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04.08.2026 13:00
BG Pathum United
Match Timeline
Aston Villa
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
12'
E. Buendia
Aston Villa
⚽
31'
V. Lindelof
Aston Villa
🔄
43'
A. Garnacho ↔ G. Hemmings
Aston Villa
🔄
46'
M. Cash ↔ J. McGinn
Aston Villa
🔄
46'
V. Lindelof ↔ P. Torres
Aston Villa
🔄
46'
E. Buendia ↔ I. Maatsen
Aston Villa
🔄
46'
E. Guessand ↔ B. Madjo
Aston Villa
🔄
46'
Joao Gomes ↔ B. Burrowes
Aston Villa
🔄
46'
Alysson ↔ L. Lynch
Aston Villa
🔄
61'
L. Bogarde ↔ B. Kamara
Aston Villa
⚽
62'
B. Kamara
Aston Villa
🟨
74'
BG Pathum United
BG Pathum United
🟨
80'
BG Pathum United
BG Pathum United
⚽
83'
L. James
BG Pathum United

BG Pathum United vs Aston Villa Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 88%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
88%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
79.8%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
BG Pathum United Win 6%
Draw 6%
Aston Villa Win 88%
Expected Goals (xG)
BG Pathum United2.3
Aston Villa1.95
Recent Form (Last 5)
BG Pathum United BG Pathum United
WWDLW
5 GF / 3 GA
Aston Villa Aston Villa
WLDWL
9 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
2.5
Average Goals Scored
2.25
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
2
0
BTTS Yes
3
2
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

BG Pathum United BG Pathum United 2 matches
Aston Villa Aston Villa 4 matches
BG Pathum United Statistic Aston Villa
1 Wins 1
0 Draws 0
1 Losses 3
5 Goals For 9
3 Goals Against 8
2.5 Avg Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 2
0 BTTS Yes 3
2 Over 1.5 4
2 Over 2.5 4
1 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, BG Pathum United won 0 times, Aston Villa won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:3 from BG Pathum United's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (94%)
Predicted formations: BG Pathum United - / Aston Villa 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: BG Pathum United wins 0, draws 0, Aston Villa wins 1