Brighton
Match Timeline
Leeds
Brighton vs Leeds Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
1 agree /
0 disagree
BTTS
No
1 agree /
0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
0 agree /
1 disagree
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
74.6%
|
2.06 | |
| BTTS | No |
61.4%
|
2.05 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
1.86 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.18 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.20 | |
| Correct Score | 3-0 |
-
|
21.00 |
Probability Distribution
Brighton Win 74.6%
Draw 4.2%
Leeds Win 21.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Brighton1.79
Leeds1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Brighton
WWDLW
19 GF / 7 GA
Leeds
WLDWL
9 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
2.71
Average Goals Scored
1.8
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.4
2
BTTS Yes
2
5
Over 2.5
1
6.5
Shots on Goal
2.5
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Brighton
7 matches
Leeds
5 matches
| Brighton | Statistic | Leeds |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 3 |
| 1 | Draws | 2 |
| 1 | Losses | 0 |
| 19 | Goals For | 9 |
| 7 | Goals Against | 2 |
| 2.71 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.8 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.4 |
| 2 | BTTS Yes | 2 |
| 5 | Over 1.5 | 4 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 1 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 6.5 | Shots On Goal | 2.5 |
| 20.5 | Total Shots | 11.5 |
| 7.5 | Corners | 3.5 |
| 73.3% | Ball Possession | 45.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Brighton won 10 times, Leeds won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:7 from Brighton's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
Predicted formations: Brighton 4-2-3-1 / Leeds 3-5-2
Missing players: Brighton 9, Leeds 3
H2H summary: Brighton wins 10, draws 3, Leeds wins 2
Standings
Premier League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 15 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 15 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 |
Brighton
Home
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16:5 | 11 | 10 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
| 4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 9 |
W
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 5 |
Leeds
Away
|
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 9 |
L
D
W
D
D
|
| 6 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 9 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 9 |
W
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
L
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:9 | 0 | 8 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 7 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 6 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 5 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 5 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 4 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 4 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 4 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 3 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1:10 | -9 | 3 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 2 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:8 | -6 | 2 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship