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BRAZIL › SERIE C
10.10.2026 20:00

Botafogo PB vs Santa Cruz Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 45.3%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 88%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
45.3%
- ▥
BTTS No
50.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
88%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Botafogo PB Win 45.3%
Draw 16.6%
Santa Cruz Win 38.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Botafogo PB1.06
Santa Cruz1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Botafogo PB Botafogo PB
WWDLW
32 GF / 25 GA
Santa Cruz Santa Cruz
WLDWL
25 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.28
Average Goals Scored
1
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.72
11
BTTS Yes
10
9
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Botafogo PB Botafogo PB 25 matches
Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 25 matches
Botafogo PB Statistic Santa Cruz
11 Wins 11
5 Draws 7
9 Losses 7
32 Goals For 25
25 Goals Against 18
1.28 Avg Goals Scored 1
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.72
11 BTTS Yes 10
18 Over 1.5 12
9 Over 2.5 4
5 Over 3.5 2
9 Clean Sheets 8
7 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Santa Cruz having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Santa Cruz. Botafogo PB have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Botafogo PB Analysis

Botafogo PB sit 1 with 33 points after 19 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 10 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 28:19 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Santa Cruz Analysis

From their first 19 matches, Santa Cruz have collected 29 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, while the 20:15 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.4%)

Standings

First stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 3 6 28:19 9 33
D D L L L
2 19 9 5 5 28:22 6 32
D D L D W
3 19 8 6 5 22:15 7 30
L D W W D
4 19 8 6 5 32:30 2 30
D D W L W
5 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
D D L W L
6 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
D W D D D
7 19 9 2 8 26:27 -1 29
W L D L L
8 19 8 5 6 20:15 5 29
D D W W W
9 19 8 5 6 27:24 3 29
D W D W W
10 19 7 7 5 34:24 10 28
D L D L W
11 19 7 7 5 19:22 -3 28
W D W D W
12 19 7 6 6 19:18 1 27
L W W W D
13 19 7 5 7 21:23 -2 26
D D D W W
14 19 6 7 6 17:16 1 25
D L L W L
15 19 6 4 9 18:21 -3 22
L L L W L
16 19 6 3 10 13:25 -12 21
L L W L L
17 19 5 6 8 21:21 0 21
W L W L L
18 19 5 4 10 17:22 -5 19
D W L W W
19 19 4 5 10 14:27 -13 17
L L L L D
20 19 3 4 12 11:20 -9 13
L L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation