ARGENTINA PRIMERA B METROPOLITANA
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Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.6%
Odds 1.91
BTTS
No
Probability 70.3%
Odds 1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 88%
Odds 1.43
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.6%
1.91
BTTS No
70.3%
1.53
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
88%
1.43
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.34
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.50
Correct Score 2-0
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Brown DE Adrogue Win 69.6%
Draw 6.2%
UAI Urquiza Win 24.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Brown DE Adrogue0.71
UAI Urquiza0.69
Recent Form (Last 5)
Brown DE Adrogue Brown DE Adrogue
WWDLW
19 GF / 31 GA
UAI Urquiza UAI Urquiza
WLDWL
14 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
0.63
Average Goals Scored
0.47
1.03
Average Goals Conceded
0.83
10
BTTS Yes
8
7
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Brown DE Adrogue Brown DE Adrogue 30 matches
UAI Urquiza UAI Urquiza 30 matches
Brown DE Adrogue Statistic UAI Urquiza
7 Wins 3
10 Draws 18
13 Losses 9
19 Goals For 14
31 Goals Against 25
0.63 Avg Goals Scored 0.47
1.03 Avg Goals Conceded 0.83
10 BTTS Yes 8
12 Over 1.5 14
7 Over 2.5 6
4 Over 3.5 2
12 Clean Sheets 15
14 Failed To Score 20
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring UAI Urquiza. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward UAI Urquiza having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Brown DE Adrogue Analysis

With 31 points from 29 games and a place of 17, Brown DE Adrogue still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 7 wins, 10 draws, and 12 defeats with a 19:30 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

UAI Urquiza Analysis

UAI Urquiza approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 20 with 27 points from 29 matches. The overall return of 3 wins, 18 draws, and 8 defeats with a 14:24 goal balance points toward poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 10 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Brown DE Adrogue won 3 times, UAI Urquiza won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:5 from Brown DE Adrogue's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.8%)
H2H summary: Brown DE Adrogue wins 3, draws 1, UAI Urquiza wins 1
Last matches: Brown DE Adrogue
15.08.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Villa Dalmine
0
1
L
08.08.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Excursionistas
1
0
W
31.07.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Arsenal Sarandi
1
1
D
25.07.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Argentino de Merlo
1
0
W
18.07.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Talleres Remedios
0
1
L
14.07.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Deportivo Laferrere
0
1
L
10.07.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Ituzaingó
0
0
D
04.07.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Deportivo Armenio
0
0
D
27.06.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Flandria
2
0
W
20.06.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Argentino Quilmes
2
4
L
13.06.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Defensores Unidos
1
1
D
06.06.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Comunicaciones
1
2
L
30.05.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Dock Sud
1
0
W
26.05.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Talleres Remedios
1
2
L
22.05.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Deportivo Merlo
0
1
L
16.05.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Deportivo Camioneros
0
1
L
09.05.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Sportivo Italiano
0
0
D
02.05.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
San Martín Burzaco
0
0
D
25.04.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Villa San Carlos
2
1
W
19.04.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Liniers
0
1
L
Last matches: UAI Urquiza
16.08.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Deportivo Armenio
0
1
L
08.08.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Flandria
1
1
D
01.08.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Argentino Quilmes
0
0
D
25.07.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Defensores Unidos
1
1
D
18.07.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Comunicaciones
0
2
L
14.07.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Dock Sud
0
0
D
10.07.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Deportivo Merlo
0
0
D
04.07.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Deportivo Camioneros
0
4
L
28.06.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Sportivo Italiano
0
0
D
20.06.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
San Martín Burzaco
0
0
D
13.06.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Villa San Carlos
0
0
D
08.06.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Liniers
2
1
W
30.05.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Real Pilar
1
2
L
26.05.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Comunicaciones
0
3
L
22.05.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Ituzaingó
1
1
D
16.05.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Villa Dalmine
0
0
D
08.05.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Excursionistas
0
0
D
02.05.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Arsenal Sarandi
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Argentino de Merlo
2
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Talleres Remedios
0
2
L
H2H: Brown DE Adrogue vs UAI Urquiza
10.04.26
H2H
UAI Urquiza
Brown DE Adrogue
0
1
W
26.07.25
H2H
Brown DE Adrogue
UAI Urquiza
3
1
W
08.03.25
H2H
UAI Urquiza
Brown DE Adrogue
2
1
L
06.09.15
H2H
UAI Urquiza
Brown DE Adrogue
1
1
D
18.04.15
H2H
Brown DE Adrogue
UAI Urquiza
2
1
W
Last matches: Brown DE Adrogue
08.08.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Excursionistas
1
0
W
25.07.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Argentino de Merlo
1
0
W
14.07.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Deportivo Laferrere
0
1
L
10.07.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Ituzaingó
0
0
D
27.06.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Flandria
2
0
W
20.06.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Argentino Quilmes
2
4
L
06.06.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Comunicaciones
1
2
L
26.05.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Talleres Remedios
1
2
L
22.05.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Deportivo Merlo
0
1
L
09.05.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Sportivo Italiano
0
0
D
25.04.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Villa San Carlos
2
1
W
14.04.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Real Pilar
1
1
D
03.04.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Villa Dalmine
1
4
L
21.03.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Arsenal Sarandi
0
4
L
22.02.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Deportivo Armenio
0
0
D
08.11.25
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Argentino Quilmes
1
1
D
18.10.25
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Flandria
1
1
D
04.10.25
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Deportivo Laferrere
1
1
D
20.09.25
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Comunicaciones
0
1
L
08.09.25
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
San Martín Burzaco
0
0
D
H2H at home: Brown DE Adrogue
26.07.25
H2H
Brown DE Adrogue
UAI Urquiza
3
1
W
18.04.15
H2H
Brown DE Adrogue
UAI Urquiza
2
1
W
Last matches: UAI Urquiza
08.08.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Flandria
1
1
D
25.07.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Defensores Unidos
1
1
D
14.07.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Dock Sud
0
0
D
04.07.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Deportivo Camioneros
0
4
L
13.06.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Villa San Carlos
0
0
D
30.05.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Real Pilar
1
2
L
26.05.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Comunicaciones
0
3
L
22.05.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Ituzaingó
1
1
D
08.05.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Excursionistas
0
0
D
25.04.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Argentino de Merlo
2
0
W
14.04.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Deportivo Laferrere
0
0
D
04.04.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Deportivo Armenio
1
2
L
22.03.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Argentino Quilmes
1
1
D
27.02.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Deportivo Merlo
0
0
D
15.02.26
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Sportivo Italiano
0
0
D
16.11.25
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Deportivo Laferrere
1
1
D
04.11.25
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Comunicaciones
3
0
W
11.10.25
Pri
UAI Urquiza
San Martín Burzaco
0
5
L
29.09.25
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Deportivo Merlo
2
1
W
15.09.25
Pri
UAI Urquiza
Villa San Carlos
0
3
L
H2H away: UAI Urquiza
26.07.25
H2H
Brown DE Adrogue
UAI Urquiza
3
1
L
18.04.15
H2H
Brown DE Adrogue
UAI Urquiza
2
1
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.18
Draw 2.91
Home 1.91
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.0 1.18
Over 1.25 1.34
Over 1.5 1.52
Over 1.75 1.69
Over 2.0 1.99
Over 2.25 2.32
Over 2.5 2.62
Over 2.75 3.18
Under 1.0 4.27
Under 1.25 2.95
Under 1.5 2.36
Under 1.75 2.08
Under 2.0 1.78
Under 2.25 1.56
Under 2.5 1.43
Under 2.75 1.30
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 2.90
Home 1.90
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.33
Draw 1.83
Home 3.00
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.75
Draw 2.10
Home 2.62
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.12
Over 1.5 1.57
Over 2.5 2.75
Over 3.5 5.50
Over 4.5 10.00
Over 5.5 17.00
Under 0.5 5.50
Under 1.5 2.25
Under 2.5 1.40
Under 3.5 1.12
Under 4.5 1.03
Under 5.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.46
Draw 2.90
Home 2.15
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.60
Draw 1.83
Home 2.93
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.09
Draw 2.10
Home 2.60
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.08
Over 0.75 1.10
Over 1.0 1.14
Over 1.25 1.36
Over 1.5 1.56
Over 1.75 1.73
Over 2.0 1.98
Over 2.25 2.30
Over 2.5 2.62
Over 2.75 3.20
Over 3.0 4.45
Over 3.25 4.84
Over 3.5 5.20
Over 3.75 6.70
Over 4.0 9.40
Over 4.5 12.00
Over 5.5 17.00
Under 0.5 5.70
Under 0.75 5.10
Under 1.0 4.45
Under 1.25 2.87
Under 1.5 2.27
Under 1.75 1.99
Under 2.0 1.67
Under 2.25 1.49
Under 2.5 1.38
Under 2.75 1.26
Under 3.0 1.14
Under 3.25 1.11
Under 3.5 1.10
Under 3.75 1.05
Under 4.0 1.01
Under 4.5 1.04
Under 5.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.55
Draw 2.88
Home 2.02
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.35
Draw 1.93
Home 2.70
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.50
Over 2.5 2.50
Under 1.5 2.30
Under 2.5 1.42

Standings

Prim B Metro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 16 8 6 45:23 22 56
W L W D D
2 30 16 8 6 33:15 18 56
W L D W W
3 30 15 10 5 35:18 17 55
D W D W W
4 30 15 10 5 33:16 17 55
W L W D D
5 30 14 11 5 39:22 17 53
L D D D W
6 30 14 10 6 36:22 14 52
W W D D W
7 30 12 9 9 33:31 2 45
D D W W L
8 30 12 8 10 33:33 0 44
W W L D D
9 30 11 9 10 36:39 -3 42
L D W L W
10 30 10 10 10 31:29 2 40
D L D L W
11 30 10 9 11 30:30 0 39
D W L L D
12 30 9 11 10 33:45 -12 38
D L D L D
13 30 8 13 9 28:30 -2 37
D L D L L
14 30 8 13 9 26:28 -2 37
W D D D D
15 30 8 12 10 32:31 1 36
L W D D W
16 30 7 11 12 29:35 -6 32
W W D W L
17 30 7 11 12 21:30 -9 32
L W D D D
18 30 7 10 13 19:31 -12 31
L W D W L
19 30 7 8 15 23:36 -13 29
D D L D L
20 30 3 18 9 14:25 -11 27
L D D D L
21 30 5 11 14 24:36 -12 26
L L L D D
22 30 1 10 19 19:47 -28 13
D L D D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)