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PORTUGAL › PRIMEIRA LIGA
12.09.2026 17:00
Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior
Referee: Jose Bessa, Portugal
Casa Pia
Match Timeline
FC Porto
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
43'
H. Araujo
Casa Pia
🟨
45'
Jakub Kiwior
FC Porto
⚽
45'
Andre Silva · Assist: P. Rosario
FC Porto
🟨
53'
Domingos Jose Gabriel Bandeira
Casa Pia
🟨
54'
André Geraldes
Casa Pia
⚽
60'
J. Kiwior · Assist: G. Veiga
FC Porto
🔄
62'
Andre Silva ↔ S. Gimenez
FC Porto
🔄
62'
William Gomes ↔ B. Sainz
FC Porto
⚽
66'
B. Sainz
FC Porto
🔄
68'
B. Pauwels ↔ E. Maurin
Casa Pia
🔄
70'
Hwang In-Beom ↔ A. Varela
FC Porto
🔄
74'
M. Salah ↔ JP
Casa Pia
🔄
74'
H. Araujo ↔ Cassiano
Casa Pia
🔄
80'
A. Costa ↔ M. Fernandes
FC Porto
🔄
80'
G. Veiga ↔ S. Fofana
FC Porto
🟨
87'
David Sousa
Casa Pia
🔄
88'
J. Rego ↔ A. Zouin
Casa Pia
🟨
90'
Ivan Mandić
Casa Pia
⚽
90'
S. Gimenez
FC Porto

Casa Pia vs FC Porto Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 76.9%
Odds 1.20
BTTS
No
Probability 56%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds 1.64
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
76.9%
1.20 ▥
BTTS No
56%
1.62 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
1.64 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.31 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
3.60 ▥
Correct Score 0-3
-
7.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Casa Pia Win 18%
Draw 5.1%
FC Porto Win 76.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Casa Pia0.55
FC Porto1.93
Recent Form (Last 5)
Casa Pia Casa Pia
WWDLW
4 GF / 19 GA
FC Porto FC Porto
WLDWL
13 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
0.5
Average Goals Scored
1.63
2.38
Average Goals Conceded
0.63
2
BTTS Yes
2
3
Over 2.5
3
2.2
Shots on Goal
5.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Casa Pia Casa Pia 8 matches
FC Porto FC Porto 8 matches
Casa Pia Statistic FC Porto
1 Wins 6
1 Draws 0
6 Losses 2
4 Goals For 13
19 Goals Against 5
0.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.63
2.38 Avg Goals Conceded 0.63
2 BTTS Yes 2
4 Over 1.5 7
3 Over 2.5 3
2 Over 3.5 0
1 Clean Sheets 4
6 Failed To Score 2
2.2 Shots On Goal 5.33
9.2 Total Shots 13.17
4 Corners 6.17
46% Ball Possession 51.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Casa Pia won 1 times, FC Porto won 7 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:18 from Casa Pia's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.56 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.9%)
Predicted formations: Casa Pia 4-2-3-1 / FC Porto 4-3-3
H2H summary: Casa Pia wins 1, draws 1, FC Porto wins 7

Standings

Primeira Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 7 0 0 18:3 15 21
W W W W W
2 7 5 1 1 22:7 15 16
L W W W W
3 7 4 3 0 17:8 9 15
D D W W W
4 7 4 3 0 11:4 7 15
D W W D W
5 7 3 2 2 10:7 3 11
D L D W L
6 6 3 2 1 7:5 2 11
D W L W W
7 7 3 2 2 9:9 0 11
W W W L D
8 7 2 4 1 14:14 0 10
L D W D W
9 6 2 2 2 5:5 0 8
D L L D W
10 7 2 2 3 9:11 -2 8
W W L D L
11 7 2 2 3 8:12 -4 8
D L L L D
12 7 2 2 3 8:14 -6 8
D W L L W
13 7 1 4 2 9:7 2 7
W D D D L
14 7 1 2 4 5:8 -3 5
D L D L W
15 7 1 1 5 7:15 -8 4
L L L L L
16 7 1 1 5 5:15 -10 4
L D L L W
17 7 1 1 5 3:16 -13 4
W L D L L
18 7 0 2 5 3:10 -7 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2