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BRAZIL › SERIE C
12.09.2026 20:00
Referee: M. de Sousa
Botafogo PB
Match Timeline
Floresta
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
12'
Nene
Botafogo PB
🟨
36'
Eliandro
Floresta
🟨
45+2'
Octavio
Botafogo PB
🟨
45+4'
Garraty
Floresta
🔄
46'
Eliandro ↔ Cedric
Floresta
🔄
46'
Nonato ↔ Jhony Douglas
Floresta
🟨
52'
Thallyson
Botafogo PB
🔄
58'
Henrique Dourado ↔ Jonas Toro
Botafogo PB
🔄
58'
Thallyson ↔ Giovanni
Botafogo PB
🔄
63'
Garraty ↔ Thalisson
Floresta
🔄
63'
Baianinho ↔ Rafa Marcos
Floresta
🔄
72'
Rafinha ↔ Danrley
Floresta
🔄
73'
Dudu Hatamoto ↔ Diego Tavares
Botafogo PB
🔄
73'
Patric Calmon ↔ Kayon
Botafogo PB
⚽
77'
Thalisson
Floresta
🔄
86'
R. Bastos ↔ Gustavo
Botafogo PB
🟨
90+7'
Kayon
Botafogo PB

Botafogo PB vs Floresta Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 65.4%
Odds 1.60
BTTS
Yes
Probability 69.6%
Odds 2.50
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.6%
Odds 2.47
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
65.4%
1.60 ▥
BTTS Yes
69.6%
2.50 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.6%
2.47 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.17 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.40 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Botafogo PB Win 65.4%
Draw 3.7%
Floresta Win 30.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Botafogo PB1.31
Floresta1.06
Recent Form (Last 5)
Botafogo PB Botafogo PB
WWDLW
31 GF / 21 GA
Floresta Floresta
WLDWL
22 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.48
Average Goals Scored
1.1
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.05
10
BTTS Yes
12
9
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Botafogo PB Botafogo PB 21 matches
Floresta Floresta 20 matches
Botafogo PB Statistic Floresta
11 Wins 8
3 Draws 6
7 Losses 6
31 Goals For 22
21 Goals Against 21
1.48 Avg Goals Scored 1.1
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.05
10 BTTS Yes 12
16 Over 1.5 13
9 Over 2.5 10
5 Over 3.5 2
8 Clean Sheets 7
4 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Floresta having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Floresta. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Botafogo PB Analysis

Placed 1 with 33 points from 19 outings, Botafogo PB continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, while the 28:19 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Floresta Analysis

Floresta come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 30 points after 19 matches. The return of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 22:20, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Botafogo PB won 1 times, Floresta won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:8 from Botafogo PB's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.3%)
H2H summary: Botafogo PB wins 1, draws 2, Floresta wins 2

Standings

First stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 3 6 28:19 9 33
D D L L L
2 19 9 5 5 28:22 6 32
D D L D W
3 19 8 6 5 22:15 7 30
L D W W D
4 19 8 6 5 32:30 2 30
D D W L W
5 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
D D L W L
6 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
D W D D D
7 19 9 2 8 26:27 -1 29
W L D L L
8 19 8 5 6 20:15 5 29
D D W W W
9 19 8 5 6 27:24 3 29
D W D W W
10 19 7 7 5 34:24 10 28
D L D L W
11 19 7 7 5 19:22 -3 28
W D W D W
12 19 7 6 6 19:18 1 27
L W W W D
13 19 7 5 7 21:23 -2 26
D D D W W
14 19 6 7 6 17:16 1 25
D L L W L
15 19 6 4 9 18:21 -3 22
L L L W L
16 19 6 3 10 13:25 -12 21
L L W L L
17 19 5 6 8 21:21 0 21
W L W L L
18 19 5 4 10 17:22 -5 19
D W L W W
19 19 4 5 10 14:27 -13 17
L L L L D
20 19 3 4 12 11:20 -9 13
L L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation