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CZECH-REPUBLIC › CZECH LIGA
10.10.2026 16:00
Dolicek
Referee: A. Trska

Bohemians 1905 vs Baník Ostrava Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66.6%
Odds 2.30
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds 1.72
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66.6%
2.30 ▥
BTTS Yes
58.8%
1.62 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
1.72 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
81.8%
1.20 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.60 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Bohemians 1905 Win 66.6%
Draw 16.3%
Baník Ostrava Win 17.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bohemians 19051.47
Baník Ostrava1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905
WWDLW
24 GF / 24 GA
Baník Ostrava Baník Ostrava
WLDWL
29 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.41
Average Goals Scored
1.38
1.41
Average Goals Conceded
1.57
8
BTTS Yes
10
8
Over 2.5
13
3.75
Shots on Goal
3.3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 17 matches
Baník Ostrava Baník Ostrava 21 matches
Bohemians 1905 Statistic Baník Ostrava
7 Wins 8
5 Draws 3
5 Losses 10
24 Goals For 29
24 Goals Against 33
1.41 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
1.41 Avg Goals Conceded 1.57
8 BTTS Yes 10
14 Over 1.5 17
8 Over 2.5 13
6 Over 3.5 8
6 Clean Sheets 7
5 Failed To Score 4
3.75 Shots On Goal 3.3
12.63 Total Shots 11.2
3.75 Corners 4.6
48% Ball Possession 43.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Baník Ostrava arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Baník Ostrava. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Bohemians 1905 expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and Baník Ostrava in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Baník Ostrava having the stronger overall control.

Bohemians 1905 Analysis

So far, Bohemians 1905 have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 9 points from 8 matches. The record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 9:11 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Ladislav Almási (3 goals), Roman Kvet (2 goals), Aleš Čermák (2 goals), with creative support from Milan Havel (2 assists), Roman Kvet (1 assists), Aleš Čermák (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Baník Ostrava Analysis

Baník Ostrava approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 10 points from 9 matches. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 1 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 7:17 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on J. Míček (1 goals), Vit Skrkon (1 goals), Václav Jurečka (1 goals), with creative support from Roan Nogha (1 assists), Jiří Boula (1 assists), Filip Kubala (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bohemians 1905 won 3 times, Baník Ostrava won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:27 from Bohemians 1905's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.7%)
Predicted formations: Bohemians 1905 3-4-1-2 / Baník Ostrava 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Bohemians 1905 wins 3, draws 4, Baník Ostrava wins 8

Standings

Czech Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 7 2 0 25:6 19 23
W W W W D
2 9 6 2 1 13:4 9 20
D W W W W
3 8 5 2 1 17:9 8 17
W L W W D
4 9 5 1 3 16:13 3 16
L W W L W
5 9 5 1 3 17:15 2 16
W L W W L
6 9 5 1 3 12:12 0 16
L W L W W
7 9 5 0 4 18:12 6 15
W W L L W
8 9 4 2 3 11:9 2 14
D L W L D
9 9 4 2 3 8:9 -1 14
L W D W L
10 9 2 4 3 17:17 0 10
L L D W D
11 9 3 1 5 7:17 -10 10
D L L L W
12 8 2 3 3 9:11 -2 9
L W L D D
13 9 2 2 5 9:14 -5 8
W W D L L
14 9 1 2 6 7:18 -11 5
D L L W L
15 9 0 4 5 7:16 -9 4
D L D D L
16 9 0 1 8 8:19 -11 1
D L L L L
Play-offs
Play Offs
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