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IRELAND › PREMIER DIVISION
04.05.2026 16:00
Dalymount Park
Referee: N. Doyle
Bohemians
Match Timeline
Shelbourne
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
10'
A. McDonnell · Assist: R. Tierney
Bohemians
🟨
16'
Senan Mullen
Bohemians
⚽
17'
J. Martin · Assist: A. Coote
Shelbourne
🟨
29'
John Martin
Shelbourne
🟨
39'
Paddy Barrett
Shelbourne
🔄
46'
S. Mullen ↔ L. Kavanagh
Bohemians
🔄
46'
M. Strods ↔ H. Vaughan
Bohemians
🟨
52'
Rodrigo Freitas
Shelbourne
🔄
56'
R. Freitas ↔ H. Wood
Shelbourne
🔄
65'
C. Whelan ↔ D. James-Taylor
Bohemians
🔄
67'
A. Coote ↔ J. Henry-Francis
Shelbourne
🔄
67'
E. Caffrey ↔ W. Jarvis
Shelbourne
🔄
71'
A. McDonnell ↔ D. Power
Bohemians
⚽
72'
H. Wood · Assist: W. Jarvis
Shelbourne
🔄
79'
N. Morahan ↔ J. Harpur
Bohemians
🟨
87'
Kameron Ledwidge
Shelbourne
⚽
89'
H. Vaughan · Assist: D. James-Taylor
Bohemians
🔄
90+2'
J. Martin ↔ S. Boyd
Shelbourne
🔄
90+2'
K. McInroy ↔ E. Chapman
Shelbourne

Bohemians vs Shelbourne Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 12.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
58.2%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
12.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Bohemians Win 31.2%
Draw 10.6%
Shelbourne Win 58.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bohemians1.48
Shelbourne1.51
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bohemians Bohemians
WWDLW
29 GF / 19 GA
Shelbourne Shelbourne
WLDWL
32 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.45
Average Goals Scored
1.88
0.95
Average Goals Conceded
1.53
12
BTTS Yes
14
9
Over 2.5
13
5.29
Shots on Goal
4.15

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bohemians Bohemians 20 matches
Shelbourne Shelbourne 17 matches
Bohemians Statistic Shelbourne
8 Wins 7
8 Draws 5
4 Losses 5
29 Goals For 32
19 Goals Against 26
1.45 Avg Goals Scored 1.88
0.95 Avg Goals Conceded 1.53
12 BTTS Yes 14
13 Over 1.5 15
9 Over 2.5 13
6 Over 3.5 7
7 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 1
5.29 Shots On Goal 4.15
15 Total Shots 13.69
5.86 Corners 5.23
58.5% Ball Possession 54.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Bohemians's more proactive style and Shelbourne's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Shelbourne. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Bohemians expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Shelbourne in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Shelbourne having the stronger overall control.

Bohemians Analysis

Bohemians sit 3 with 21 points after 14 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 16:12, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through C. Whelan (6 goals), M. Strods (2 goals), Patrick Hickey (2 goals), with creative support from C. Whelan (2 assists), M. Strods (2 assists), D. Rooney (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

Shelbourne Analysis

Shelbourne approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 16 points from 13 matches. Their record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 21:22, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through H. Wood (5 goals), J. Martin (5 goals), Daniel Kelly (3 goals), with creative support from M. Lundgren (3 assists), H. Wood (2 assists), Kerr McInroy (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bohemians won 4 times, Shelbourne won 4 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:18 from Bohemians's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.4%)
Predicted formations: Bohemians 4-2-3-1 / Shelbourne 3-5-2
H2H summary: Bohemians wins 4, draws 7, Shelbourne wins 4

Standings

Premier Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 18 8 6 52:32 20 62
W W L D D
2 32 17 8 7 52:25 27 59
W W W L W
3 32 17 8 7 57:38 19 59
W W W W W
4 33 10 13 10 47:46 1 43
W D W L L
5 32 9 14 9 45:42 3 41
W D W D L
6 33 10 11 12 50:55 -5 41
L L L D W
7 32 9 11 12 42:48 -6 38
D L W L D
8 32 7 13 12 44:54 -10 34
L D D W D
9 33 8 10 15 39:54 -15 34
L L W W L
10 33 5 8 20 25:59 -34 23
L L L L L
Play-offs
Qualifying
Relegation Play-offs
Relegation