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PORTUGAL › PRIMEIRA LIGA
17.08.2026 19:15
Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior
Referee: Joao Pedro Pinheiro, Portugal
Casa Pia
Match Timeline
Benfica
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
3'
G. Prestianni
Benfica
⚽
14'
Rafa Silva · Assist: V. Pavlidis
Benfica
⚽
47'
V. Pavlidis
Benfica
⚽
49'
V. Pavlidis
Benfica
⚽
54'
V. Pavlidis · Assist: L. Barreiro
Benfica
⚽
58'
L. Ofori
Benfica
🔄
59'
K. Prieto ↔ K. Osundina
Casa Pia
🔄
59'
Gabi ↔ A. Jatta
Casa Pia
🔄
59'
T. Araujo ↔ Manu Silva
Benfica
🔄
59'
V. Pavlidis ↔ J. Duran
Benfica
🔄
60'
Rafa Silva ↔ A. Schjelderup
Benfica
⚽
61'
J. Duran · Assist: A. Bah
Benfica
🟨
62'
Sebastián Pérez
Casa Pia
🔄
63'
S. Perez ↔ S. Clua
Casa Pia
🔄
67'
E. Barrenechea ↔ R. Rios
Benfica
🔄
76'
H. Araujo ↔ P. Rosas
Casa Pia
🔄
76'
Rochinha ↔ Kaly
Casa Pia
🔄
78'
G. Sudakov ↔ D. Lukebakio
Benfica
🟨
79'
Domingos Jose Gabriel Bandeira
Casa Pia
🟨
90+2'
Domingos Jose Gabriel Bandeira
Casa Pia
🟥
90+2'
Domingos Jose Gabriel Bandeira
Casa Pia

Casa Pia vs Benfica Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 60.8%
Odds -
2 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
60.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
67.3%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Casa Pia Win 33.2%
Draw 6.1%
Benfica Win 60.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Casa Pia1.05
Benfica2.63
Recent Form (Last 5)
Casa Pia Casa Pia
WWDLW
4 GF / 9 GA
Benfica Benfica
WLDWL
23 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
2.88
2.25
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
2
BTTS Yes
6
2
Over 2.5
6
4
Shots on Goal
4.4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Casa Pia Casa Pia 4 matches
Benfica Benfica 8 matches
Casa Pia Statistic Benfica
1 Wins 4
0 Draws 2
3 Losses 2
4 Goals For 23
9 Goals Against 9
1 Avg Goals Scored 2.88
2.25 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
2 BTTS Yes 6
2 Over 1.5 8
2 Over 2.5 6
1 Over 3.5 4
0 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 0
4 Shots On Goal 4.4
9 Total Shots 5.6
6 Corners 3.2
61% Ball Possession 25.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Casa Pia won 1 times, Benfica won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:20 from Casa Pia's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94%)
Predicted formations: Casa Pia 4-2-3-1 / Benfica 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Casa Pia wins 1, draws 3, Benfica wins 5

Standings

Primeira Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 7 0 0 18:3 15 21
W W W W W
2 8 5 3 0 20:9 11 18
W D D W W
3 7 5 1 1 22:7 15 16
L W W W W
4 7 4 3 0 11:4 7 15
D W W D W
5 7 3 2 2 10:7 3 11
D L D W L
6 7 3 2 2 6:5 1 11
W D L L D
7 7 3 2 2 8:8 0 11
L D W L W
8 7 3 2 2 9:9 0 11
W W W L D
9 7 2 4 1 14:14 0 10
L D W D W
10 7 2 2 3 9:11 -2 8
W W L D L
11 7 2 2 3 8:12 -4 8
D L L L D
12 8 2 2 4 8:15 -7 8
L D W L L
13 7 1 4 2 9:7 2 7
W D D D L
14 7 1 2 4 5:8 -3 5
D L D L W
15 7 1 1 5 7:15 -8 4
L L L L L
16 7 1 1 5 5:15 -10 4
L D L L W
17 7 1 1 5 3:16 -13 4
W L D L L
18 7 0 2 5 3:10 -7 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2