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COLOMBIA › PRIMERA B
05.10.2026 22:00
Estadio Metropolitano de Techo
Bogota FC
Match Timeline
Envigado
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
31'
S. Acuna
Envigado
🟨
42'
Envigado
Envigado
⚽
45'
G. Cuervo
Envigado
🔄
46'
N. Segura ↔ D. Estupinan
Bogota FC
🔄
46'
G. Cuervo ↔ M. Cuero
Envigado
🔄
65'
Y. Mosquera ↔ J. Palacios
Bogota FC
🟨
68'
Bogota FC
Bogota FC
🔄
68'
W. Hurtado ↔ J. Catano
Envigado
⚽
68'
M. Marulanda
Envigado
⚽
71'
J. Arango
Bogota FC
🔄
76'
S. Acuna ↔ E. Londono
Envigado
🔄
76'
S. Norena ↔ J. Palacio
Envigado
🟨
77'
Envigado
Envigado
🔄
78'
J. Perez ↔ S. Perea
Bogota FC
⚽
78'
D. Estupinan
Bogota FC
🟨
83'
Envigado
Envigado
🟨
84'
Bogota FC
Bogota FC
🔄
84'
S. Diaz ↔ M. Medina
Bogota FC
🟥
89'
Envigado
Envigado
🔄
90'
↔ J. Quejada
Envigado
⚽
90'
S. Perea
Bogota FC

Bogota FC vs Envigado Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 88%
Odds 1.36
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 2.05
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 62.1%
Odds 2.62
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
88%
1.36 ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
2.05 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
62.1%
2.62 ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
1.15 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.50 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
13.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Bogota FC Win 40.9%
Draw 12%
Envigado Win 47.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bogota FC0.81
Envigado1.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bogota FC Bogota FC
WWDLW
25 GF / 34 GA
Envigado Envigado
WLDWL
45 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
0.78
Average Goals Scored
1.32
1.06
Average Goals Conceded
0.85
14
BTTS Yes
17
9
Over 2.5
15
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bogota FC Bogota FC 32 matches
Envigado Envigado 34 matches
Bogota FC Statistic Envigado
9 Wins 16
10 Draws 10
13 Losses 8
25 Goals For 45
34 Goals Against 29
0.78 Avg Goals Scored 1.32
1.06 Avg Goals Conceded 0.85
14 BTTS Yes 17
21 Over 1.5 23
9 Over 2.5 15
1 Over 3.5 4
8 Clean Sheets 15
14 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Envigado's more proactive style and Bogota FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Envigado. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Envigado having the stronger overall control.

Bogota FC Analysis

Bogota FC sit 7 with 37 points after 30 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 10 draws, and 11 losses, while the 25:31 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Envigado Analysis

Envigado arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 54 points after 32 matches. Their overall return of 15 wins, 9 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 43:28 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points toward an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Bogota FC won 1 times, Envigado won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:1 from Bogota FC's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88%)
H2H summary: Bogota FC wins 1, draws 0, Envigado wins 0

Standings

Primera B: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 17 8 7 40:28 12 59
L W W W L
2 32 16 9 7 33:21 12 57
W W L L D
3 34 15 11 8 46:31 15 56
D D W D D
4 35 15 11 9 55:41 14 56
D L D D L
5 32 15 8 9 45:31 14 53
D W D W L
6 33 12 10 11 33:27 6 46
D W D W D
7 27 11 10 6 29:21 8 43
D W W L W
8 32 9 11 12 28:35 -7 38
D L W D L
9 27 9 9 9 33:30 3 36
L W W W W
10 32 9 8 15 37:43 -6 35
D L L L L
11 26 9 7 10 30:34 -4 34
L L L W W
12 26 7 10 9 33:34 -1 31
D W W W W
13 26 6 9 11 20:28 -8 27
L D L D L
14 27 5 9 13 27:42 -15 24
D L L L W
15 27 4 10 13 23:41 -18 22
W L D D L
16 26 4 8 14 16:41 -25 20
D L L D L
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)