Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
61.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Capital Brasilia
Aparecidense
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Capital Brasilia
11 matches
Aparecidense
11 matches
| Capital Brasilia | Statistic | Aparecidense |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 3 |
| 3 | Draws | 5 |
| 1 | Losses | 3 |
| 17 | Goals For | 14 |
| 7 | Goals Against | 13 |
| 1.55 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.27 |
| 0.64 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.18 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 7 | Over 1.5 | 9 |
| 3 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This knockout meeting sets up as a clash between two sides with a fairly similar football identity, where game management could be just as important as attacking output. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Because this is a knockout setting, momentum shifts, risk management, and late-game discipline could all carry more weight than in a standard league fixture. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Aparecidense having the stronger overall control. Capital Brasilia arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 23 points compared to Aparecidense in 4 on 13, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Capital Brasilia come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Aparecidense.
Ahead of this knockout test, Capital Brasilia arrive from a league campaign that has them 1 with 23 points after 10 matches. Their record of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats with goals at 16:6 reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking weight falls on Gustavo Nescau (2 goals), Matheuzinho (2 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the return of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Ahead of this knockout test, Aparecidense arrive from a league campaign that has them 4 with 13 points after 10 matches. Their record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats with goals at 13:12 reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking weight falls on Carlos Baje (3 goals), Ivan Junior (2 goals), Luan (2 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Capital Brasilia won 0 times, Aparecidense won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:4 from Capital Brasilia's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Capital Brasilia
Aparecidense
Capital Brasilia
União Rondonópolis
Capital Brasilia
CEOV Operário
Capital Brasilia
Goiatuba EC
Capital Brasilia
Ceilândia
Capital Brasilia
Mixto
Capital Brasilia
Mixto
Capital Brasilia
Ceilândia
Capital Brasilia
Goiatuba EC
Capital Brasilia
CEOV Operário
Capital Brasilia
União Rondonópolis
Capital Brasilia
Aparecidense
Capital Brasilia
Porto Velho
Capital Brasilia
Ceilândia
Capital Brasilia
Mixto
Capital Brasilia
Luverdense
Capital Brasilia
Goianésia
Capital Brasilia
Goiânia
Capital Brasilia
Goiânia
Capital Brasilia
Goianésia
Aparecidense
Capital Brasilia
Aparecidense
Gama
Aparecidense
Primavera MG
Aparecidense
Luverdense
Aparecidense
Inhumas
Aparecidense
Brasiliense
Aparecidense
Brasiliense
Aparecidense
Inhumas
Aparecidense
Luverdense
Aparecidense
Primavera MG
Aparecidense
Gama
Aparecidense
Goiatuba EC
Aparecidense
Goiatuba EC
Aparecidense
CFRJ / Maricá
Aparecidense
CFRJ / Maricá
Aparecidense
Capital Brasilia
Aparecidense
Mixto
Aparecidense
Goianésia
Aparecidense
Porto Velho
Aparecidense
Goiânia
Capital Brasilia
União Rondonópolis
Capital Brasilia
Ceilândia
Capital Brasilia
Mixto
Capital Brasilia
Goiatuba EC
Capital Brasilia
CEOV Operário
Capital Brasilia
Porto Velho
Capital Brasilia
Ceilândia
Capital Brasilia
Goianésia
Capital Brasilia
Goiânia
Capital Brasilia
Luverdense
Capital Brasilia
Mixto
Capital Brasilia
Aparecidense
Aparecidense
Gama
Aparecidense
Luverdense
Aparecidense
Inhumas
Aparecidense
Brasiliense
Aparecidense
Primavera MG
Aparecidense
Goiatuba EC
Aparecidense
CFRJ / Maricá
Aparecidense
Mixto
Aparecidense
Goiânia
Aparecidense
Luverdense
Aparecidense
Ceilândia
Aparecidense
Porto Velho
Aparecidense
Goianésia
Aparecidense
Capital Brasilia
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Capital Brasilia
Home
|
10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 16:6 | 10 | 23 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
| 2 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 19 |
W
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 12 |
D
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 12 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11:18 | -7 | 9 |
L
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:16 | -9 | 5 |
L
L
D
L
W
|