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Canberra Olympic
Match Timeline
Tuggeranong United
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
45'
D. Celis
Canberra Olympic
⚽
45'
G. Timotheou
Tuggeranong United
⚽
70'
J. Ceruti
Tuggeranong United

Canberra Olympic vs Tuggeranong United Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 60.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
60.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Canberra Olympic Win 33.8%
Draw 5.3%
Tuggeranong United Win 60.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Canberra Olympic2.13
Tuggeranong United2.46
Recent Form (Last 5)
Canberra Olympic Canberra Olympic
WWDLW
34 GF / 43 GA
Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United
WLDWL
37 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
2.13
Average Goals Scored
2.31
2.69
Average Goals Conceded
2.13
12
BTTS Yes
13
14
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Canberra Olympic Canberra Olympic 16 matches
Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United 16 matches
Canberra Olympic Statistic Tuggeranong United
5 Wins 11
2 Draws 0
9 Losses 5
34 Goals For 37
43 Goals Against 34
2.13 Avg Goals Scored 2.31
2.69 Avg Goals Conceded 2.13
12 BTTS Yes 13
14 Over 1.5 15
14 Over 2.5 14
10 Over 3.5 9
1 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Tuggeranong United's more proactive style and Canberra Olympic's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Tuggeranong United having the stronger overall control. Tuggeranong United look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Tuggeranong United carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 33 points while Canberra Olympic sit 7 on 17, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Tuggeranong United. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Canberra Olympic Analysis

With 17 points from 16 games and a place of 7, Canberra Olympic still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 34:43, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Tuggeranong United Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 33 points from 16 games, Tuggeranong United bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a 37:34 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Canberra Olympic won 5 times, Tuggeranong United won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:24 from Canberra Olympic's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.57 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.8%)
H2H summary: Canberra Olympic wins 5, draws 3, Tuggeranong United wins 6

Standings

Capital Territory NPL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 17 1 2 64:24 40 52
L W W W W
2 20 15 1 4 71:26 45 46
L W L W D
3 20 14 2 4 59:24 35 44
W W W W W
4 20 14 0 6 49:39 10 42
L W W L W
5 20 12 2 6 42:28 14 38
L W W W W
6 20 11 0 9 39:39 0 33
L L L W L
7 20 7 2 11 45:55 -10 23
W W L L D
8 20 6 2 12 24:39 -15 20
L W L D D
9 20 2 3 15 25:50 -25 9
L L L L D
10 20 3 0 17 15:66 -51 9
L L L L W
11 20 2 1 17 17:60 -43 7
L L L W L