Login Register
26.09.2026 13:30
Cyncoed Campus
Referee: A. D. Livesey
Cardiff MET
Match Timeline
Caernarfon Town
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
13'
J. Payne
Cardiff MET
🟨
14'
P. Mendes
Caernarfon Town
🟨
19'
L. Mwandwe
Cardiff MET
🟨
27'
N. Edwards
Caernarfon Town
🟨
37'
L. Mwandwe
Cardiff MET
🟥
37'
L. Mwandwe
Cardiff MET
🟨
51'
M. Jones
Caernarfon Town
⚽
64'
J. Veale
Cardiff MET
🔄
69'
A. Wildig ↔ J. Edwards
Cardiff MET
🔄
73'
S. Bradley ↔ S. Nyamwanza
Caernarfon Town
🔄
73'
R. Sears ↔ O. Zanzala
Caernarfon Town
🔄
80'
P. Mendes ↔ O. Evans
Caernarfon Town
🔄
86'
C. Craven ↔ J. Hooper
Cardiff MET
⚽
86'
O. Evans
Caernarfon Town
🟨
90+4'
C. Marriott
Caernarfon Town
🔄
90+3'
S. Snaith ↔ H. Matthews
Cardiff MET
🔄
90+5'
A. Cieslewicz ↔ P. Mooney
Caernarfon Town
⚽
90'
Z. Clarke
Caernarfon Town

Cardiff MET vs Caernarfon Town Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 63.6%
Odds 1.95
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.50
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.48
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
63.6%
1.95 ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.50 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.48 ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
3.28 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.50 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Cardiff MET Win 33%
Draw 3.4%
Caernarfon Town Win 63.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cardiff MET1.96
Caernarfon Town2.01
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cardiff MET Cardiff MET
WWDLW
30 GF / 14 GA
Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town
WLDWL
35 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
2.14
Average Goals Scored
2.69
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.69
6
BTTS Yes
7
8
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cardiff MET Cardiff MET 14 matches
Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 13 matches
Cardiff MET Statistic Caernarfon Town
7 Wins 8
4 Draws 1
3 Losses 4
30 Goals For 35
14 Goals Against 22
2.14 Avg Goals Scored 2.69
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.69
6 BTTS Yes 7
11 Over 1.5 13
8 Over 2.5 11
6 Over 3.5 6
5 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Caernarfon Town having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Caernarfon Town. Caernarfon Town carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 22 points while Cardiff MET sit 10 on 14, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Cardiff MET Analysis

Cardiff MET are currently 10 in the standings with 14 points from 9 matches. The record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 19:11 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Caernarfon Town Analysis

Caernarfon Town come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 22 points after 10 matches. They have recorded 7 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, with a 33:11 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cardiff MET won 4 times, Caernarfon Town won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:33 from Cardiff MET's perspective. 13 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.73 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.6%)
H2H summary: Cardiff MET wins 4, draws 4, Caernarfon Town wins 7

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 11 1 0 38:5 33 34
W W W W W
2 12 9 1 2 28:8 20 28
W W W W L
3 12 8 3 1 22:10 12 27
L W W W W
4 12 8 1 3 27:20 7 25
W L L D W
5 12 7 2 3 35:14 21 23
L D W D W
6 12 7 1 4 21:15 6 22
L W W W W
7 12 6 3 3 23:13 10 21
W W D L D
8 12 6 0 6 21:17 4 18
W L W L L
9 12 5 3 4 21:32 -11 18
L W L W W
10 12 5 1 6 21:19 2 16
L L L D L
11 12 3 3 6 11:20 -9 12
W D D L L
12 12 3 1 8 7:17 -10 10
L L L W W
13 12 2 2 8 12:24 -12 8
W W L L D
14 12 1 3 8 9:32 -23 6
W L L D L
15 12 0 3 9 5:30 -25 3
L L D L L
16 12 0 2 10 13:38 -25 2
L D L L L
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)