Brighton vs Newcastle Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Brighton Win 0%
Draw 0%
Newcastle Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Brighton2.41
Newcastle1.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
Brighton
WWDLW
30 GF / 8 GA
Newcastle
WLDWL
20 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
2.73
Average Goals Scored
1.54
0.73
Average Goals Conceded
1.92
3
BTTS Yes
11
7
Over 2.5
10
5.88
Shots on Goal
4
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Brighton
11 matches
Newcastle
13 matches
| Brighton | Statistic | Newcastle |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 4 |
| 2 | Draws | 4 |
| 1 | Losses | 5 |
| 30 | Goals For | 20 |
| 8 | Goals Against | 25 |
| 2.73 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.54 |
| 0.73 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.92 |
| 3 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 13 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 5.88 | Shots On Goal | 4 |
| 19.25 | Total Shots | 11.67 |
| 6.25 | Corners | 4.67 |
| 63.4% | Ball Possession | 52% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Brighton won 6 times, Newcastle won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:17 from Brighton's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Brighton 4-2-3-1 / Newcastle 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Brighton wins 6, draws 5, Newcastle wins 4
Standings
Premier League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16:5 | 11 | 18 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 15 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 |
Brighton
Home
|
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 18:5 | 13 | 13 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
| 4 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12:6 | 6 | 10 |
D
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
D
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15:13 | 2 | 10 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 9 |
L
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 9 |
D
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 9 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 11 |
Newcastle
Away
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:9 | 0 | 8 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
| 12 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 7 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 6 |
D
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 14 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 5 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 5 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:12 | -6 | 4 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 17 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7:13 | -6 | 3 |
L
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 18 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:9 | -6 | 3 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1:10 | -9 | 3 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 2 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship