BRAZIL SERIE C
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64.3%
Odds 1.94
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 41.6%
Odds 2.07
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64.3%
1.94
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.91
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
41.6%
2.07
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.20
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Brusque Win 64.3%
Draw 4%
Figueirense Win 31.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Brusque1.35
Figueirense0.98
Recent Form (Last 5)
Brusque Brusque
WWDLW
17 GF / 13 GA
Figueirense Figueirense
WLDWL
11 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.42
Average Goals Scored
0.92
1.08
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
7
BTTS Yes
7
6
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Brusque Brusque 12 matches
Figueirense Figueirense 12 matches
Brusque Statistic Figueirense
6 Wins 4
3 Draws 4
3 Losses 4
17 Goals For 11
13 Goals Against 15
1.42 Avg Goals Scored 0.92
1.08 Avg Goals Conceded 1.25
7 BTTS Yes 7
9 Over 1.5 8
6 Over 2.5 6
2 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Brusque's more proactive style and Figueirense's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Figueirense. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Figueirense having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Brusque arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 21 points compared to Figueirense in 12 on 16, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Brusque Analysis

Brusque come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 21 points from 11 matches. The record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 17:11 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Figueirense Analysis

From their first 12 matches, Figueirense have collected 16 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, while the 11:15 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Brusque won 2 times, Figueirense won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:12 from Brusque's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.1 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.1%)
H2H summary: Brusque wins 2, draws 4, Figueirense wins 4
Last matches: Brusque
30.06.26
Ser
Brusque
Botafogo PB
0
2
L
21.06.26
Ser
Brusque
Floresta
2
1
W
14.06.26
Ser
Brusque
Santa Cruz
0
1
L
01.06.26
Ser
Brusque
Barra
2
2
D
24.05.26
Ser
Brusque
Anápolis
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Brusque
Ferroviária
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Brusque
Ypiranga-RS
3
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Brusque
Volta Redonda
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
Brusque
Confiança
2
1
W
20.04.26
Ser
Brusque
Maringá
3
2
W
12.04.26
Ser
Brusque
Paysandu
1
1
D
04.04.26
Ser
Brusque
Caxias
2
1
W
Last matches: Figueirense
28.06.26
Ser
Figueirense
Guarani Campinas
1
1
D
20.06.26
Ser
Figueirense
Ituano
0
0
D
14.06.26
Ser
Figueirense
Floresta
2
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Figueirense
Paysandu
2
1
W
24.05.26
Ser
Figueirense
Confiança
0
0
D
16.05.26
Ser
Figueirense
AO Itabaiana
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Figueirense
Amazonas
1
0
W
04.05.26
Ser
Figueirense
Barra
0
3
L
26.04.26
Ser
Figueirense
Anápolis
1
3
L
19.04.26
Ser
Figueirense
Botafogo PB
2
1
W
13.04.26
Ser
Figueirense
Maringá
1
3
L
06.04.26
Ser
Figueirense
Ypiranga-RS
1
1
D
H2H: Brusque vs Figueirense
15.01.26
H2H
Brusque
Figueirense
2
1
W
06.07.25
H2H
Brusque
Figueirense
0
2
L
05.02.25
H2H
Figueirense
Brusque
1
0
L
27.01.24
H2H
Brusque
Figueirense
0
0
D
17.06.23
H2H
Brusque
Figueirense
0
1
L
11.03.23
H2H
Brusque
Figueirense
3
2
W
05.03.22
H2H
Brusque
Figueirense
2
2
D
14.01.22
H2H
Figueirense
Brusque
0
0
D
04.04.21
H2H
Brusque
Figueirense
2
2
D
15.03.20
H2H
Figueirense
Brusque
1
0
L
Last matches: Brusque
21.06.26
Ser
Brusque
Floresta
2
1
W
14.06.26
Ser
Brusque
Santa Cruz
0
1
L
24.05.26
Ser
Brusque
Anápolis
1
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
Brusque
Ypiranga-RS
3
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Brusque
Confiança
2
1
W
04.04.26
Ser
Brusque
Caxias
2
1
W
H2H at home: Brusque
15.01.26
H2H
Brusque
Figueirense
2
1
W
06.07.25
H2H
Brusque
Figueirense
0
2
L
27.01.24
H2H
Brusque
Figueirense
0
0
D
17.06.23
H2H
Brusque
Figueirense
0
1
L
11.03.23
H2H
Brusque
Figueirense
3
2
W
05.03.22
H2H
Brusque
Figueirense
2
2
D
04.04.21
H2H
Brusque
Figueirense
2
2
D
Last matches: Figueirense
20.06.26
Ser
Figueirense
Ituano
0
0
D
14.06.26
Ser
Figueirense
Floresta
2
1
W
24.05.26
Ser
Figueirense
Confiança
0
0
D
10.05.26
Ser
Figueirense
Amazonas
1
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Figueirense
Anápolis
1
3
L
06.04.26
Ser
Figueirense
Ypiranga-RS
1
1
D
H2H away: Figueirense
15.01.26
H2H
Brusque
Figueirense
2
1
L
06.07.25
H2H
Brusque
Figueirense
0
2
W
27.01.24
H2H
Brusque
Figueirense
0
0
D
17.06.23
H2H
Brusque
Figueirense
0
1
W
11.03.23
H2H
Brusque
Figueirense
3
2
L
05.03.22
H2H
Brusque
Figueirense
2
2
D
04.04.21
H2H
Brusque
Figueirense
2
2
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 1.94
Draw 2.92
Away 3.84
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.34
Under 1.5 2.87
Over 1.75 1.43
Under 1.75 2.55
Over 2.0 1.57
Under 2.0 2.24
Over 2.25 1.84
Under 2.25 1.88
Over 2.5 2.07
Under 2.5 1.67
Over 2.75 2.38
Under 2.75 1.49
Over 3.0 3.00
Under 3.0 1.32
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 2.00
Draw 3.10
Away 3.50
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 2.62
Draw 2.05
Away 4.00
SECOND HALF WINNER
Home 2.40
Draw 2.38
Away 3.75
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.36
Under 1.5 3.00
Over 2.5 2.15
Under 2.5 1.67
Over 3.5 3.75
Under 3.5 1.25
Over 0.5 1.06
Under 0.5 8.00
Over 4.5 7.00
Under 4.5 1.08
Over 5.5 11.00
Under 5.5 1.02
Over 6.5 17.00
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 2.02
Draw 2.93
Away 3.77
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 2.71
Draw 1.88
Away 4.78
SECOND HALF WINNER
Home 2.32
Draw 2.31
Away 4.08
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.33
Under 1.5 2.83
Over 1.75 1.43
Under 1.75 2.52
Over 2.0 1.56
Under 2.0 2.15
Over 2.25 1.84
Under 2.25 1.84
Over 2.5 2.08
Under 2.5 1.65
Over 2.75 2.37
Under 2.75 1.48
Over 3.5 3.50
Under 3.5 1.22
Over 0.5 1.05
Under 0.5 6.70
Over 0.75 1.06
Under 0.75 6.21
Over 1.0 1.08
Under 1.0 5.70
Over 1.25 1.22
Under 1.25 3.60
Over 3.0 2.88
Under 3.0 1.32
Over 4.5 6.70
Under 4.5 1.05
Over 3.25 3.22
Under 3.25 1.27
Over 3.75 4.40
Under 3.75 1.14
Over 4.0 6.05
Under 4.0 1.06
Over 4.25 6.40
Under 4.25 1.05
Over 5.5 17.00
Under 5.5 1.02
Over 6.5 17.00
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 2.02
Draw 3.15
Away 3.75
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 2.70
Draw 2.07
Away 4.35
SECOND HALF WINNER
Home 2.43
Draw 2.35
Away 3.85
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.38
Under 1.5 2.70
Over 2.0 1.67
Under 2.0 2.05
Over 2.5 2.23
Under 2.5 1.56
Over 3.5 4.10
Under 3.5 1.19
Over 0.5 1.05
Under 0.5 6.75
Over 1.0 1.10
Under 1.0 5.60
Over 3.0 3.35
Under 3.0 1.26
Over 3.25 3.75
Under 3.25 1.22

Standings

Serie C
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 6 4 2 23:11 12 22
D L W W W
2 12 6 3 3 17:13 4 21
L W L D W
3 12 6 2 4 19:16 3 20
L W L L W
4 12 5 4 3 15:12 3 19
D D D L W
5 12 5 4 3 12:10 2 19
L W W D W
6 12 5 4 3 15:14 1 19
D L W W D
7 12 5 3 4 12:9 3 18
W L W D D
8 12 5 3 4 15:14 1 18
W L L W L
9 12 5 2 5 10:11 -1 17
W L W W W
10 12 5 2 5 13:16 -3 17
L D W L L
11 12 4 5 3 12:10 2 17
D D L W D
12 12 5 1 6 15:15 0 16
W W D W L
13 12 4 4 4 22:24 -2 16
D D D L D
14 12 4 4 4 11:15 -4 16
D D W W D
15 12 4 3 5 15:17 -2 15
D W D L L
16 12 3 5 4 9:12 -3 14
D L D D D
17 12 2 6 4 14:13 1 12
L D L D L
18 12 3 2 7 7:10 -3 11
D W L L D
19 12 2 4 6 9:17 -8 10
W L D L D
20 12 2 3 7 9:15 -6 9
D W L D L
Play-offs
Relegation