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BRAZIL › SERIE A
12.09.2026 23:30
Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos
Referee: Fernando Antonio Mendes de Salles Nascimento Filho, Brazil
Botafogo
Match Timeline
RB Bragantino
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
30'
Lucas Monzón
RB Bragantino
VAR
42'
Wallace Yan
RB Bragantino
🟥
44'
Wallace Yan
RB Bragantino
🔄
46'
Lucas Villalba ↔ Kadir Barría
Botafogo
⚽
56'
Vitinho · Assist: Alex Telles
Botafogo
🔄
60'
Agustin Sant Anna ↔ José Andrés Hurtado
RB Bragantino
🔄
60'
Isidro Pitta ↔ Eduardo Santos
RB Bragantino
🟨
65'
Lucas Monzón
Botafogo
🔄
67'
Alex Telles ↔ Paulinho
Botafogo
🟨
70'
Nahuel Ferraresi
Botafogo
🟨
73'
Kadir Barría
Botafogo
🟨
73'
Tiago Volpi
RB Bragantino
🔄
74'
Danilo Pereira ↔ Kauan Toledo
Botafogo
🔄
74'
Júnior Santos ↔ Tiquinho Soares
Botafogo
🟨
77'
Juninho Capixaba
RB Bragantino
🔄
81'
Vitinho ↔ Mateo Ponte
Botafogo
🔄
82'
Lucas Barbosa ↔ José Herrera
RB Bragantino
🔄
87'
Fabinho ↔ Gabriel Girotto
RB Bragantino
🔄
87'
Eric Ramires ↔ Matheus Fernandes
RB Bragantino

Botafogo vs RB Bragantino Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 94.3%
Odds 1.33
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds 2.10
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
94.3%
1.33 ▥
BTTS Yes
54.1%
1.67 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
2.10 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.11 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.75 ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
12.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Botafogo Win 51.5%
Draw 5.7%
RB Bragantino Win 42.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Botafogo1.28
RB Bragantino1.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
Botafogo Botafogo
WWDLW
40 GF / 43 GA
RB Bragantino RB Bragantino
WLDWL
33 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1.27
1.48
Average Goals Conceded
1.12
18
BTTS Yes
13
17
Over 2.5
11
5
Shots on Goal
4.96

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Botafogo Botafogo 29 matches
RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 26 matches
Botafogo Statistic RB Bragantino
9 Wins 11
8 Draws 5
12 Losses 10
40 Goals For 33
43 Goals Against 29
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.27
1.48 Avg Goals Conceded 1.12
18 BTTS Yes 13
22 Over 1.5 20
17 Over 2.5 11
9 Over 3.5 3
5 Clean Sheets 8
8 Failed To Score 6
5 Shots On Goal 4.96
14 Total Shots 16.2
4.34 Corners 5.8
48.4% Ball Possession 50.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with RB Bragantino's more proactive style and Botafogo's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring RB Bragantino. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Botafogo have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Botafogo Analysis

Botafogo sit 12 with 30 points after 24 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 6 draws, and 10 defeats, and the 37:40 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Danilo Santos (7 goals), Arthur Cabral (7 goals), Edenilson (4 goals), with creative support from Alex Telles (3 assists), Álvaro Montoro (3 assists), Danilo Santos (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

RB Bragantino Analysis

RB Bragantino are currently 9 in the standings with 35 points from 24 matches. Their overall return of 10 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 29:25 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Isidro Pitta (6 goals), Lucas Barbosa (4 goals), Fernando (3 goals), with creative support from Henry Mosquera (4 assists), Isidro Pitta (2 assists), Lucas Barbosa (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Botafogo won 10 times, RB Bragantino won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:12 from Botafogo's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.3%)
Predicted formations: Botafogo 4-2-3-1 / RB Bragantino 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Botafogo 5, RB Bragantino 5
H2H summary: Botafogo wins 10, draws 3, RB Bragantino wins 2

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 18 7 4 57:25 32 61
D W W W W
2 28 16 9 3 47:21 26 57
D W D D W
3 29 14 8 7 45:34 11 50
D W D L D
4 29 14 6 9 44:40 4 48
W W L W L
5 28 13 9 6 44:36 8 48
W L W D W
6 28 12 10 6 43:35 8 46
L W W W W
7 29 12 8 9 39:34 5 44
D W D W L
8 29 11 9 9 45:43 2 42
D W W W W
9 28 10 8 10 37:43 -6 38
L D L W W
10 29 10 7 12 34:33 1 37
D L L D L
11 29 10 6 13 33:34 -1 36
L L W L W
12 29 10 6 13 32:42 -10 36
W L D W L
13 29 9 8 12 42:47 -5 35
L L W D D
14 28 9 7 12 36:42 -6 34
W W W L W
15 29 8 9 12 34:43 -9 33
D W D W L
16 29 8 8 13 30:34 -4 32
L L L L L
17 29 7 10 12 32:37 -5 31
W L W L L
18 29 7 9 13 31:39 -8 30
D D L L L
19 29 5 9 15 33:48 -15 24
D L L L L
20 28 3 9 16 29:57 -28 18
L D L W L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B