Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
47.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | No |
55%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.8%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
84.4%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Botafogo
Atletico Paranaense
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Botafogo
26 matches
Atletico Paranaense
25 matches
| Botafogo | Statistic | Atletico Paranaense |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 12 |
| 7 | Draws | 5 |
| 10 | Losses | 8 |
| 38 | Goals For | 32 |
| 37 | Goals Against | 23 |
| 1.46 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.28 |
| 1.42 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.92 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 20 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 4.96 | Shots On Goal | 4.43 |
| 13.31 | Total Shots | 11.52 |
| 4.04 | Corners | 4.7 |
| 49.1% | Ball Possession | 47.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Botafogo expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Atletico Paranaense in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Atletico Paranaense having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Atletico Paranaense. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Atletico Paranaense carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 41 points while Botafogo sit 11 on 30, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Botafogo are currently 11 in the standings with 30 points from 21 matches. The record of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 35:33 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Danilo Santos (7 goals), Arthur Cabral (7 goals), Edenilson (4 goals), with creative support from Alex Telles (3 assists), Álvaro Montoro (3 assists), Danilo Santos (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Atletico Paranaense approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 41 points after 23 outings. With 12 wins, 5 draws, and 6 defeats plus a goal balance of 31:20, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Kevin Viveros (14 goals), Steven Mendoza (4 goals), Julimar (3 goals), with creative support from Gastón Benavídez (5 assists), João Cruz (4 assists), Lucas Esquivel (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Botafogo won 5 times, Atletico Paranaense won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:20 from Botafogo's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.
Botafogo
Vitoria
Botafogo
Fluminense
Botafogo
Cruzeiro
Botafogo
Vitoria
Botafogo
Santos
Botafogo
Bahia
Botafogo
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
Corinthians
Botafogo
Atletico-MG
Botafogo
Remo
Botafogo
Internacional
Botafogo
Chapecoense-sc
Botafogo
Coritiba
Botafogo
Vasco DA Gama
Botafogo
Mirassol
Botafogo
Atletico Paranaense
Botafogo
RB Bragantino
Botafogo
Palmeiras
Botafogo
Flamengo
Botafogo
Barcelona SC
Atletico Paranaense
RB Bragantino
Atletico Paranaense
Santos
Atletico Paranaense
Corinthians
Atletico Paranaense
Internacional
Atletico Paranaense
Sao Paulo
Atletico Paranaense
RB Bragantino
Atletico Paranaense
Boca Juniors
Atletico Paranaense
Mirassol
Atletico Paranaense
Remo
Atletico Paranaense
Flamengo
Atletico Paranaense
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico Paranaense
Gremio
Atletico Paranaense
Vitoria
Atletico Paranaense
Palmeiras
Atletico Paranaense
Chapecoense-sc
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico-MG
Atletico Paranaense
Bahia
Atletico Paranaense
Botafogo
Atletico Paranaense
Coritiba
Atletico Paranaense
Cruzeiro
Botafogo
Fluminense
Botafogo
Vitoria
Botafogo
Santos
Botafogo
Corinthians
Botafogo
Remo
Botafogo
Internacional
Botafogo
Coritiba
Botafogo
Mirassol
Botafogo
Flamengo
Botafogo
Barcelona SC
Botafogo
Nacional Potosí
Botafogo
Cruzeiro
Atletico Paranaense
Santos
Atletico Paranaense
Corinthians
Atletico Paranaense
Sao Paulo
Atletico Paranaense
RB Bragantino
Atletico Paranaense
Boca Juniors
Atletico Paranaense
Remo
Atletico Paranaense
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico Paranaense
Palmeiras
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico-MG
Atletico Paranaense
Bahia
Atletico Paranaense
Fluminense
Atletico Paranaense
RB Bragantino
Atletico Paranaense
Internacional
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 40:19 | 21 | 48 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 44:19 | 25 | 45 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 |
Atletico Paranaense
Away
|
23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 31:20 | 11 | 41 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
| 4 | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 34:28 | 6 | 38 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 32:32 | 0 | 36 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 32:28 | 4 | 34 |
D
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 27:23 | 4 | 32 |
D
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 30:27 | 3 | 32 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 25:22 | 3 | 32 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 31 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 11 |
Botafogo
Home
|
22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 35:34 | 1 | 30 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
| 12 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 23:33 | -10 | 29 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 27:26 | 1 | 27 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 32:35 | -3 | 25 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 25 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 25:35 | -10 | 23 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 18 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 27:37 | -10 | 23 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 19 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23:34 | -11 | 22 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 22 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 23:46 | -23 | 11 |
D
L
D
L
L
|