Login Register
IRELAND › PREMIER DIVISION
16.10.2026 18:45
Dalymount Park

Bohemians vs Waterford Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Bohemians Win 55.7%
Draw 12%
Waterford Win 32.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bohemians1.69
Waterford1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bohemians Bohemians
WWDLW
78 GF / 54 GA
Waterford Waterford
WLDWL
57 GF / 64 GA
Key Stats
1.73
Average Goals Scored
1.46
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.64
29
BTTS Yes
24
27
Over 2.5
20
4.75
Shots on Goal
4.03

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bohemians Bohemians 45 matches
Waterford Waterford 39 matches
Bohemians Statistic Waterford
22 Wins 12
12 Draws 13
11 Losses 14
78 Goals For 57
54 Goals Against 64
1.73 Avg Goals Scored 1.46
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.64
29 BTTS Yes 24
36 Over 1.5 31
27 Over 2.5 20
16 Over 3.5 17
14 Clean Sheets 7
7 Failed To Score 11
4.75 Shots On Goal 4.03
14.36 Total Shots 13.13
5.47 Corners 5.41
52.6% Ball Possession 37.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Bohemians's more proactive style and Waterford's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Waterford. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Bohemians arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 59 points compared to Waterford in 8 on 34, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Bohemians expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Waterford in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Waterford having the stronger overall control. Bohemians come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.

Bohemians Analysis

Bohemians come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 59 points after 32 matches. With 17 wins, 8 draws, and 7 defeats plus a goal balance of 57:38, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by C. Whelan (7 goals), R. Tierney (6 goals), D. James-Taylor (5 goals), with creative support from D. Devoy (4 assists), H. Vaughan (4 assists), C. Whelan (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have managed 7 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Waterford Analysis

Waterford sit 8 with 34 points after 32 league matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 13 draws, and 12 losses with goals at 44:54 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by T. Lonergan (9 goals), P. Amond (7 goals), J. Mahon (4 goals), with creative support from Benny Couto (7 assists), T. Lonergan (4 assists), E. McLaughlin (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bohemians won 5 times, Waterford won 8 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:20 from Bohemians's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88%)
Predicted formations: Bohemians 4-2-3-1 / Waterford 4-4-2
H2H summary: Bohemians wins 5, draws 2, Waterford wins 8

Standings

Premier Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 18 8 6 52:32 20 62
W W L D D
2 32 17 8 7 52:25 27 59
W W W L W
3 32 17 8 7 57:38 19 59
W W W W W
4 32 9 14 9 45:42 3 41
W D W D L
5 33 10 11 12 50:55 -5 41
L L L D W
6 32 9 13 10 42:45 -3 40
D W L L D
7 32 9 11 12 42:48 -6 38
D L W L D
8 32 7 13 12 44:54 -10 34
L D D W D
9 33 8 10 15 39:54 -15 34
L L W W L
10 32 5 8 19 24:54 -30 23
L L L L D
Play-offs
Qualifying
Relegation Play-offs
Relegation