Brighton
Match Timeline
Arsenal
Brighton vs Arsenal Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
No Draw
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
90.4%
|
1.25 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
62.8%
|
1.75 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
1.79 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.33 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
8.50 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
13.00 |
Probability Distribution
Brighton Win 43.6%
Draw 9.6%
Arsenal Win 46.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Brighton1.97
Arsenal1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Brighton
WWDLW
25 GF / 8 GA
Arsenal
WLDWL
15 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
2.78
Average Goals Scored
1.88
0.89
Average Goals Conceded
0.75
3
BTTS Yes
4
6
Over 2.5
4
6.33
Shots on Goal
6
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Brighton
9 matches
Arsenal
8 matches
| Brighton | Statistic | Arsenal |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 6 |
| 2 | Draws | 1 |
| 1 | Losses | 1 |
| 25 | Goals For | 15 |
| 8 | Goals Against | 6 |
| 2.78 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.88 |
| 0.89 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.75 |
| 3 | BTTS Yes | 4 |
| 7 | Over 1.5 | 6 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 6.33 | Shots On Goal | 6 |
| 20.67 | Total Shots | 16 |
| 6.67 | Corners | 5 |
| 71.5% | Ball Possession | 59% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Brighton won 4 times, Arsenal won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:22 from Brighton's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.
1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.4%)
Predicted formations: Brighton 4-2-3-1 / Arsenal 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Brighton 10, Arsenal 3
H2H summary: Brighton wins 4, draws 3, Arsenal wins 8
Standings
Premier League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 15 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Arsenal
Away
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 12 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
| 3 |
Brighton
Home
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16:5 | 11 | 10 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
| 4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 9 |
W
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 9 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 9 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 9 |
W
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
L
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:9 | 0 | 8 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 7 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 6 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 5 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 5 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 4 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 4 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 4 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 3 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1:10 | -9 | 3 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 2 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:8 | -6 | 2 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship