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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
12.09.2026 14:00
Ewood Park
Referee: Josh Smith, England
Blackburn
Match Timeline
Millwall
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
13'
Hayden Carter
Blackburn
🔄
16'
Y. Ribeiro ↔ H. Pickering
Blackburn
🟨
38'
Sam Morsy
Blackburn
⚽
41'
O. Afolayan · Assist: S. Morsy
Blackburn
🟨
45'
Harry Pickering
Blackburn
🟨
45+4'
Zak Sturge
Millwall
🔄
46'
R. Alebiosu ↔ G. Beyuku
Blackburn
🔄
46'
J. Osei-Tutu ↔ M. Sykes
Millwall
🔄
46'
R. Esse ↔ Y. Issoufou
Millwall
🟨
50'
Gady Beyuku
Blackburn
⚽
51'
L. Dykes
Millwall
⚽
58'
O. Afolayan · Assist: T. Atcheson
Blackburn
🔄
69'
O. Afolayan ↔ J. Fevrier
Blackburn
🔄
70'
T. Cantwell ↔ A. Gudjohnsen
Blackburn
🔄
76'
D. Mazou-Sacko ↔ D. Kelly
Millwall
🟨
81'
Jenson Metcalfe
Millwall
🔄
82'
J. Metcalfe ↔ E. Baggott
Millwall
🔄
82'
J. Cooper ↔ Z. Lovelace
Millwall
🟨
86'
Jayden Fevrier
Blackburn
🟨
90+2'
Mark Sykes
Millwall
⚽
90'
A. Gudjohnsen · Assist: J. Fevrier
Blackburn

Blackburn vs Millwall Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57%
Odds 2.69
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.99
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57%
2.69 ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
1.67 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.99 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.11 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.50 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Blackburn Win 57%
Draw 7%
Millwall Win 36%
Expected Goals (xG)
Blackburn1.22
Millwall1.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
Blackburn Blackburn
WWDLW
13 GF / 13 GA
Millwall Millwall
WLDWL
15 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.18
Average Goals Scored
1.36
1.18
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
6
BTTS Yes
4
7
Over 2.5
6
4
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Blackburn Blackburn 11 matches
Millwall Millwall 11 matches
Blackburn Statistic Millwall
3 Wins 5
4 Draws 1
4 Losses 5
13 Goals For 15
13 Goals Against 14
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 1.36
1.18 Avg Goals Conceded 1.27
6 BTTS Yes 4
9 Over 1.5 8
7 Over 2.5 6
1 Over 3.5 2
4 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 3
4 Shots On Goal 4
11.17 Total Shots 14.8
5.83 Corners 5.8
53.2% Ball Possession 48.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Blackburn won 10 times, Millwall won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:12 from Blackburn's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93%)
Predicted formations: Blackburn 5-4-1 / Millwall 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Blackburn 7, Millwall 13
H2H summary: Blackburn wins 10, draws 3, Millwall wins 2

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 5 2 1 13:6 7 17
W W L D W
2 8 4 3 1 22:11 11 15
D W W W W
3 8 4 3 1 16:12 4 15
D D W W D
4 7 4 2 1 15:10 5 14
W W D L W
5 8 4 2 2 10:8 2 14
L D W W D
6 8 3 4 1 10:7 3 13
D D D L W
7 8 4 1 3 13:12 1 13
W W D W W
8 8 4 1 3 11:12 -1 13
W L L W W
9 8 3 3 2 7:10 -3 12
L D D L D
10 8 2 5 1 12:11 1 11
D W L D D
11 8 3 2 3 15:15 0 11
D D L W L
12 8 3 2 3 7:8 -1 11
L W W D D
13 8 4 2 2 19:10 9 10
L W W D D
14 8 2 4 2 9:12 -3 10
W L D D W
15 8 3 1 4 11:15 -4 10
W W L L L
16 8 2 3 3 12:12 0 9
D W L L D
17 8 3 0 5 16:17 -1 9
L L W W L
18 8 2 3 3 9:11 -2 9
L L W L W
19 7 2 2 3 9:10 -1 8
D D W L L
20 8 2 2 4 7:10 -3 8
L L W L L
21 8 1 4 3 10:12 -2 7
W L D L L
22 8 1 2 5 7:14 -7 5
D L L L W
23 8 1 1 6 8:15 -7 4
D L L W L
24 8 0 4 4 9:17 -8 4
D L D L D
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One