit 16 with 10 points after 15 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 9 defeats with a 8:24 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on T. Correa (5 goals), A. Pandiani (4 goals), Alejo Macelli (3 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cerro Largo won 8 times, Cerro won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:7 from Cerro Largo's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.6 goals per game.
Lineups
Cerro Largo
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Boston River
Cerro Largo
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Penarol
Cerro Largo
Progreso
Cerro Largo
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Boston River
Cerro Largo
Cerro
Cerro Largo
Albion FC
Cerro Largo
Danubio
Cerro Largo
Club Nacional
Cerro Largo
Deportivo Maldonado
Cerro Largo
Central Espanol
Cerro Largo
Atletico Torque
Cerro Largo
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Defensor Sporting
Cerro Largo
Wanderers
Cerro Largo
Juventud
Cerro Largo
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Plaza Colonia
Cerro
Penarol
Cerro
Central Espanol
Cerro
Boston River
Cerro
Club Nacional
Cerro
Deportivo Maldonado
Cerro
Central Espanol
Cerro
Atletico Torque
Cerro
Cerro Largo
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
Wanderers
Cerro
Juventud
Cerro
Penarol
Cerro
Progreso
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
Cerro
Boston River
Cerro
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro
Albion FC
Cerro
Danubio
Cerro
Boston River
Cerro
Club Nacional
Cerro Largo
Boston River
Cerro Largo
Penarol
Cerro Largo
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Cerro
Cerro Largo
Danubio
Cerro Largo
Deportivo Maldonado
Cerro Largo
Atletico Torque
Cerro Largo
Wanderers
Cerro Largo
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Boston River
Cerro Largo
Penarol
Cerro Largo
Defensor Sporting
Cerro Largo
Wanderers
Cerro Largo
Danubio
Cerro Largo
Rentistas
Cerro Largo
Tacuarembo
Cerro Largo
Juventud
Cerro Largo
Albion FC
Cerro Largo
Deportivo Maldonado
Cerro
Boston River
Cerro
Club Nacional
Cerro
Central Espanol
Cerro
Cerro Largo
Cerro
Wanderers
Cerro
Penarol
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
Cerro
Albion FC
Cerro
Atletico Torque
Cerro
Progreso
Cerro
Wanderers
Cerro
Danubio
Cerro
Juventud
Cerro
Plaza Colonia
Cerro
CA River Plate
Cerro
Rampla Juniors
Cerro
Miramar
Cerro
La Luz
Cerro
Rampla Juniors
Cerro
Juventud
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 35:20 | 15 | 39 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 25:15 | 10 | 37 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 28:18 | 10 | 36 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29:20 | 9 | 32 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 31:26 | 5 | 31 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27:25 | 2 | 31 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 29:24 | 5 | 29 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 22:24 | -2 | 26 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22:20 | 2 | 25 |
D
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 10 |
Cerro Largo
Home
|
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 21:20 | 1 | 24 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
| 11 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 15:16 | -1 | 23 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 19:26 | -7 | 21 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 20:27 | -7 | 20 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 23:30 | -7 | 19 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 16:30 | -14 | 13 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 |
Cerro
Away
|
19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 10:31 | -21 | 13 |
L
L
W
L
L
|