ENGLAND CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Ashton Gate Stadium

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 65.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
65.5%
-
BTTS Yes
75.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Bristol City Win 65.5%
Draw 8.1%
Portsmouth Win 26.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bristol City1.4
Portsmouth1.21
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bristol City Bristol City
WWDLW
12 GF / 12 GA
Portsmouth Portsmouth
WLDWL
9 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.13
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
5
BTTS Yes
6
4
Over 2.5
4
3
Shots on Goal
6.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bristol City Bristol City 9 matches
Portsmouth Portsmouth 8 matches
Bristol City Statistic Portsmouth
2 Wins 2
4 Draws 3
3 Losses 3
12 Goals For 9
12 Goals Against 12
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.13
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
5 BTTS Yes 6
7 Over 1.5 7
4 Over 2.5 4
4 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 1
4 Failed To Score 2
3 Shots On Goal 6.5
11 Total Shots 15
4.5 Corners 4.5
34.5% Ball Possession 57.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Bristol City won 5 times, Portsmouth won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:7 from Bristol City's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.9%)
Predicted formations: Bristol City 4-2-3-1 / Portsmouth 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Bristol City wins 5, draws 4, Portsmouth wins 1
Last matches: Bristol City
22.08.26
Cha
Bristol City
Birmingham
2
2
D
15.08.26
Cha
Bristol City
Millwall
0
2
L
01.08.26
Fri
Bristol City
Exeter City
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Bristol City
Plymouth
0
0
D
29.07.26
Fri
Bristol City
Newcastle
4
1
W
29.07.26
Fri
Bristol City
Forest Green
2
3
L
25.07.26
Fri
Bristol City
Swindon Town
3
1
W
21.07.26
Fri
Bristol City
Newport County
0
0
D
17.07.26
Fri
Bristol City
Stockport County
0
2
L
02.05.26
Cha
Bristol City
Stoke City
2
0
W
25.04.26
Cha
Bristol City
Birmingham
1
2
L
21.04.26
Cha
Bristol City
Southampton
2
2
D
18.04.26
Cha
Bristol City
Norwich
2
4
L
11.04.26
Cha
Bristol City
QPR
0
0
D
06.04.26
Cha
Bristol City
Sheffield Utd
1
0
W
03.04.26
Cha
Bristol City
Charlton
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
Bristol City
West Brom
0
1
L
14.03.26
Cha
Bristol City
Middlesbrough
1
1
D
10.03.26
Cha
Bristol City
Leicester
0
2
L
07.03.26
Cha
Bristol City
Coventry
0
2
L
Last matches: Portsmouth
22.08.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Lincoln
3
1
W
15.08.26
Cha
Portsmouth
QPR
1
3
L
01.08.26
Fri
Portsmouth
SV Darmstadt 98
0
0
D
29.07.26
Fri
Portsmouth
Farnborough
1
1
D
25.07.26
Fri
Portsmouth
Wycombe
1
3
L
18.07.26
Fri
Portsmouth
Bristol Rovers
1
1
D
15.07.26
Fri
Portsmouth
Aldershot Town
0
2
L
14.07.26
Fri
Portsmouth
Woking
2
1
W
02.05.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Birmingham
1
1
D
25.04.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Stoke City
3
1
W
21.04.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Coventry
1
5
L
18.04.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Leicester
1
0
W
14.04.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Ipswich
2
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Middlesbrough
1
0
W
06.04.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Oxford United
2
2
D
03.04.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Norwich
1
1
D
21.03.26
Cha
Portsmouth
QPR
1
6
L
16.03.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Derby
0
1
L
10.03.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Swansea
1
2
L
07.03.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Blackburn
1
1
D
H2H: Bristol City vs Portsmouth
01.01.26
H2H
Bristol City
Portsmouth
5
0
W
29.11.25
H2H
Portsmouth
Bristol City
0
1
W
29.12.24
H2H
Bristol City
Portsmouth
3
0
W
07.12.24
H2H
Portsmouth
Bristol City
3
0
L
29.07.23
H2H
Portsmouth
Bristol City
0
1
W
12.07.22
H2H
Bristol City
Portsmouth
0
0
D
20.07.21
H2H
Bristol City
Portsmouth
3
3
D
10.01.21
H2H
Bristol City
Portsmouth
2
1
W
29.08.20
H2H
Bristol City
Portsmouth
0
0
D
17.03.12
H2H
Portsmouth
Bristol City
0
0
D
20.08.11
H2H
Bristol City
Portsmouth
0
0
D
Last matches: Bristol City
15.08.26
Cha
Bristol City
Millwall
0
2
L
29.07.26
Fri
Bristol City
Newcastle
4
1
W
21.07.26
Fri
Bristol City
Newport County
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
Bristol City
Stoke City
2
0
W
18.04.26
Cha
Bristol City
Norwich
2
4
L
06.04.26
Cha
Bristol City
Sheffield Utd
1
0
W
21.03.26
Cha
Bristol City
West Brom
0
1
L
07.03.26
Cha
Bristol City
Coventry
0
2
L
27.02.26
Cha
Bristol City
Watford
1
2
L
17.02.26
Cha
Bristol City
Wrexham
2
2
D
30.01.26
Cha
Bristol City
Derby
0
5
L
24.01.26
Cha
Bristol City
Sheffield Wednesday
2
0
W
10.01.26
FA
Bristol City
Watford
5
1
W
04.01.26
Cha
Bristol City
Preston
0
2
L
01.01.26
Cha
Bristol City
Portsmouth
5
0
W
20.12.25
Cha
Bristol City
Middlesbrough
2
0
W
10.12.25
Cha
Bristol City
Leicester
2
2
D
06.12.25
Cha
Bristol City
Millwall
0
1
L
22.11.25
Cha
Bristol City
Swansea
3
0
W
04.11.25
Cha
Bristol City
Blackburn
0
1
L
H2H at home: Bristol City
01.01.26
H2H
Bristol City
Portsmouth
5
0
W
29.12.24
H2H
Bristol City
Portsmouth
3
0
W
12.07.22
H2H
Bristol City
Portsmouth
0
0
D
20.07.21
H2H
Bristol City
Portsmouth
3
3
D
10.01.21
H2H
Bristol City
Portsmouth
2
1
W
29.08.20
H2H
Bristol City
Portsmouth
0
0
D
20.08.11
H2H
Bristol City
Portsmouth
0
0
D
Last matches: Portsmouth
22.08.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Lincoln
3
1
W
01.08.26
Fri
Portsmouth
SV Darmstadt 98
0
0
D
29.07.26
Fri
Portsmouth
Farnborough
1
1
D
25.07.26
Fri
Portsmouth
Wycombe
1
3
L
18.07.26
Fri
Portsmouth
Bristol Rovers
1
1
D
15.07.26
Fri
Portsmouth
Aldershot Town
0
2
L
14.07.26
Fri
Portsmouth
Woking
2
1
W
25.04.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Stoke City
3
1
W
21.04.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Coventry
1
5
L
11.04.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Middlesbrough
1
0
W
03.04.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Norwich
1
1
D
21.03.26
Cha
Portsmouth
QPR
1
6
L
07.03.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Blackburn
1
1
D
24.02.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Wrexham
1
2
L
21.02.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Millwall
3
1
W
17.02.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Charlton
3
1
W
07.02.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Preston
0
1
L
21.01.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Watford
1
1
D
17.01.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Sheffield Wednesday
1
0
W
01.01.26
Cha
Portsmouth
Bristol City
0
5
L
H2H away: Portsmouth
01.01.26
H2H
Bristol City
Portsmouth
5
0
L
29.12.24
H2H
Bristol City
Portsmouth
3
0
L
12.07.22
H2H
Bristol City
Portsmouth
0
0
D
20.07.21
H2H
Bristol City
Portsmouth
3
3
D
10.01.21
H2H
Bristol City
Portsmouth
2
1
L
29.08.20
H2H
Bristol City
Portsmouth
0
0
D
20.08.11
H2H
Bristol City
Portsmouth
0
0
D

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 2 2 0 0 5:0 5 6
W W
2 2 2 0 0 5:2 3 6
W W
3 2 2 0 0 4:2 2 6
W W
4 2 1 1 0 5:3 2 4
W D
5 2 1 1 0 3:1 2 4
D W
6 2 1 1 0 4:3 1 4
W D
7 2 1 1 0 3:2 1 4
D W
8 2 1 1 0 2:1 1 4
D W
9 2 1 1 0 2:1 1 4
D W
10 2 1 0 1 4:4 0 3
W L
11 2 1 0 1 3:3 0 3
L W
12 2 0 2 0 3:3 0 2
D D
13 2 0 2 0 2:2 0 2
D D
14 2 0 2 0 2:2 0 2
D D
15 2 0 2 0 0:0 0 2
D D
16 2 0 1 1 3:4 -1 1
D L
17 2 0 1 1 3:4 -1 1
L D
18 2 0 1 1 3:5 -2 1
L D
19 2 0 1 1 2:4 -2 1
D L
20 2 0 0 2 2:5 -3 0
L L
21 2 0 0 2 2:5 -3 0
L L
22 2 0 0 2 2:5 -3 0
L L
23 2 0 0 2 1:5 -4 0
L L
24 2 1 0 1 4:3 1 -1
W L
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One