ARGENTINA PRIMERA B METROPOLITANA
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Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 63.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 80.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
63.6%
-
BTTS Yes
58.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
80.5%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
-
Correct Score 1-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Brown DE Adrogue Win 40.4%
Draw 23.1%
Liniers Win 36.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Brown DE Adrogue0.79
Liniers0.82
Recent Form (Last 5)
Brown DE Adrogue Brown DE Adrogue
WWDLW
20 GF / 32 GA
Liniers Liniers
WLDWL
21 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
0.65
Average Goals Scored
0.68
1.03
Average Goals Conceded
1
11
BTTS Yes
12
7
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Brown DE Adrogue Brown DE Adrogue 31 matches
Liniers Liniers 31 matches
Brown DE Adrogue Statistic Liniers
7 Wins 7
11 Draws 11
13 Losses 13
20 Goals For 21
32 Goals Against 31
0.65 Avg Goals Scored 0.68
1.03 Avg Goals Conceded 1
11 BTTS Yes 12
13 Over 1.5 14
7 Over 2.5 6
4 Over 3.5 3
12 Clean Sheets 9
14 Failed To Score 15
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Liniers. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Liniers having the stronger overall control.

Brown DE Adrogue Analysis

With 31 points from 30 games and a place of 18, Brown DE Adrogue still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 10 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 19:31 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Liniers Analysis

Liniers sit 17 with 32 points after 30 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 11 draws, and 12 defeats, and the 21:30 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Brown DE Adrogue won 0 times, Liniers won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:4 from Brown DE Adrogue's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (76.9%)
H2H summary: Brown DE Adrogue wins 0, draws 0, Liniers wins 3
Last matches: Brown DE Adrogue
21.08.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
UAI Urquiza
1
1
D
15.08.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Villa Dalmine
0
1
L
08.08.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Excursionistas
1
0
W
31.07.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Arsenal Sarandi
1
1
D
25.07.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Argentino de Merlo
1
0
W
18.07.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Talleres Remedios
0
1
L
14.07.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Deportivo Laferrere
0
1
L
10.07.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Ituzaingó
0
0
D
04.07.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Deportivo Armenio
0
0
D
27.06.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Flandria
2
0
W
20.06.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Argentino Quilmes
2
4
L
13.06.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Defensores Unidos
1
1
D
06.06.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Comunicaciones
1
2
L
30.05.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Dock Sud
1
0
W
26.05.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Talleres Remedios
1
2
L
22.05.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Deportivo Merlo
0
1
L
16.05.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Deportivo Camioneros
0
1
L
09.05.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Sportivo Italiano
0
0
D
02.05.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
San Martín Burzaco
0
0
D
25.04.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Villa San Carlos
2
1
W
Last matches: Liniers
22.08.26
Pri
Liniers
Flandria
0
1
L
16.08.26
Pri
Liniers
Argentino Quilmes
0
1
L
08.08.26
Pri
Liniers
Defensores Unidos
3
2
W
01.08.26
Pri
Liniers
Comunicaciones
0
0
D
25.07.26
Pri
Liniers
Dock Sud
1
1
D
18.07.26
Pri
Liniers
Deportivo Merlo
1
1
D
14.07.26
Pri
Liniers
Deportivo Camioneros
0
1
L
10.07.26
Pri
Liniers
Sportivo Italiano
0
1
L
05.07.26
Pri
Liniers
San Martín Burzaco
1
1
D
28.06.26
Pri
Liniers
Villa San Carlos
1
1
D
19.06.26
Pri
Liniers
Ituzaingó
1
1
D
14.06.26
Pri
Liniers
Real Pilar
0
1
L
08.06.26
Pri
Liniers
UAI Urquiza
1
2
L
31.05.26
Pri
Liniers
Villa Dalmine
1
0
W
26.05.26
Pri
Liniers
Deportivo Merlo
0
0
D
22.05.26
Pri
Liniers
Excursionistas
1
4
L
16.05.26
Pri
Liniers
Arsenal Sarandi
0
0
D
09.05.26
Pri
Liniers
Argentino de Merlo
1
0
W
03.05.26
Pri
Liniers
Talleres Remedios
0
1
L
26.04.26
Pri
Liniers
Deportivo Laferrere
0
0
D
H2H: Brown DE Adrogue vs Liniers
19.04.26
H2H
Liniers
Brown DE Adrogue
1
0
L
28.09.25
H2H
Liniers
Brown DE Adrogue
2
1
L
10.05.25
H2H
Brown DE Adrogue
Liniers
0
1
L
Last matches: Brown DE Adrogue
21.08.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
UAI Urquiza
1
1
D
08.08.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Excursionistas
1
0
W
25.07.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Argentino de Merlo
1
0
W
14.07.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Deportivo Laferrere
0
1
L
10.07.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Ituzaingó
0
0
D
27.06.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Flandria
2
0
W
20.06.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Argentino Quilmes
2
4
L
06.06.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Comunicaciones
1
2
L
26.05.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Talleres Remedios
1
2
L
22.05.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Deportivo Merlo
0
1
L
09.05.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Sportivo Italiano
0
0
D
25.04.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Villa San Carlos
2
1
W
14.04.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Real Pilar
1
1
D
03.04.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Villa Dalmine
1
4
L
21.03.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Arsenal Sarandi
0
4
L
22.02.26
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Deportivo Armenio
0
0
D
08.11.25
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Argentino Quilmes
1
1
D
18.10.25
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Flandria
1
1
D
04.10.25
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Deportivo Laferrere
1
1
D
20.09.25
Pri
Brown DE Adrogue
Comunicaciones
0
1
L
H2H at home: Brown DE Adrogue
10.05.25
H2H
Brown DE Adrogue
Liniers
0
1
L
Last matches: Liniers
22.08.26
Pri
Liniers
Flandria
0
1
L
08.08.26
Pri
Liniers
Defensores Unidos
3
2
W
25.07.26
Pri
Liniers
Dock Sud
1
1
D
14.07.26
Pri
Liniers
Deportivo Camioneros
0
1
L
05.07.26
Pri
Liniers
San Martín Burzaco
1
1
D
19.06.26
Pri
Liniers
Ituzaingó
1
1
D
08.06.26
Pri
Liniers
UAI Urquiza
1
2
L
26.05.26
Pri
Liniers
Deportivo Merlo
0
0
D
22.05.26
Pri
Liniers
Excursionistas
1
4
L
09.05.26
Pri
Liniers
Argentino de Merlo
1
0
W
26.04.26
Pri
Liniers
Deportivo Laferrere
0
0
D
15.04.26
Pri
Liniers
Deportivo Armenio
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pri
Liniers
Argentino Quilmes
2
1
W
23.03.26
Pri
Liniers
Comunicaciones
0
2
L
27.02.26
Pri
Liniers
Sportivo Italiano
1
2
L
14.02.26
Pri
Liniers
Villa San Carlos
1
0
W
09.11.25
Pri
Liniers
UAI Urquiza
1
0
W
18.10.25
Pri
Liniers
Midland
1
2
L
04.10.25
Pri
Liniers
Acassuso
1
0
W
20.09.25
Pri
Liniers
Argentino de Merlo
1
5
L
H2H away: Liniers
10.05.25
H2H
Brown DE Adrogue
Liniers
0
1
W

Standings

Prim B Metro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 31 17 8 6 47:24 23 59
W W L W D
2 31 16 10 5 35:16 19 58
W W L W D
3 31 15 11 5 37:20 17 56
D D W D W
4 31 16 8 7 34:17 17 56
L W L D W
5 31 14 12 5 39:22 17 54
D L D D D
6 31 14 10 7 36:23 13 52
L W W D D
7 31 13 9 9 34:31 3 48
W D D W W
8 31 12 8 11 33:34 -1 44
L W W L D
9 31 11 10 10 32:29 3 43
W D L D L
10 31 11 9 11 36:41 -5 42
L L D W L
11 31 10 10 11 30:30 0 40
D D W L L
12 31 9 12 10 33:45 -12 39
D D L D L
13 31 8 13 10 34:33 1 37
D L W D D
14 31 8 13 10 28:32 -4 37
L D L D L
15 31 8 13 10 26:30 -4 37
L W D D D
16 31 8 11 12 31:35 -4 35
W W W D W
17 31 7 11 13 21:31 -10 32
L L W D D
18 31 8 8 15 24:36 -12 32
W D D L D
19 31 7 11 13 20:32 -12 32
D L W D W
20 31 6 11 14 26:36 -10 29
W L L L D
21 31 3 19 9 15:26 -11 28
D L D D D
22 31 1 11 19 19:47 -28 14
D D L D D
Promotion - Primera Nacional
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)