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BRAZIL › SERIE D
19.04.2026 19:00
Central SC
Match Timeline
Sousa
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
45'
Everton Heleno
Sousa
⚽
47'
Augusto Potiguar
Central SC
⚽
62'
Hitalo
Central SC

Central SC vs Sousa Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 74%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 65.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 62.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
74%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
65.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
62.4%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Central SC Win 41.2%
Draw 32.8%
Sousa Win 26%
Expected Goals (xG)
Central SC0.6
Sousa1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Central SC Central SC
WWDLW
1 GF / 2 GA
Sousa Sousa
WLDWL
4 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
0.5
Average Goals Scored
1
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.75
1
BTTS Yes
1
0
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Central SC Central SC 2 matches
Sousa Sousa 4 matches
Central SC Statistic Sousa
0 Wins 3
1 Draws 0
1 Losses 1
1 Goals For 4
2 Goals Against 3
0.5 Avg Goals Scored 1
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.75
1 BTTS Yes 1
1 Over 1.5 2
0 Over 2.5 1
0 Over 3.5 0
0 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Sousa having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Sousa carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 3 points while Central SC sit 5 on 1, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sousa.

Central SC Analysis

Central SC come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 1 points from 2 matches. Their overall return of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 1:2 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Luiz Paulo (1 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sousa Analysis

Sousa come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 3 points from 2 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, while the 1:2 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Marcelo (1 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Central SC won 1 times, Sousa won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:5 from Central SC's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (74%)
H2H summary: Central SC wins 1, draws 5, Sousa wins 2

Standings

Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5
Sousa Away
10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)