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29.09.2026 18:45
Cyncoed Campus
Referee: R. Kenny
Cardiff MET
Match Timeline
Haverfordwest County AFC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
26'
R. Watts
Haverfordwest County AFC
🟨
38'
T. Raison
Cardiff MET
⚽
56'
S. Snaith
Cardiff MET
🔄
65'
S. Jones ↔ J. Edwards
Cardiff MET
🔄
65'
R. Watts ↔ B. Phillips
Haverfordwest County AFC
🔄
65'
D. Rees ↔ J. Owen
Haverfordwest County AFC
🔄
65'
H. Thomas ↔ K. McCarthy
Haverfordwest County AFC
🔄
70'
H. Matthews ↔ M. McKenzie
Cardiff MET
🔄
82'
H. John ↔ A. Wildig
Cardiff MET
🔄
83'
D. Hawkins ↔ L. Rees
Haverfordwest County AFC
🔄
83'
K. Kenniford ↔ W. Hughes
Haverfordwest County AFC
🟨
90+8'
A. Davies
Cardiff MET

Cardiff MET vs Haverfordwest County AFC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.7%
Odds 1.95
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.81
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.7%
1.95 ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.73 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.81 ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
2.54 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.25 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Cardiff MET Win 69.7%
Draw 6.4%
Haverfordwest County AFC Win 23.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cardiff MET1.85
Haverfordwest County AFC1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cardiff MET Cardiff MET
WWDLW
32 GF / 16 GA
Haverfordwest County AFC Haverfordwest County AFC
WLDWL
18 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
2.13
Average Goals Scored
1.29
1.07
Average Goals Conceded
1.43
7
BTTS Yes
4
9
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cardiff MET Cardiff MET 15 matches
Haverfordwest County AFC Haverfordwest County AFC 14 matches
Cardiff MET Statistic Haverfordwest County AFC
7 Wins 6
5 Draws 1
3 Losses 7
32 Goals For 18
16 Goals Against 20
2.13 Avg Goals Scored 1.29
1.07 Avg Goals Conceded 1.43
7 BTTS Yes 4
12 Over 1.5 10
9 Over 2.5 7
7 Over 3.5 3
5 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Cardiff MET's more proactive style and Haverfordwest County AFC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Haverfordwest County AFC. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Haverfordwest County AFC having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Cardiff MET Analysis

Cardiff MET are currently 10 in the standings with 14 points from 9 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 19:11 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Haverfordwest County AFC Analysis

Haverfordwest County AFC are currently 11 in the standings with 10 points from 9 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 7:14 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cardiff MET won 2 times, Haverfordwest County AFC won 5 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:13 from Cardiff MET's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.53 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.6%)
H2H summary: Cardiff MET wins 2, draws 8, Haverfordwest County AFC wins 5

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 11 1 0 38:5 33 34
W W W W W
2 12 9 1 2 28:8 20 28
W W W W L
3 12 8 3 1 22:10 12 27
L W W W W
4 12 8 1 3 27:20 7 25
W L L D W
5 12 7 2 3 35:14 21 23
L D W D W
6 12 7 1 4 21:15 6 22
L W W W W
7 12 6 3 3 23:13 10 21
W W D L D
8 12 6 0 6 21:17 4 18
W L W L L
9 12 5 3 4 21:32 -11 18
L W L W W
10 12 5 1 6 21:19 2 16
L L L D L
11 12 3 3 6 11:20 -9 12
W D D L L
12 12 3 1 8 7:17 -10 10
L L L W W
13 12 2 2 8 12:24 -12 8
W W L L D
14 12 1 3 8 9:32 -23 6
W L L D L
15 12 0 3 9 5:30 -25 3
L L D L L
16 12 0 2 10 13:38 -25 2
L D L L L
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)