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ARGENTINA › PRIMERA NACIONAL
04.10.2026 19:30
Estadio Padre Ernesto Martearena
Central Norte
Match Timeline
Racing Cordoba
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
33'
E. Calderon
Central Norte
🟨
33'
M. Gomez Pereyra
Racing Cordoba
🔄
46'
M. Machado ↔ L. C. Pena
Racing Cordoba
🟨
50'
P. Chavarria
Racing Cordoba
🟨
56'
A. Bustos
Racing Cordoba
🔄
62'
M. Moravec ↔ A. Bustinduy
Central Norte
🔄
63'
A. Bustos ↔ F. Taborda
Racing Cordoba
🔄
63'
J. Bay ↔ L. Flores
Racing Cordoba
🔄
71'
M. Rosales ↔ T. Taobas
Central Norte
🔄
71'
F. Vedoya ↔ J. Mateo
Central Norte
🔄
75'
F. Monticelli ↔ L. Viano
Racing Cordoba
🔄
75'
S. Gonzalez ↔ A. Ortiz
Racing Cordoba
🔄
87'
F. Borda ↔ K. Isa Luna
Central Norte
⚽
90+2'
R. Chamorro
Racing Cordoba

Central Norte vs Racing Cordoba Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.9%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 60.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.9%
- ▥
BTTS No
60.3%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
65.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Central Norte Win 62.9%
Draw 18.4%
Racing Cordoba Win 18.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Central Norte0.87
Racing Cordoba0.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
Central Norte Central Norte
WWDLW
20 GF / 29 GA
Racing Cordoba Racing Cordoba
WLDWL
28 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
0.63
Average Goals Scored
0.9
0.91
Average Goals Conceded
1.23
12
BTTS Yes
13
7
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Central Norte Central Norte 32 matches
Racing Cordoba Racing Cordoba 31 matches
Central Norte Statistic Racing Cordoba
6 Wins 9
15 Draws 9
11 Losses 13
20 Goals For 28
29 Goals Against 38
0.63 Avg Goals Scored 0.9
0.91 Avg Goals Conceded 1.23
12 BTTS Yes 13
14 Over 1.5 22
7 Over 2.5 13
3 Over 3.5 3
12 Clean Sheets 9
16 Failed To Score 13
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Racing Cordoba. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Racing Cordoba having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Racing Cordoba arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Central Norte Analysis

Central Norte sit 15 with 31 points after 30 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 6 wins, 13 draws, and 11 defeats with a 19:28 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 8 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Racing Cordoba Analysis

Racing Cordoba approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 35 points from 30 matches. The overall return of 9 wins, 8 draws, and 13 defeats with a 26:36 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Central Norte won 3 times, Racing Cordoba won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:12 from Central Norte's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.82 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.6%)
H2H summary: Central Norte wins 3, draws 2, Racing Cordoba wins 6

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 18 7 7 36:27 9 61
L W W D D
2 32 17 7 8 51:32 19 58
W L L W W
3 32 16 8 8 42:29 13 56
W D W W W
4 32 14 11 7 46:28 18 53
W D W L W
5 32 14 10 8 39:25 14 52
W D W L L
6 32 12 10 10 25:21 4 46
L L L D D
7 32 12 9 11 29:27 2 45
L W W W L
8 32 11 12 9 27:28 -1 45
W W L D L
9 32 9 13 10 25:23 2 40
L W L D D
10 32 9 10 13 30:33 -3 37
D L W D W
11 32 8 13 11 25:29 -4 37
D L W W D
12 32 9 10 13 28:36 -8 37
W W L W D
13 32 9 10 13 29:39 -10 37
D D L L L
14 32 7 14 11 29:39 -10 35
W L L D D
15 32 6 15 11 20:29 -9 33
D D L D D
16 32 6 15 11 18:28 -10 33
L D D L W
17 32 6 13 13 25:38 -13 31
L L D D L
18 32 7 8 17 22:35 -13 29
L W W L L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation