BULGARIA FIRST LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Stadion Beroe
Referee: D. Stalev
Beroe
Match Timeline
Septemvri Sofia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
30'
Francisco Varela
Beroe
🔄
46'
F. Varela ↔ F. Alarcon
Beroe
🟨
57'
Marco Borgnino
Beroe
🔄
66'
S. Stojanovic ↔ E. Ribeiro
Septemvri Sofia
🔄
66'
A. Abou ↔ K. Onasci
Septemvri Sofia
🔄
67'
S. Gavrilov ↔ W. Dual
Beroe
73'
V. Ozornwafor · Assist: M. Stamatov
Septemvri Sofia
🔄
74'
R. Schouten ↔ B. Tomovski
Septemvri Sofia
🔄
74'
N. Fontaine ↔ S. Stoichkov
Septemvri Sofia
🔄
79'
S. Brunelli ↔ Y. Valbuena
Beroe
🔄
81'
V. Ozornwafor ↔ S. Wade
Septemvri Sofia
🟨
86'
Bertrand Fourrier
Septemvri Sofia
🟨
88'
Kubrat Onashchi
Septemvri Sofia

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 76.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 27.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 52.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
76.9%
-
BTTS BTTS No
27.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
52.6%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
80.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Beroe Win 47%
Draw 29.9%
Septemvri Sofia Win 23.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Beroe1.2
Septemvri Sofia1.06
Recent Form (Last 5)
Beroe Beroe
WWDLW
28 GF / 48 GA
Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia
WLDWL
30 GF / 63 GA
Key Stats
0.8
Average Goals Scored
0.86
1.37
Average Goals Conceded
1.8
15
BTTS Yes
17
17
Over 2.5
18
2.42
Shots on Goal
2.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Beroe Beroe 35 matches
Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 35 matches
Beroe Statistic Septemvri Sofia
7 Wins 8
13 Draws 8
15 Losses 19
28 Goals For 30
48 Goals Against 63
0.8 Avg Goals Scored 0.86
1.37 Avg Goals Conceded 1.8
15 BTTS Yes 17
21 Over 1.5 26
17 Over 2.5 18
8 Over 3.5 9
13 Clean Sheets 8
15 Failed To Score 13
2.42 Shots On Goal 2.25
6.52 Total Shots 6.09
2.64 Corners 2.41
30% Ball Possession 32.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Septemvri Sofia. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Beroe expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Septemvri Sofia in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Septemvri Sofia having the stronger overall control.

Beroe Analysis

From their first 35 matches, Beroe have collected 34 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. Their overall return of 7 wins, 13 draws, and 15 losses with goals at 28:48 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Leandro Godoy (13 goals), Alberto Salido (10 goals), Ismael Ferrer (4 goals), with creative support from Alberto Salido (4 assists), Carlos Algarra López (2 assists), Nene (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Septemvri Sofia Analysis

From their first 35 matches, Septemvri Sofia have collected 32 points and now occupy 13 place in the table. The record of 8 wins, 8 draws, and 19 defeats, together with a 30:63 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through B. Fourrier (13 goals), N. Fontaine (5 goals), E. Ribeiro (2 goals), with creative support from Robin Schouten (5 assists), Galin Ivanov (4 assists), N. Fontaine (3 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Beroe won 7 times, Septemvri Sofia won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:12 from Beroe's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.15 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (76.9%)
Predicted formations: Beroe 3-4-2-1 / Septemvri Sofia 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Beroe wins 7, draws 1, Septemvri Sofia wins 5

Lineups

Beroe
Formation
Septemvri Sofia
Arthur
Arthur
F. Costantini
F. Costantini
J. Salomoni
J. Salomoni
S. Brunelli
S. Brunelli
D. Valverde
D. Valverde
I. Ferrer
I. Ferrer
S. Gavrilov
S. Gavrilov
F. Varela
F. Varela
M. Borgnino
M. Borgnino
J. Pineda
J. Pineda
T. Sonha
T. Sonha
Y. Georgiev
Y. Georgiev
D. Ivkic
D. Ivkic
V. Ozornwafor
V. Ozornwafor
M. Hristov
M. Hristov
R. Schouten
R. Schouten
Y. Baurenski
Y. Baurenski
A. Abou
A. Abou
M. Stamatov
🎯
M. Stamatov
S. Stojanovic
S. Stojanovic
N. Fontaine
N. Fontaine
B. Fourrier
B. Fourrier
Beroe 3-4-1-2
Starting XI
1
Arthur
G
4
F. Costantini
D
3
J. Salomoni
D
30
S. Brunelli
↓ 79'
D
12
D. Valverde
D
11
I. Ferrer
M
24
S. Gavrilov
↓ 67'
M
32
F. Varela
↓ 46' 🟨 30'
M
8
M. Borgnino
🟨 57'
M
7
J. Pineda
M
23
T. Sonha
D
Substitutes
99
V. Quintero
G
6
I. Mitev
D
9
Y. Valbuena
↑ 79'
F
14
V. Valkov
D
15
F. Alarcon
↑ 46'
F
17
W. Dual
↑ 67'
M
18
S. Rusenov
M
22
M. Georgiev
F
25
Johny
D
Septemvri Sofia 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
21
Y. Georgiev
G
15
D. Ivkic
D
26
V. Ozornwafor
⚽ 73' ↓ 81'
D
4
M. Hristov
D
23
R. Schouten
↓ 74'
D
5
Y. Baurenski
M
18
A. Abou
↓ 66'
M
30
M. Stamatov
🎯 73'
D
10
S. Stojanovic
↓ 66'
M
17
N. Fontaine
↓ 74'
M
9
B. Fourrier
🟨 86'
F
Substitutes
12
N. Krastev
G
20
B. Tomovski
↑ 74'
D
33
G. Ivanov
M
7
E. Ribeiro
↑ 66'
F
8
K. Kolev
M
13
K. Onasci
↑ 66' 🟨 88'
3
S. Wade
↑ 81'
D
28
S. Stoichkov
↑ 74'
M
29
F. Herard
F
Last matches: Beroe
22.05.26
Fir
Beroe
Botev Vratsa
0
3
L
14.05.26
Fir
Beroe
Lokomotiv Sofia
1
1
D
10.05.26
Fir
Beroe
Dobrudzha
1
0
W
05.05.26
Fir
Beroe
Montana
2
2
D
02.05.26
Fir
Beroe
Slavia Sofia
3
0
W
24.04.26
Fir
Beroe
Spartak Varna
2
1
W
13.04.26
Fir
Beroe
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
0
D
09.04.26
Fir
Beroe
Lokomotiv Sofia
1
2
L
04.04.26
Fir
Beroe
CSKA Sofia
0
3
L
22.03.26
Fir
Beroe
Montana
1
0
W
15.03.26
Fir
Beroe
Levski Sofia
0
1
L
08.03.26
Fir
Beroe
Dobrudzha
0
1
L
03.03.26
Fir
Beroe
Slavia Sofia
0
3
L
28.02.26
Fir
Beroe
Botev Vratsa
0
0
D
22.02.26
Fir
Beroe
Arda Kardzhali
0
0
D
15.02.26
Fir
Beroe
Ludogorets
1
2
L
08.02.26
Fir
Beroe
Botev Plovdiv
0
0
D
31.01.26
Fri
Beroe
Spartak Pleven
2
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
Beroe
Sevlievo
0
1
L
21.01.26
Fri
Beroe
Yantra 2019
1
1
D
Last matches: Septemvri Sofia
27.06.26
Fri
Septemvri Sofia
Marek
3
0
W
28.05.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Yantra 2019
2
1
W
22.05.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Dobrudzha
1
1
D
14.05.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Spartak Varna
1
0
W
10.05.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Botev Vratsa
1
1
D
06.05.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Slavia Sofia
1
2
L
01.05.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Montana
1
1
D
27.04.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
1
1
D
16.04.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Spartak Varna
0
0
D
10.04.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Slavia Sofia
2
1
W
06.04.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Botev Vratsa
0
0
D
21.03.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
1
4
L
17.03.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
0
3
L
13.03.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
1
L
07.03.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Cherno More Varna
0
3
L
03.03.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Botev Plovdiv
0
2
L
28.02.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
CSKA Sofia
2
0
W
16.02.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Montana
1
0
W
08.02.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Dobrudzha
0
3
L
26.01.26
Fri
Septemvri Sofia
Ordabasy
1
2
L
H2H: Beroe vs Septemvri Sofia
18.05.26
H2H
Beroe
Septemvri Sofia
0
1
L
07.12.25
H2H
Beroe
Septemvri Sofia
0
0
D
11.08.25
H2H
Septemvri Sofia
Beroe
2
3
W
24.11.24
H2H
Beroe
Septemvri Sofia
2
0
W
22.07.24
H2H
Septemvri Sofia
Beroe
0
1
W
12.05.23
H2H
Beroe
Septemvri Sofia
2
0
W
31.03.23
H2H
Beroe
Septemvri Sofia
1
3
L
04.03.23
H2H
Beroe
Septemvri Sofia
1
2
L
21.08.22
H2H
Septemvri Sofia
Beroe
3
1
L
10.07.21
H2H
Beroe
Septemvri Sofia
2
0
W
10.07.21
H2H
Septemvri Sofia
Beroe
0
2
W
17.02.19
H2H
Septemvri Sofia
Beroe
1
0
L
15.09.18
H2H
Beroe
Septemvri Sofia
1
0
W
Last matches: Beroe
05.05.26
Fir
Beroe
Montana
2
2
D
02.05.26
Fir
Beroe
Slavia Sofia
3
0
W
13.04.26
Fir
Beroe
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
0
D
04.04.26
Fir
Beroe
CSKA Sofia
0
3
L
15.03.26
Fir
Beroe
Levski Sofia
0
1
L
03.03.26
Fir
Beroe
Slavia Sofia
0
3
L
22.02.26
Fir
Beroe
Arda Kardzhali
0
0
D
31.01.26
Fri
Beroe
Spartak Pleven
2
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
Beroe
Sevlievo
0
1
L
21.01.26
Fri
Beroe
Yantra 2019
1
1
D
17.01.26
Fri
Beroe
Maritsa Milevo
3
1
W
19.12.25
Fir
Beroe
Ludogorets
0
4
L
07.12.25
Fir
Beroe
Septemvri Sofia
0
0
D
03.12.25
Fir
Beroe
Cherno More Varna
1
2
L
21.11.25
Fir
Beroe
Spartak Varna
0
0
D
03.11.25
Fir
Beroe
Lokomotiv Sofia
1
3
L
20.10.25
Fir
Beroe
Montana
1
1
D
29.09.25
Fir
Beroe
Dobrudzha
1
0
W
12.09.25
Fir
Beroe
Botev Vratsa
2
0
W
16.08.25
Fir
Beroe
Botev Plovdiv
1
2
L
H2H at home: Beroe
18.05.26
H2H
Beroe
Septemvri Sofia
0
1
L
07.12.25
H2H
Beroe
Septemvri Sofia
0
0
D
24.11.24
H2H
Beroe
Septemvri Sofia
2
0
W
12.05.23
H2H
Beroe
Septemvri Sofia
2
0
W
31.03.23
H2H
Beroe
Septemvri Sofia
1
3
L
04.03.23
H2H
Beroe
Septemvri Sofia
1
2
L
10.07.21
H2H
Beroe
Septemvri Sofia
2
0
W
15.09.18
H2H
Beroe
Septemvri Sofia
1
0
W
Last matches: Septemvri Sofia
10.05.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Botev Vratsa
1
1
D
06.05.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Slavia Sofia
1
2
L
27.04.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
1
1
D
10.04.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Slavia Sofia
2
1
W
17.03.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
0
3
L
13.03.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
1
L
03.03.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Botev Plovdiv
0
2
L
08.02.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Dobrudzha
0
3
L
17.01.26
Fri
Septemvri Sofia
Wisla Krakow
1
0
W
07.12.25
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Beroe
0
0
D
30.11.25
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Levski Sofia
0
7
L
07.11.25
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Spartak Varna
4
1
W
25.10.25
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Botev Vratsa
1
2
L
20.10.25
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
1
0
W
27.09.25
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Cherno More Varna
1
1
D
13.09.25
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
CSKA Sofia
1
3
L
23.08.25
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Montana
0
2
L
01.08.25
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
CSKA 1948
1
2
L
19.07.25
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Ludogorets
0
5
L
H2H away: Septemvri Sofia
18.05.26
H2H
Beroe
Septemvri Sofia
0
1
W
07.12.25
H2H
Beroe
Septemvri Sofia
0
0
D
24.11.24
H2H
Beroe
Septemvri Sofia
2
0
L
12.05.23
H2H
Beroe
Septemvri Sofia
2
0
L
31.03.23
H2H
Beroe
Septemvri Sofia
1
3
W
04.03.23
H2H
Beroe
Septemvri Sofia
1
2
W
10.07.21
H2H
Beroe
Septemvri Sofia
2
0
L
15.09.18
H2H
Beroe
Septemvri Sofia
1
0
L

Standings

A PFG: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 22 4 4 64:22 42 70
D W D W W
2 30 17 9 4 57:20 37 60
L D W W W
3 30 18 5 7 50:31 19 59
W W L W W
4 30 16 8 6 43:23 20 56
D W W W L
5 30 11 13 6 30:33 -3 46
D D W W W
6 30 11 11 8 33:26 7 44
L D L L W
7 30 12 8 10 33:27 6 44
W L W W W
8 30 11 7 12 40:37 3 40
W D W W L
9 30 10 9 11 36:33 3 39
D L W L D
10 30 9 11 10 24:26 -2 38
W L D L W
11 30 9 10 11 40:39 1 37
L W L L W
12 30 5 12 13 25:50 -25 27
D W L L L
13 30 7 5 18 23:43 -20 26
L L D L L
14 30 7 5 18 25:58 -33 26
D W D L L
15
Beroe Home
30 4 11 15 19:44 -25 23
D L L W L
16 30 3 8 19 15:45 -30 17
D L L L L
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