VENEZUELA PRIMERA DIVISIóN
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 63.6%
Odds 1.17
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 2.10
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
63.6%
1.17
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.91
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
2.10
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
2.43
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.75
Correct Score 1-2
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Caracas FC Win 36.4%
Draw 20.2%
Carabobo FC Win 43.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Caracas FC1.06
Carabobo FC1.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
Caracas FC Caracas FC
WWDLW
20 GF / 24 GA
Carabobo FC Carabobo FC
WLDWL
43 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.18
Average Goals Scored
1.54
1.41
Average Goals Conceded
0.89
12
BTTS Yes
14
8
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Caracas FC Caracas FC 17 matches
Carabobo FC Carabobo FC 28 matches
Caracas FC Statistic Carabobo FC
4 Wins 13
7 Draws 9
6 Losses 6
20 Goals For 43
24 Goals Against 25
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 1.54
1.41 Avg Goals Conceded 0.89
12 BTTS Yes 14
13 Over 1.5 17
8 Over 2.5 10
5 Over 3.5 6
3 Clean Sheets 11
3 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 2
0 Total Shots 6.88
0 Corners 2.5
0% Ball Possession 22%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Carabobo FC's more proactive style and Caracas FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Carabobo FC. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Carabobo FC having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Caracas FC Analysis

Caracas FC are currently 10 in the standings with 15 points from 13 matches. The record of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 15:17 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Carabobo FC Analysis

From their first 13 matches, Carabobo FC have collected 19 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Their overall return of 4 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 23:14 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Caracas FC won 1 times, Carabobo FC won 6 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:11 from Caracas FC's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.8%)
H2H summary: Caracas FC wins 1, draws 7, Carabobo FC wins 6
Last matches: Caracas FC
15.08.26
Pri
Caracas FC
UCV
1
0
W
10.08.26
Pri
Caracas FC
Deportivo La Guaira
1
2
L
06.08.26
Pri
Caracas FC
Puerto Cabello
1
3
L
03.08.26
Pri
Caracas FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
2
2
D
25.04.26
Pri
Caracas FC
Rayo Zuliano
2
1
W
20.04.26
Pri
Caracas FC
Zamora FC
1
1
D
12.04.26
Pri
Caracas FC
Anzoátegui FC
1
3
L
03.04.26
Pri
Caracas FC
Metropolitanos FC
1
0
W
22.03.26
Pri
Caracas FC
Monagas SC
1
1
D
17.03.26
Pri
Caracas FC
Trujillanos FC
4
2
W
14.03.26
Pri
Caracas FC
Portuguesa FC
1
1
D
07.03.26
Pri
Caracas FC
Deportivo Tachira FC
0
1
L
28.02.26
Pri
Caracas FC
Carabobo FC
0
0
D
22.02.26
Pri
Caracas FC
UCV
1
2
L
14.02.26
Pri
Caracas FC
Deportivo La Guaira
0
2
L
07.02.26
Pri
Caracas FC
Puerto Cabello
1
1
D
01.02.26
Pri
Caracas FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
2
2
D
Last matches: Carabobo FC
16.08.26
Pri
Carabobo FC
Metropolitanos FC
1
0
W
08.08.26
Pri
Carabobo FC
Monagas SC
0
1
L
04.08.26
Pri
Carabobo FC
Trujillanos FC
2
0
W
31.07.26
Pri
Carabobo FC
Portuguesa FC
0
1
L
07.06.26
Pri
Carabobo FC
Puerto Cabello
2
1
W
31.05.26
Pri
Carabobo FC
Metropolitanos FC
5
1
W
24.05.26
Pri
Carabobo FC
Deportivo Tachira FC
1
1
D
17.05.26
Pri
Carabobo FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
2
0
W
13.05.26
Pri
Carabobo FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
1
0
W
10.05.26
Pri
Carabobo FC
Deportivo Tachira FC
1
3
L
03.05.26
Pri
Carabobo FC
Metropolitanos FC
0
0
D
25.04.26
Pri
Carabobo FC
Deportivo Tachira FC
1
2
L
20.04.26
Pri
Carabobo FC
Anzoátegui FC
6
3
W
12.04.26
Pri
Carabobo FC
UCV
4
2
W
02.04.26
Pri
Carabobo FC
Deportivo La Guaira
1
1
D
23.03.26
Pri
Carabobo FC
Puerto Cabello
1
1
D
18.03.26
Pri
Carabobo FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
2
3
L
15.03.26
Pri
Carabobo FC
Rayo Zuliano
5
0
W
11.03.26
CON
Carabobo FC
Sporting Cristal
2
1
W
07.03.26
Pri
Carabobo FC
Zamora FC
0
0
D
H2H: Caracas FC vs Carabobo FC
28.02.26
H2H
Carabobo FC
Caracas FC
0
0
D
09.11.25
H2H
Carabobo FC
Caracas FC
2
0
L
19.10.25
H2H
Caracas FC
Carabobo FC
0
0
D
14.09.25
H2H
Carabobo FC
Caracas FC
1
0
L
05.04.25
H2H
Caracas FC
Carabobo FC
0
1
L
19.10.24
H2H
Caracas FC
Carabobo FC
0
0
D
19.04.24
H2H
Carabobo FC
Caracas FC
1
0
L
08.10.23
H2H
Carabobo FC
Caracas FC
1
1
D
03.02.23
H2H
Caracas FC
Carabobo FC
0
0
D
12.06.22
H2H
Caracas FC
Carabobo FC
0
0
D
03.06.22
H2H
Carabobo FC
Caracas FC
0
0
D
16.08.20
H2H
Caracas FC
Carabobo FC
0
0
D
12.10.19
H2H
Carabobo FC
Caracas FC
0
2
W
21.04.19
H2H
Caracas FC
Carabobo FC
0
2
L
11.10.18
H2H
Caracas FC
Carabobo FC
0
3
L
Last matches: Caracas FC
10.08.26
Pri
Caracas FC
Deportivo La Guaira
1
2
L
03.08.26
Pri
Caracas FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
2
2
D
25.04.26
Pri
Caracas FC
Rayo Zuliano
2
1
W
12.04.26
Pri
Caracas FC
Anzoátegui FC
1
3
L
03.04.26
Pri
Caracas FC
Metropolitanos FC
1
0
W
17.03.26
Pri
Caracas FC
Trujillanos FC
4
2
W
07.03.26
Pri
Caracas FC
Deportivo Tachira FC
0
1
L
22.02.26
Pri
Caracas FC
UCV
1
2
L
07.02.26
Pri
Caracas FC
Puerto Cabello
1
1
D
H2H at home: Caracas FC
19.10.25
H2H
Caracas FC
Carabobo FC
0
0
D
05.04.25
H2H
Caracas FC
Carabobo FC
0
1
L
19.10.24
H2H
Caracas FC
Carabobo FC
0
0
D
03.02.23
H2H
Caracas FC
Carabobo FC
0
0
D
12.06.22
H2H
Caracas FC
Carabobo FC
0
0
D
16.08.20
H2H
Caracas FC
Carabobo FC
0
0
D
21.04.19
H2H
Caracas FC
Carabobo FC
0
2
L
11.10.18
H2H
Caracas FC
Carabobo FC
0
3
L
Last matches: Carabobo FC
08.08.26
Pri
Carabobo FC
Monagas SC
0
1
L
31.07.26
Pri
Carabobo FC
Portuguesa FC
0
1
L
31.05.26
Pri
Carabobo FC
Metropolitanos FC
5
1
W
17.05.26
Pri
Carabobo FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
2
0
W
10.05.26
Pri
Carabobo FC
Deportivo Tachira FC
1
3
L
25.04.26
Pri
Carabobo FC
Deportivo Tachira FC
1
2
L
02.04.26
Pri
Carabobo FC
Deportivo La Guaira
1
1
D
18.03.26
Pri
Carabobo FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
2
3
L
11.03.26
CON
Carabobo FC
Sporting Cristal
2
1
W
07.03.26
Pri
Carabobo FC
Zamora FC
0
0
D
24.02.26
CON
Carabobo FC
Huachipato
2
1
W
20.02.26
Pri
Carabobo FC
Metropolitanos FC
1
1
D
08.02.26
Pri
Carabobo FC
Trujillanos FC
1
1
D
H2H away: Carabobo FC
19.10.25
H2H
Caracas FC
Carabobo FC
0
0
D
05.04.25
H2H
Caracas FC
Carabobo FC
0
1
W
19.10.24
H2H
Caracas FC
Carabobo FC
0
0
D
03.02.23
H2H
Caracas FC
Carabobo FC
0
0
D
12.06.22
H2H
Caracas FC
Carabobo FC
0
0
D
16.08.20
H2H
Caracas FC
Carabobo FC
0
0
D
21.04.19
H2H
Caracas FC
Carabobo FC
0
2
W
11.10.18
H2H
Caracas FC
Carabobo FC
0
3
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.93
Draw 3.17
Home 3.86
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.34
Over 1.75 1.42
Over 2.0 1.57
Over 2.25 1.85
Over 2.5 2.10
Over 2.75 2.42
Over 3.0 3.06
Over 3.25 2.92
Under 1.5 3.05
Under 1.75 2.69
Under 2.0 2.33
Under 2.25 1.93
Under 2.5 1.69
Under 2.75 1.51
Under 3.0 1.34
Under 3.25 1.37
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.70
Draw 3.25
Home 4.50
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.38
Draw 2.20
Home 5.00
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.10
Draw 2.40
Home 4.33
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.06
Over 1.5 1.30
Over 2.5 2.05
Over 3.5 3.50
Over 4.5 7.00
Over 5.5 17.00
Over 6.5 34.00
Under 0.5 10.00
Under 1.5 3.40
Under 2.5 1.75
Under 3.5 1.28
Under 4.5 1.10
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.81
Draw 3.36
Home 3.98
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.43
Draw 2.04
Home 4.82
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.20
Draw 2.38
Home 4.26
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.00
Over 0.75 1.01
Over 1.0 1.03
Over 1.25 1.16
Over 1.5 1.29
Over 1.75 1.37
Over 2.0 1.50
Over 2.25 1.77
Over 2.5 2.01
Over 2.75 2.28
Over 3.0 2.88
Over 3.25 3.20
Over 3.5 3.58
Over 3.75 4.55
Over 4.0 6.55
Over 4.25 6.95
Over 4.5 7.40
Over 5.0 11.50
Over 5.5 15.00
Over 6.5 34.00
Under 0.5 9.20
Under 0.75 8.40
Under 1.0 7.60
Under 1.25 4.15
Under 1.5 3.04
Under 1.75 2.66
Under 2.0 2.28
Under 2.25 1.92
Under 2.5 1.70
Under 2.75 1.50
Under 3.0 1.32
Under 3.25 1.26
Under 3.5 1.21
Under 3.75 1.13
Under 4.0 1.05
Under 4.25 1.04
Under 4.5 1.03
Under 5.0 1.01
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.88
Draw 3.10
Home 3.75
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.55
Draw 2.07
Home 4.10
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.35
Over 2.5 2.10
Over 3.5 3.65
Under 1.5 2.80
Under 2.5 1.58
Under 3.5 1.21

Standings

Primera Division: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 7 6 0 15:6 9 27
W D W D W
2 13 7 4 2 17:10 7 25
W W D L W
3 13 7 3 3 17:12 5 24
W D L W W
4 13 7 2 4 24:20 4 23
L D L W L
5 13 5 5 3 20:12 8 20
W D W L D
6 13 6 2 5 21:18 3 20
L W W W L
7 13 4 7 2 23:14 9 19
L W W D D
8 13 4 5 4 16:14 2 17
D W L L D
9 13 4 5 4 14:14 0 17
D D D W W
10 13 3 6 4 15:17 -2 15
W D L W D
11 13 4 2 7 13:23 -10 14
L L L W D
12 13 3 2 8 14:22 -8 11
D L W L D
13 13 2 3 8 15:25 -10 9
D L W L L
14 13 0 4 9 9:26 -17 4
L L L L L
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Apertura - Quadrangular)