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12.09.2026 19:00
Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla
Brown DE Adrogue
Match Timeline
San Martín Burzaco
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
15'
S. Modon
San Martín Burzaco
⚽
20'
Brown DE Adrogue
Brown DE Adrogue
🟨
30'
J. Silva
Brown DE Adrogue
🟨
47'
T. Patrizio
Brown DE Adrogue
⚽
54'
E. Zagert
San Martín Burzaco
🟨
55'
Brown DE Adrogue
Brown DE Adrogue
🔄
57'
M. Sproat ↔ F. Ferrario
Brown DE Adrogue
🔄
57'
J. Silva ↔ M. Noble
Brown DE Adrogue
🔄
63'
N. Meaurio ↔ B. Lopez
Brown DE Adrogue
🟨
69'
C. Aguirre
Brown DE Adrogue
🔄
70'
L. Baldunciel ↔ J. Bogado
Brown DE Adrogue
🔄
70'
M. Pieres ↔ V. Galeano
Brown DE Adrogue
🔄
71'
E. Zagert ↔ L. Geneiro
San Martín Burzaco
🔄
87'
N. A. Gauna ↔ L. Lezcano
San Martín Burzaco
🔄
90+2'
R. Lazarev ↔ J. Tobon
San Martín Burzaco
🔄
90+2'
R. Velazquez ↔ R. Diaz
San Martín Burzaco
🔄
90+2'
B. Chavez ↔ C. Cuenca
San Martín Burzaco

Brown DE Adrogue vs San Martín Burzaco Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 53%
Odds 2.14
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds 2.38
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 41.9%
Odds 2.85
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
53%
2.14 ▥
BTTS Yes
54.1%
2.38 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
41.9%
2.85 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.40 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
11.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Brown DE Adrogue Win 53%
Draw 11.6%
San Martín Burzaco Win 35.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Brown DE Adrogue0.8
San Martín Burzaco0.96
Recent Form (Last 5)
Brown DE Adrogue Brown DE Adrogue
WWDLW
21 GF / 35 GA
San Martín Burzaco San Martín Burzaco
WLDWL
31 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
0.62
Average Goals Scored
0.91
1.03
Average Goals Conceded
1.06
12
BTTS Yes
12
7
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Brown DE Adrogue Brown DE Adrogue 34 matches
San Martín Burzaco San Martín Burzaco 34 matches
Brown DE Adrogue Statistic San Martín Burzaco
7 Wins 9
13 Draws 14
14 Losses 11
21 Goals For 31
35 Goals Against 36
0.62 Avg Goals Scored 0.91
1.03 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06
12 BTTS Yes 12
15 Over 1.5 23
7 Over 2.5 10
4 Over 3.5 4
13 Clean Sheets 14
16 Failed To Score 16
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors San Martín Burzaco. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward San Martín Burzaco having the stronger overall control. San Martín Burzaco arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Brown DE Adrogue Analysis

Brown DE Adrogue sit 20 with 33 points after 33 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 12 draws, and 14 defeats, and the 21:35 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

San Martín Burzaco Analysis

San Martín Burzaco approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 40 points from 33 matches. Their record of 9 wins, 13 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 31:36, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 6 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Brown DE Adrogue won 1 times, San Martín Burzaco won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:1 from Brown DE Adrogue's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.4%)
H2H summary: Brown DE Adrogue wins 1, draws 2, San Martín Burzaco wins 0

Standings

Prim B Metro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 22 8 8 59:30 29 74
L W W W W
2 38 19 12 7 50:25 25 69
L W L W W
3 38 19 10 9 40:23 17 67
L W D L W
4 38 18 11 9 45:28 17 65
W W D L W
5 38 17 13 8 38:23 15 64
L D W L L
6 38 17 12 9 43:29 14 63
L L L L W
7 38 17 10 11 42:38 4 61
W L W W L
8 38 17 9 12 42:38 4 60
W W W W D
9 38 14 13 11 39:34 5 55
D D W D W
10 38 13 12 13 46:50 -4 51
W L L D D
11 38 12 14 12 39:41 -2 50
W L W W D
12 38 11 14 13 40:42 -2 47
L W D L L
13 38 11 14 13 37:39 -2 47
W W D D D
14 38 11 11 16 33:39 -6 44
L L W L L
15 38 10 14 14 36:51 -15 44
D L W L D
16 38 9 16 13 30:37 -7 43
D D D W L
17 38 10 13 15 31:39 -8 43
W L L W D
18 38 9 14 15 33:39 -6 41
D W L W D
19 38 8 15 15 24:37 -13 39
D W D L D
20 38 10 9 19 34:48 -14 39
D L L W L
21 38 5 20 13 21:35 -14 35
W D L L W
22 38 1 12 25 25:62 -37 15
L L L D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)